Tuesday , 18 August 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs UD Almeria, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 5 May 2024 · 19:00 UTC Campo de Futbol de Vallecas HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 30' Anthony Lozano

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs UD AlmeriaLa Liga at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.

Match Details

  • Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Pau Cebrian
  • Assistant 2 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May UD Almeria H 0–1 L
28 Apr Villarreal CF A 0–3 L
20 Apr CA Osasuna H 2–1 W
13 Apr Getafe CF H 0–0 D
31 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 0–0 D
17 Mar Real Betis Balompié H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–0 W
27 Apr Getafe CF H 1–3 L
21 Apr Villarreal CF H 1–2 L
14 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 2–2 D
30 Mar CA Osasuna H 0–3 L
17 Mar UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.13 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 UD Almeria xG
I would bet for: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid38% Draw31% UD Almeria31%
Actual: UD Almeria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
69%
Draw or UD Almeria
62%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or UD Almeria
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid25% Draw53% UD Almeria22%
Actual: UD Almeria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.6%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push UD Almeria covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 21% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
36%
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.