Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs UD Almeria, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 5 May 2024 · 19:00 UTC Campo de Futbol de Vallecas HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 30' Anthony Lozano

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs UD AlmeriaLa Liga at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.

Match Details

  • Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Pau Cebrian
  • Assistant 2 Abraham Perez Dapia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May UD Almeria H 0–1 L
28 Apr Villarreal CF A 0–3 L
20 Apr CA Osasuna H 2–1 W
13 Apr Getafe CF H 0–0 D
31 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 0–0 D
17 Mar Real Betis Balompie H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–0 W
27 Apr Getafe CF H 1–3 L
21 Apr Villarreal CF H 1–2 L
14 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 2–2 D
30 Mar CA Osasuna H 0–3 L
17 Mar UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is hosting UD Almeria for another epic battle.
  • 5' Alejandro Pozo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Oscar Trejo, as he is very good at scoring at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas with 8 goals in the last 6 games.
  • 25' It looks surprising Rayo Vallecano de Madrid does not make any changes. Gonzalo Melero has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 26' It’s gonna be a card for Radamel Falcao.
  • 30' What a strike from Anthony Lozano! The score is 0-1.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sergio Arribas made 545 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. UD Almeria needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' The Rayo Vallecano de Madrid manager makes a substitution. Isi Palazon departs to be replaced by Jorge de Frutos.
  • 64' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Iddrisu Baba suffering a number of foals already.
  • 66' Another change for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid made on 66 minute. Unai Lopez leaves to be changed by Raul de Tomas.
  • 71' Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Alejandro Pozo. He replaces Leo Baptistao on 72 minute.
  • 75' The whistle greets Anthony Lozano as he departs to be replaced by Luis Suarez.
  • 79' Marcos Pena is having his name booked by the referee on 79.
  • 80' The Rayo Vallecano de Madrid manager makes a substitution. Alvaro Garcia departs to be replaced by Bebe.
  • 82' The referee shows Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player a card on 82.
  • 82' Gonzalo Melero is replacing Edgar Gonzalez for the UD Almeria side.
  • 83' Iddrisu Baba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sergio Arribas on 83 minute.
  • 88' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid player. Oscar Trejo gets a card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.13 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 UD Almeria xG
I would bet for: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid38% Draw31% UD Almeria31%
Actual: UD Almeria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
69%
Draw or UD Almeria
62%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or UD Almeria
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid25% Draw53% UD Almeria22%
Actual: UD Almeria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.6%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push UD Almeria covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 21% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
36%
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.