Thursday , 2 July 2026

UD Las Palmas vs UD Almeria, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 17 Mar 2024 · 15:15 UTC Estadio de Gran Canaria HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 14' Leo Baptistao

Overview

Match Preview

UD Las Palmas vs UD AlmeriaLa Liga at Estadio de Gran Canaria.

Match Details

  • Referee Victor Garcia Verdura
  • Assistant 1 Joan Mendez Mateo (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Diego Santaursula Aguado (Spain)

Head-to-Head

2
2
UD Las Palmas 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals UD Almeria

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar UD Almeria H 0–1 L
10 Mar Athletic Club H 0–2 L
02 Mar Getafe CF A 3–3 D
25 Feb CA Osasuna H 1–1 D
17 Feb Club Atletico de Madrid A 0–5 L
10 Feb Valencia CF H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W
11 Mar Sevilla FC H 2–2 D
01 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 0–1 L
24 Feb Club Atletico de Madrid H 2–2 D
18 Feb Granada CF A 1–1 D
12 Feb Athletic Club H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for UD Las Palmas to score. At the same time, UD Almeria does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 8' It’s gonna be a card for Alex Centelles.
  • 13' The travelling UD Almeria supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 14' UD Almeria is taking the lead after the goal scored by Leo Baptistao on 14.
  • 19' It looks surprising UD Las Palmas does not make any changes. Iddrisu Baba has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 24' Luis Maximiano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 505 appearances.
  • 26' UD Las Palmas receives a card for a hard tackle on 26.
  • 31' A quiet spell here at Estadio de Gran Canaria. UD Las Palmas seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 36' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His UD Las Palmas side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' UD Almeria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Chumi is hanging Aleksandar Radovanovic on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering UD Almeria that had 160 games and scored 187 goals.
  • 56' named a 4-5-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 59' Time for substitution for UD Almeria. Marcos Pena is replaced by Gonzalo Melero.
  • 61' Marc Cardona is ready to make an impact after coming on for Javi Munoz at the 61 minute mark.
  • 66' A change in the UD Almeria ranks — Jonathan Viera exits the field as Iddrisu Baba enters on 66.
  • 70' UD Las Palmas manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Benito Ramirez is hanging Sergi Cardona on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' UD Almeria have won 187 goals from 160 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 80' Marvin Olawale Akinlabi Park has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
  • 81' Largie Ramazani makes way for Bruno Langa at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from UD Almeria.
  • 86' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aleksandar Radovanovic made 446 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 87' UD Las Palmas make a change. Julian Araujo trudges off to be replaced by Pejino on 87 minutes.
  • 90' Bruno Langa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for UD Almeria players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02 UD Las Palmas xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 UD Almeria xG
I would bet for: UD Las Palmas or UD Almeria 67% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
UD Las Palmas34% Draw33% UD Almeria33%
Actual: UD Almeria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

UD Las Palmas or Draw
67%
Draw or UD Almeria
66%
UD Las Palmas or UD Almeria
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
UD Las Palmas23% Draw54% UD Almeria23%
Actual: UD Almeria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
2.3%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — UD Las Palmas

Handicap UD Las Palmas covers Push UD Almeria covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 20% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
37%
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.