Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Mon 25 Aug 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
4 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 1–0 W
17 Aug Sevilla FC H 3–2 W
25 May FC Barcelona H 0–3 L
18 May Valencia CF A 1–0 W
15 May Getafe CF A 2–0 W
11 May Deportivo Alavés H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Athletic Club A 0–1 L
15 Aug Girona FC A 3–1 W
24 May RCD Mallorca H 0–0 D
18 May RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W
15 May Real Betis Balompié H 2–2 D
09 May UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#12 Position #10
8 Points 8
6 Played 7
2 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
7 Scored 11
6 Conceded 16
+1 GD -5
1.33 PPG 1.14
33% Win % 29%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season
0% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Athletic Club are 12th (8 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 10th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Athletic Club
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
–/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sergio Camello 7 G 1 A
Alvaro Garcia 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • 1-0 the final result. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Athletic Club Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Athletic Club to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club57% Draw24% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid19%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
81%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
43%
Athletic Club or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club39% Draw45% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.