Thursday , 2 July 2026

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Mon 25 Aug 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Rayo Vallecano de MadridLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 2.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 1–0 W
17 Aug Sevilla FC H 3–2 W
25 May FC Barcelona H 0–3 L
18 May Valencia CF A 1–0 W
15 May Getafe CF A 2–0 W
11 May Deportivo Alaves H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Athletic Club A 0–1 L
15 Aug Girona FC A 3–1 W
24 May RCD Mallorca H 0–0 D
18 May RC Celta de Vigo A 2–1 W
15 May Real Betis Balompie H 2–2 D
09 May UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#12 Position #8
45 Points 50
38 Played 38
13 / 6 / 19 W / D / L 12 / 14 / 12
43 Scored 41
58 Conceded 44
-15 GD -3
1.18 PPG 1.32
34% Win % 32%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Athletic Club Lineups

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club47% Draw27% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid26%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
74%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
53%
Athletic Club or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club29% Draw49% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
34%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.