Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Port Vale FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 8 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Port Vale FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L
01 Oct Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
17 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
03 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L
27 Aug Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Derby County FC A 2–1 W
01 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–1 L
24 Sep Peterborough United FC A 0–3 L
17 Sep Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Barnsley FC A 1–1 D
03 Sep Cheltenham Town FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Port Vale FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' James Collins doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Liam McCarron suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Port Vale FC backline.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' Port Vale FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' Tom Barkhuizen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' Dennis Politic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brad Walker at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Tom Conlon, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 54' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 54.
  • 55' Goal! Ellis Harrison scores his 28 goal in 358 matches.
  • 57' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ellis Harrison on 57 minutes.
  • 58' Controversy at the stadium! James Collins argues furiously but the Red card stands.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Connor Hall. He replaces Liam McCarron on 58 minute.
  • 60' Derby County FC make a change. Lewis Dobbin trudges off to be replaced by William Osula on 60 minutes.
  • 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 66' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. James Wilson makes it 1-2.
  • 71' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 71 minutes.
  • 75' Derby County FC make a change. Richard Stearman trudges off to be replaced by Haydon Roberts on 75 minutes.
  • 78' It’s a booking for Port Vale FC player. Daniel Jones gets a Yellow card.
  • 82' Louie Sibley gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Max Bird and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Ben Garrity picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 87' James Wilson makes way for Ademipo Odubeko at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Port Vale FC.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Port Vale FC 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw29% Port Vale FC35%
Actual: Port Vale FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Port Vale FC
64%
Derby County FC or Port Vale FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw46% Port Vale FC27%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.