Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Port Vale FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 8 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Port Vale FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L
01 Oct Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
17 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
03 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L
27 Aug Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Derby County FC A 2–1 W
01 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–1 L
24 Sep Peterborough United FC A 0–3 L
17 Sep Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Barnsley FC A 1–1 D
03 Sep Cheltenham Town FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Derby County FC launch into their encounter with Port Vale FC.
  • 5' James Collins has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 5 minutes.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Port Vale FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Port Vale FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Port Vale FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Port Vale FC's shape.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Port Vale FC that had 154 games and scored 116 goals.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Port Vale FC's compact .
  • 45' Conor Hourihane has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' A change in the Port Vale FC ranks — Brad Walker exits the field as Dennis Politic enters on 46.
  • 51' James Chester, a Wales , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 54' Richard Stearman catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 54.
  • 55' Brilliant from the ! Ellis Harrison makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 55.
  • 57' Controversy at the stadium! Ellis Harrison argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 58' James Collins catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Red card on 58.
  • 58' Connor Hall is ready to make an impact after coming on for Liam McCarron at the 58 minute mark.
  • 60' Derby County FC make a change. Lewis Dobbin trudges off to be replaced by William Osula on 60 minutes.
  • 65' Port Vale FC have won 116 goals from 154 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 66' GOAL! James Wilson scores on 66.
  • 71' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 75' The whistle greets Richard Stearman as he departs to be replaced by Haydon Roberts.
  • 78' Daniel Jones picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 82' Louie Sibley is ready to make an impact after coming on for Max Bird at the 82 minute mark.
  • 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ben Garrity on 86.
  • 87' Ademipo Odubeko gets the nod from Port Vale FC. He replaces James Wilson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Port Vale FC 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw29% Port Vale FC35%
Actual: Port Vale FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Port Vale FC
64%
Derby County FC or Port Vale FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw46% Port Vale FC27%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.