Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Port Vale FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 8 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Port Vale FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Port Vale FC H 1–2 L
01 Oct Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
17 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
03 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L
27 Aug Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Derby County FC A 2–1 W
01 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–1 L
24 Sep Peterborough United FC A 0–3 L
17 Sep Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Barnsley FC A 1–1 D
03 Sep Cheltenham Town FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Pride Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Port Vale FC.
  • 5' A stunning finish from James Collins — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 10' William Forrester, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Port Vale FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Port Vale FC backline.
  • 25' Liam McCarron is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Port Vale FC so far.
  • 30' It looks surprising Port Vale FC does not make any changes. Ben Garrity has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Another substitution for Port Vale FC to replace Brad Walker by Dennis Politic on 46 minute.
  • 51' Dennis Politic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Richard Stearman on 54.
  • 55' The Wales Ellis Harrison breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 1-1!
  • 57' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ellis Harrison on 57 minutes.
  • 58' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for James Collins on 58 minutes.
  • 58' Another change for Port Vale FC made on 58 minute. Liam McCarron leaves to be changed by Connor Hall.
  • 60' Lewis Dobbin makes way for William Osula at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 65' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 66' James Wilson does the damage! The net is bulging and Port Vale FC surge ahead!
  • 71' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 75' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Richard Stearman exits the field as Haydon Roberts enters on 75.
  • 78' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Daniel Jones on 78 minutes.
  • 82' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Louie Sibley is hanging Max Bird on the field on 82 minute.
  • 86' Port Vale FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 87' The whistle greets James Wilson as he departs to be replaced by Ademipo Odubeko.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Port Vale FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Port Vale FC 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw29% Port Vale FC35%
Actual: Port Vale FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Port Vale FC
64%
Derby County FC or Port Vale FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw46% Port Vale FC27%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.