Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Port Vale FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 14 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Pirelli Stadium 2,533 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 31' Gavin Massey
0–2 82' Lewis Cass
Bez Lubala 15' Y
Tom Hamer 18' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Port Vale FCFA Cup at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Herczeg
  • Assistant 1 Anthony Da Costa
  • Assistant 2 Alan Clayton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Nov Port Vale FC H 0–2 L
11 Nov Northampton Town FC A 0–2 L
04 Nov Port Vale FC A 0–0 D
28 Oct Leyton Orient FC H 0–0 D
24 Oct Carlisle United FC A 1–2 L
21 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Nov Burton Albion FC A 2–0 W
11 Nov Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Burton Albion FC H 0–0 D
28 Oct Cheltenham Town FC H 1–2 L
24 Oct Peterborough United FC H 0–1 L
21 Oct Stevenage FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
67% Clean Sheets
Port Vale FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Tyrese Shade 5 G
Fabio Tavares 3 G 2 A
Charlie Webster 2 G 1 A
Port Vale FC
Ben Waine 3 G
Devante Cole 2 G 2 A
Ruari Paton 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Burton Albion FC have kicked off against Port Vale FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Lewis Cass needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' That looks like a foul for a card for Bez Lubala.
  • 18' Tom Hamer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 18.
  • 23' Supporters expect more eagerness from Uche Ikpeazu, as he is very good at scoring at Pirelli Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 28' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 31' Gavin Massey puts Port Vale FC on the lead.
  • 36' Mustapha Carayol has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 41' Port Vale FC is showing some good football. However, Port Vale FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Burton Albion FCMason Bennett on, Ciaran Gilligan off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mark Helm is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burton Albion FC.
  • 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Andy Crosby might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Walker suffering a number of foals already.
  • 66' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Steve Seddon is hanging Jasper Moon on the field on 66 minute.
  • 67' The Burton Albion FC manager makes a substitution. Mark Helm departs to be replaced by Josh Walker.
  • 72' It looks surprising Port Vale FC does not make any changes. Cole Stockton has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 77' Burton Albion FC ring the changes. Adedeji Oshilaja has done his job and it is now time for Mustapha Carayol to step up.
  • 82' A stunning finish from Lewis Cass — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 85' Another substitution for Port Vale FC to replace Ethan Chislett by James Plant on 85 minute.
  • 90' Ryan Loft gets the nod from Port Vale FC. He replaces Uche Ikpeazu and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Port Vale FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC33% Draw30% Port Vale FC37%
Actual: Port Vale FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Port Vale FC
67%
Burton Albion FC or Port Vale FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC22% Draw51% Port Vale FC27%
Actual: Port Vale FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.