Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Port Vale FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 14 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Pirelli Stadium 2,533 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 31' Gavin Massey
0–2 82' Lewis Cass
Bez Lubala 15' Y
Tom Hamer 18' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Port Vale FCFA Cup at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Herczeg
  • Assistant 1 Anthony Da Costa
  • Assistant 2 Alan Clayton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Nov Port Vale FC H 0–2 L
11 Nov Northampton Town FC A 0–2 L
04 Nov Port Vale FC A 0–0 D
28 Oct Leyton Orient FC H 0–0 D
24 Oct Carlisle United FC A 1–2 L
21 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Nov Burton Albion FC A 2–0 W
11 Nov Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Burton Albion FC H 0–0 D
28 Oct Cheltenham Town FC H 1–2 L
24 Oct Peterborough United FC H 0–1 L
21 Oct Stevenage FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
67% Clean Sheets
Port Vale FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Tyrese Shade 5 G
Fabio Tavares 3 G 2 A
Charlie Webster 2 G 1 A
Port Vale FC
Ben Waine 3 G
Devante Cole 2 G 2 A
Ruari Paton 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Port Vale FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC33% Draw30% Port Vale FC37%
Actual: Port Vale FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Port Vale FC
67%
Burton Albion FC or Port Vale FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC22% Draw51% Port Vale FC27%
Actual: Port Vale FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.