Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Port Vale FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 14 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Pirelli Stadium 2,533 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 31' Gavin Massey
0–2 82' Lewis Cass
Bez Lubala 15' Y
Tom Hamer 18' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Port Vale FC — FA Cup at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Herczeg
  • Assistant 1 Anthony Da Costa
  • Assistant 2 Alan Clayton
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Nov Port Vale FC H 0–2 L
11 Nov Northampton Town FC A 0–2 L
04 Nov Port Vale FC A 0–0 D
28 Oct Leyton Orient FC H 0–0 D
24 Oct Carlisle United FC A 1–2 L
21 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Nov Burton Albion FC A 2–0 W
11 Nov Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Burton Albion FC H 0–0 D
28 Oct Cheltenham Town FC H 1–2 L
24 Oct Peterborough United FC H 0–1 L
21 Oct Stevenage FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
67% Clean Sheets
Port Vale FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Tyrese Shade 5 G
Fabio Tavares 3 G 2 A
Charlie Webster 2 G 1 A
Port Vale FC
Ben Waine 3 G
Devante Cole 2 G 2 A
Ruari Paton 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Burton Albion FC to score. At the same time, Port Vale FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Port Vale FC's shape.
  • 10' Gavin Massey is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burton Albion FC tonight.
  • 15' That looks like a foul for a card for Bez Lubala.
  • 18' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tom Hamer on 18 minutes.
  • 23' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 28' Over 28 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 31' Brilliant from the ! Gavin Massey makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 31.
  • 36' Burton Albion FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 41' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burton Albion FC and Port Vale FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 46' Mason Bennett is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ciaran Gilligan at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at Pirelli Stadium. Burton Albion FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 66' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Jasper Moon by Steve Seddon on 66 minute.
  • 67' The whistle greets Mark Helm as he departs to be replaced by Josh Walker.
  • 72' Port Vale FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 77' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Adedeji Oshilaja exits the field as Mustapha Carayol enters on 77.
  • 82' The deadlock is broken! Lewis Cass gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
  • 85' James Plant has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ethan Chislett on 85 minute.
  • 90' A change in the Port Vale FC ranks — Uche Ikpeazu exits the field as Ryan Loft enters on 90.
  • Another three points for Port Vale FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Port Vale FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Port Vale FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC33% Draw30% Port Vale FC37%
Actual: Port Vale FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Port Vale FC
67%
Burton Albion FC or Port Vale FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC22% Draw51% Port Vale FC27%
Actual: Port Vale FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Port Vale FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.