Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Cambridge United FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Derby County FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Cambridge United FC
Fri 30 Dec 2022 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Louie Sibley 35' Y
Y 76' James Brophy
Y 81' Saikou Janneh
Y 89' George Williams
Korey Smith 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Cambridge United FC — League One at Pride Park.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Bradford City AFC 7 15
2 Sheffield Wednesday FC 7 14
3 Stockport County FC 8 13
4 Plymouth Argyle FC 8 13
5 Cambridge United FC 8 13
6 Huddersfield Town AFC 7 12
7 Burton Albion FC 8 12
8 AFC Wimbledon 8 12
9 Reading FC 7 11
10 Oxford United FC 6 11
11 Leyton Orient FC 7 10
12 Wycombe Wanderers FC 8 10
13 Stevenage FC 7 9
14 Leicester City FC 7 9
15 Blackpool FC 7 8
16 Luton Town FC 7 8
17 Mansfield Town FC 7 8
18 Barnsley FC 7 8
19 Bromley FC 7 8
20 Notts County FC 7 7
21 Doncaster Rovers FC 7 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons FC 7 6
23 Peterborough United FC 8 5
24 Wigan Athletic FC 7 4

Head-to-Head

3
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 1.0 goals Cambridge United FC
Last 5 meetings
2022-12-30 Derby County FC 1–0 Cambridge United FC 2022-10-01 Cambridge United FC 0–2 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W
27 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
17 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC H 4–0 W
10 Dec Burton Albion FC A 1–1 D
03 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–0 D
18 Nov Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
Cambridge United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Derby County FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–1 W
10 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
03 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC A 1–2 L
19 Nov Accrington Stanley FC H 0–1 L
15 Nov Curzon Ashton FC H 4–2 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cambridge United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cambridge United FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
4/–
61-75
3/2
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cambridge United FC
Ben Knight 3 G
Kelland Watts 2 G
Gassan Ahadme 2 G
Louis Appere 1 G 1 A
Isaac Heath 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Pride Park. Derby County FC are looking to make home advantage count against Cambridge United FC.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Pride Park. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cambridge United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lewis Simper made 195 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Sam Smith is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 35' Louie Sibley was booked on 35.
  • 40' Cambridge United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' Ben Worman has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 55' Greg Taylor is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cambridge United FC tonight.
  • 57' Magnificent from Lewis Dobbin! That is 10 goals in 321 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 67' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 68' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Conor Hourihane by Jason Knight on 68 minute.
  • 73' Tom Barkhuizen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lewis Dobbin on 73 minute.
  • 74' Joe Ironside has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jack Lankester on 74 minute.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Cambridge United FC team. Shilow Tracey is replaced by Saikou Janneh on 75 minute.
  • 76' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for James Brophy.
  • 77' Lewis Simper is replacing Ben Worman for the Cambridge United FC side.
  • 81' Poor challenge from Saikou Janneh. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 86' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 89' George Williams has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 89.
  • 90' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. Korey Smith will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Curtis Davies has so much to prove this time. He replaces David McGoldrick on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Derby County FC players.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

Cambridge United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mark Bonner

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
James Collins 2
Lewis Dobbin 1
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 1

Head to Head

2022-12-30 Derby County FC 1–0 Cambridge United FC 2022-10-01 Cambridge United FC 0–2 Derby County FC

Derby County FC Form

2022-12-30 Derby County FC 1–0 Cambridge United FC W 2022-12-27 Bolton Wanderers FC 0–0 Derby County FC D 2022-12-17 Derby County FC 4–0 Forest Green Rovers FC W 2022-12-10 Burton Albion FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2022-12-03 Derby County FC 0–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC D 2022-11-18 Portsmouth FC 0–0 Derby County FC D

Cambridge United FC Form

2022-12-30 Derby County FC 1–0 Cambridge United FC L 2022-12-26 Cambridge United FC 2–1 Shrewsbury Town FC W 2022-12-10 Cambridge United FC 0–0 Plymouth Argyle FC D 2022-12-03 Forest Green Rovers FC 2–1 Cambridge United FC L 2022-11-19 Cambridge United FC 0–1 Accrington Stanley FC L 2022-11-15 Cambridge United FC 4–2 Curzon Ashton FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.45 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.59 Cambridge United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC58% Draw27% Cambridge United FC15%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Cambridge United FC
42%
Derby County FC or Cambridge United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC37% Draw52% Cambridge United FC11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.3%
2 – 0
13.1%
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 2
3.1%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
2.3%
0 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Cambridge United FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 18% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 27% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
56% ✓
Cambridge United FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.