Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Plymouth Argyle FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Home Park 16,978 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 11' Marcus Harness

0–2 26' Harrison Armstrong

Mustapha Bundu 38' 1–2

Nathaniel Phillips og 46' 2–2

2–3 88' Marcus Harness

Y 45' Nathaniel Phillips

Y 58' Liam Thompson

Y 80' Ebou Adams

Overview

Match Preview

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Home Park.

Plymouth Argyle FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee John Busby
Assistant 1 Mark Russell
Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg

6 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Plymouth Argyle FC 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC 2024-11-09 Derby County FC 1–1 Plymouth Argyle FC 2023-03-07 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-09-03 Derby County FC 2–3 Plymouth Argyle FC

Recent Form

Plymouth Argyle FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Derby County FC	H	2–3	L
12 Mar	Portsmouth FC	A	2–1	W
08 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	0–3	L
04 Mar	Hull City AFC	A	0–2	L
01 Mar	Manchester City FC	A	1–3	L
22 Feb	Cardiff City FC	H	1–1	D

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	3–2	W
11 Mar	Coventry City FC	H	2–0	W
08 Mar	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	2–1	W
01 Mar	Middlesbrough FC	A	0–1	L
22 Feb	Millwall FC	H	0–1	L
14 Feb	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

1/5

16-30

3/6

31-45

2/7

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/4

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	3 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Plymouth Argyle FC have kicked off against Derby County FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
11' Marcus Harness is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
16' The 25-year-old Bali Mumba has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matt Clarke, as he is very good at scoring at Home Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
26' A stunning finish from Harrison Armstrong — that came from absolutely nowhere!
31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jacob Widell Zetterstrom made 4 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
36' Plymouth Argyle FC is showing some good football. However, Plymouth Argyle FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
38' Mustapha Bundu has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 38 minutes.
43' The energy levels are beginning to show. John Eustace might look to freshen things up shortly.
45' Nathaniel Phillips was booked on 45.
46' Nathaniel Phillips doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
51' Plymouth Argyle FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
56' Plymouth Argyle FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 3-5-2 shape.
58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Liam Thompson.
61' Kayden Jackson gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Liam Thompson and will look to change the dynamic.
63' The supporters are chanting for Michael Obafemi. He replaces Callum Wright on 63 minute.
68' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
72' Joe Edwards has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bali Mumba on 72 minute.
74' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Kane Wilson is replaced by Sondre Langas on 74 minute.
79' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
80' Controversy at the stadium! Ebou Adams argues furiously but the card stands.
84' The supporters are chanting for Rami Hajal. He replaces Kornel Szucs on 84 minute.
88' Brilliant from the ! Marcus Harness makes it 1-4 with a superb finish on 88.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-3.

Lineups

Plymouth Argyle FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

4
Jordan Houghton
2
Bali Mumba ↓ Joe Edwards 72'
21
Conor Hazard
9
Ryan Hardie
25
Nikola Katic
17
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↓ Nathanael Ogbeta 72'
15
Mustapha Bundu
11
Callum Wright ↓ Michael Obafemi 63'
40
Maksym Taloverov
18
Darko Gyabi ↓ Malachi Boateng 72'
6
Kornel Szucs ↓ Rami Hajal 84'

Bench

Derby County FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Eustace

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marcus Harness	2
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing	2
Sam Cosgrove	2
Adam Randell	1
Harrison Armstrong	1
Mustapha Bundu	1
James Collins	1
Morgan Whittaker	1

Head to Head

Plymouth Argyle FC Form

2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC L 2025-03-12 Portsmouth FC 1–2 Plymouth Argyle FC W 2025-03-08 Plymouth Argyle FC 0–3 Sheffield Wednesday FC L 2025-03-04 Hull City AFC 2–0 Plymouth Argyle FC L 2025-03-01 Manchester City FC 3–1 Plymouth Argyle FC L 2025-02-22 Plymouth Argyle FC 1–1 Cardiff City FC D

Derby County FC Form

2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC W 2025-03-11 Derby County FC 2–0 Coventry City FC W 2025-03-08 Derby County FC 2–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2025-03-01 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC L 2025-02-14 Queens Park Rangers FC 4–0 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.57 Plymouth Argyle FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Plymouth Argyle FC38% Draw27% Derby County FC35%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.09

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw

65%

Draw or Derby County FC

62%

Plymouth Argyle FC or Derby County FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Plymouth Argyle FC29% Draw44% Derby County FC27%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

11.8%

2 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

7.9%

1 – 0

6.4%

0 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 1

6.1%

2 – 0

5.6%

0 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

4.3%

1 – 3

3 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap	Plymouth Argyle FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	19%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	18%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.