Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 16 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 3–6 | L |
| 24 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–5 | L |
| 20 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 16 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #9 |
| 39 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 54 | Scored | 55 |
| 44 | Conceded | 64 |
| +10 | GD | -9 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 41% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 16 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 8 G | 1 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 7 G | 4 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Philadelphia Union host FC Cincinnati — let the battle begin!
- 5' Philadelphia Union currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 11' What a moment for Olivier Mbaizo! That strike on 11 puts his side firmly in control.
- 16' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 21' Yuya Kubo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
- 26' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 31' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
- 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Philadelphia Union that had 294 games and scored 493 goals.
- 41' Jack McGlynn has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 294 appearances.
- 46' FC Cincinnati make a change. Joseph-Claude Gyau trudges off to be replaced by Chris Duvall on 46 minutes.
- 51' England international Jack Elliott has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 53' Against the run of play, Paxten Aaronson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 58' Philadelphia Union are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
- 63' It is a cagey affair so far. Philadelphia Union in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
- 68' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Isaac Atanga. He replaces Brenner da Silva on 71 minute.
- 76' Philadelphia Union make a change. Olivier Mbaizo trudges off to be replaced by Nathan Harriel on 76 minutes.
- 80' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Jack McGlynn is replaced by Leon Flach on 80 minute.
- 84' The whistle greets Yuya Kubo as he departs to be replaced by Kyle Scott.
- 89' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 89 minute. Alejandro Bedoya leaves to be changed by Jesus Bueno.
- Full Time. Philadelphia Union beats FC Cincinnati
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 3
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↓ Jesus Bueno 89'
-
15
Olivier Mbaizo ↓ Nathan Harriel 76'
- 6
- 8
- 5
-
16
Jack McGlynn ↓ Leon Flach 80'
-
23
Kacper Przybylko ↓ Cory Burke 80'
- 30
Bench
- 21
-
19
Cory Burke ↑ 80'
- 4
- 1
- 7
-
31
Leon Flach ↑ 80'
- 33
-
26
Nathan Harriel ↑ 76'
-
20
Jesus Bueno ↑ 89'
Coach
Jim Curtin
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 12
- 25
- 33
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Kyle Scott 84'
- 6
- 19
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Calvin Harris 71'
- 16
- 13
-
9
Brenner da Silva ↓ Isaac Atanga 71'
Bench
- 15
- 64
- 8
-
26
Chris Duvall ↑ 46'
-
23
Isaac Atanga ↑ 71'
- 22
-
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 71'
- 29
-
21
Kyle Scott ↑ 84'
Coach
Tyrone Marshall
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Damiani | 5 |
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Quinn Sullivan | 2 |
| Olivier Mbaizo | 1 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2021-10-31
Philadelphia Union
2–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2021-10-27
Toronto FC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2021-10-23
Philadelphia Union
1–0
Nashville SC
W
2021-10-21
Minnesota United FC
3–2
Philadelphia Union
L
2021-10-16
Montreal Impact FC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2021-10-10
FC Cincinnati
1–2
Philadelphia Union
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.9
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Philadelphia Union to win 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
88%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
28%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
7.1%
1 – 1
6.6%
4 – 1
5.7%
4 – 0
5.1%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.5%
5 – 1
3.4%
1 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -2 | 33% | 20% | 47% |
| -1.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| -1 | 53% | 19% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

