Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 16 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 3–6 | L |
| 24 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–5 | L |
| 20 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 16 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #6 |
| 16 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 4 / 4 / 10 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 25 | Scored | 45 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| -8 | GD | +1 |
| 0.89 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 22% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/5
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
4/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 8 G | 1 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Subaru Park will turn into a battlefield for Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati.
- 5' Yuya Kubo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Philadelphia Union is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 11' What composure from Olivier Mbaizo! The Cameroon international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 16' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 21' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 26' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 31' Jack Elliott is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Philadelphia Union tonight.
- 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Chris Duvall is hanging Joseph-Claude Gyau on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 53' GOAL! Paxten Aaronson scores on 53.
- 58' FC Cincinnati have won 361 goals from 248 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 63' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 68' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 71' Isaac Atanga is replacing Brenner da Silva for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 76' Nathan Harriel gets the nod from Philadelphia Union. He replaces Olivier Mbaizo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Leon Flach comes on to replace Jack McGlynn.
- 84' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Kyle Scott comes on to replace Yuya Kubo.
- 89' The crowd applauds Alejandro Bedoya as he leaves the pitch. Jesus Bueno steps in for Philadelphia Union.
- The points are shared — Philadelphia Union 2-0 FC Cincinnati. Honours even.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 3
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↓ Jesus Bueno 89'
-
15
Olivier Mbaizo ↓ Nathan Harriel 76'
- 6
- 8
- 5
-
16
Jack McGlynn ↓ Leon Flach 80'
-
23
Kacper Przybylko ↓ Cory Burke 80'
- 30
Bench
- 21
-
19
Cory Burke ↑ 80'
- 4
- 1
- 7
-
31
Leon Flach ↑ 80'
- 33
-
26
Nathan Harriel ↑ 76'
-
20
Jesus Bueno ↑ 89'
Coach
Jim Curtin
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 12
- 25
- 33
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Kyle Scott 84'
- 6
- 19
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Calvin Harris 71'
- 16
- 13
-
9
Brenner da Silva ↓ Isaac Atanga 71'
Bench
- 15
- 64
- 8
-
26
Chris Duvall ↑ 46'
-
23
Isaac Atanga ↑ 71'
- 22
-
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 71'
- 29
-
21
Kyle Scott ↑ 84'
Coach
Tyrone Marshall
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Bruno Damiani | 2 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Kacper Przybylko | 1 |
| Luca Orellano | 1 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2021-10-31
Philadelphia Union
2–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2021-10-27
Toronto FC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2021-10-23
Philadelphia Union
1–0
Nashville SC
W
2021-10-21
Minnesota United FC
3–2
Philadelphia Union
L
2021-10-16
Montreal Impact FC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2021-10-10
FC Cincinnati
1–2
Philadelphia Union
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.35
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.82
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
81%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
39%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
3.9%
0 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 17% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 20% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.