Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wrexham AFC vs Chelsea FC, FA Cup 2025-26 LAST 16

FA Cup · 2025-26
2 – 4
Full Time
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wrexham AFC vs Chelsea FC — FA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Wrexham AFC 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals Chelsea FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Chelsea FC H 2–4 L
28 Feb Charlton Athletic FC A 1–0 W
24 Feb Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
21 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 5–3 W
17 Feb Bristol City FC A 2–2 D
13 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Wrexham AFC A 4–2 W
04 Mar Aston Villa FC A 4–1 W
01 Mar Arsenal FC A 1–2 L
21 Feb Burnley FC H 1–1 D
13 Feb Hull City AFC A 4–0 W
10 Feb Leeds United FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Wrexham AFC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Pedro Neto 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wrexham AFC Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67 Wrexham AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Wrexham AFC or Chelsea FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC31% Draw24% Chelsea FC45%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Wrexham AFC or Draw
55%
Draw or Chelsea FC
69%
Wrexham AFC or Chelsea FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wrexham AFC24% Draw38% Chelsea FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Wrexham AFC

Handicap Wrexham AFC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 8% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 14% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 19% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.