Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Villarreal CF, Europe 2023-24 LAST 16

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 7 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Villarreal CF — Europe at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Olympique de Marseille 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Villarreal CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Villarreal CF H 4–0 W
02 Mar Clermont Foot 63 A 5–1 W
25 Feb Montpellier HSC H 4–1 W
22 Feb FK Shakhtar Donetsk H 3–1 W
18 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 0–1 L
15 Feb FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Olympique de Marseille A 0–4 L
03 Mar Granada CF H 5–1 W
23 Feb Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 3–1 W
16 Feb Getafe CF H 1–1 D
10 Feb Deportivo Alavés A 1–1 D
04 Feb Cadiz CF H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.41 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille67% Draw20% Villarreal CF13%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
87%
Draw or Villarreal CF
33%
Olympique de Marseille or Villarreal CF
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille52% Draw38% Villarreal CF10%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
9%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
7.3%
4 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.4%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 28% — 72%
-2 28% 21% 51%
-1.5 49% — 51%
-1 49% 22% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 90% — 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.