Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Luton Town FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham 29,445 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ramon Sosa 40' 1–0
Ryan Yates 40' 1–0
Jota Silva 68' 2–0
Ramon Sosa 68' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Luton Town FCFA Cup at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
06 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–0 W
29 Dec Everton FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–0 W
21 Dec Brentford FC A 2–0 W
14 Dec Aston Villa FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
06 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Norwich City FC H 0–1 L
29 Dec Swansea City AFC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec Derby County FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
Callum Hudson-Odoi 2 G
Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Nottingham Forest FC host Luton Town FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' Nottingham Forest FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Luton Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' The 20-year-old Eric da Silva Moreira has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' Nottingham Forest FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ramon Sosa on 40.
  • 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Luton Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 49' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Lamine Dabo is replaced by Jordan Clark.
  • 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nottingham Forest FC that had 372 games and scored 433 goals.
  • 57' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Zack Nelson by Jacob Brown on 57 minute.
  • 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 67' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 68' Jota Silva adds to his 0 season tally! Nottingham Forest FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 69' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Isaiah Jones has done his job and it is now time for Elijah Adebayo to step up.
  • 74' Nicolas Dominguez gets the nod from Nottingham Forest FC. He replaces Taiwo Awoniyi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 84' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. James Ward-Prowse is replaced by Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira on 85 minute.
  • 90' Isaiah Jones has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • With this win, Nottingham Forest FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC54% Draw27% Luton Town FC19%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Luton Town FC
46%
Nottingham Forest FC or Luton Town FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC34% Draw51% Luton Town FC15%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
13.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 25% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.