Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Luton Town FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham 29,445 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ramon Sosa 40' 1–0
Ryan Yates 40' 1–0
Jota Silva 68' 2–0
Ramon Sosa 68' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Luton Town FC — FA Cup at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
6 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 5.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
06 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–0 W
29 Dec Everton FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–0 W
21 Dec Brentford FC A 2–0 W
14 Dec Aston Villa FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
06 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Norwich City FC H 0–1 L
29 Dec Swansea City AFC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec Derby County FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC
Callum Hudson-Odoi 2 G
Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Nottingham Forest FC get us underway at City Ground, Nottingham.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Luton Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Harry Toffolo, as he is very good at scoring at City Ground, Nottingham with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryan Yates made 377 appearances and scored 26 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Jacob Brown has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' Ramon Sosa doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 45' Luton Town FC have won 477 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 49' Jordan Clark has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lamine Dabo on 49 minute.
  • 54' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Zack Nelson is withdrawn and Jacob Brown gets his opportunity.
  • 62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 389 games and scored 477 goals.
  • 67' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nottingham Forest FC and Luton Town FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 68' What composure from Jota Silva! The Portugal international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 69' Elijah Adebayo is replacing Isaiah Jones for the Luton Town FC side.
  • 74' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Taiwo Awoniyi departs to be replaced by Nicolas Dominguez.
  • 79' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nottingham Forest FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. James Ward-Prowse is replaced by Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira on 85 minute.
  • 90' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Luton Town FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC54% Draw27% Luton Town FC19%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Luton Town FC
46%
Nottingham Forest FC or Luton Town FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC34% Draw51% Luton Town FC15%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
13.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 25% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.