Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sun 29 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium 16,414 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Carlton Morris
Goncalo Franco 38' 1–1
Myles Peart-Harris 90+1' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Luton Town FCChampionship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Farai Hallam (England)
  • Assistant 1 Mark Russell
  • Assistant 2 James Wilson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Luton Town FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–0 W
21 Dec Hull City AFC A 1–2 L
14 Dec Sunderland AFC H 2–3 L
10 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–1 W
07 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Swansea City AFC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec Derby County FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–2 L
10 Dec Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
07 Dec Swansea City AFC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Swansea City AFC gets underway.
  • 5' What a strike from Carlton Morris! The score is 0-1.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' It looks surprising Swansea City AFC does not make any changes. Matt Grimes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' It’s high time Luke Williams made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' Luton Town FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 31' Luton Town FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 36' Ji-sung Eom has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 38' Goal! Goncalo Franco scores his 6 goal in 320 matches.
  • 43' Swansea City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 382 games and scored 465 goals.
  • 53' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Goncalo Franco by Jay Fulton on 53 minute.
  • 58' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' That looks like a foul for a card for Jordan Clark.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Marvelous Nakamba is replaced by Zack Nelson on 64 minute.
  • 68' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joseph Johnson on 68.
  • 71' Reuell Walters has so much to prove this time. He replaces Elijah Adebayo on 71 minute.
  • 76' Swansea City AFC is showing some good football. However, Swansea City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 77' Another change for Swansea City AFC made on 77 minute. Ji-sung Eom leaves to be changed by Myles Peart-Harris.
  • 82' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 86' Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tom Krauss on 86 minute.
  • 90' The Swansea City AFC manager makes a substitution. Matt Grimes departs to be replaced by Azeem Abdulai.
  • Another three points for Swansea City AFC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC47% Draw28% Luton Town FC25%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
75%
Draw or Luton Town FC
53%
Swansea City AFC or Luton Town FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC31% Draw49% Luton Town FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
37%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.