Luton Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Luton Town FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Nottingham Forest FC

Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 34' Chris Wood

Luke Berry 89' 1–1

Issa Kabore 30' Y

Y 84' Harry Toffolo

Y 90' Matz Sels

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League at Kenilworth Road.

Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Nottingham Forest FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Darren England
Assistant 1 James Mainwaring
Assistant 2 Richard West

6 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 5.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Manchester City FC	5	15
2	Arsenal FC	5	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	5	10
4	Brentford FC	5	9
5	Leeds United FC	5	9
6	Liverpool FC	5	9
7	Everton FC	5	9
8	Hull City AFC	5	8
9	Newcastle United FC	5	8
10	Chelsea FC	5	7
11	Ipswich Town FC	5	6
12	Manchester United FC	5	5
13	Nottingham Forest FC	5	5
14	Sunderland AFC	5	4
15	Crystal Palace FC	5	4
16	Aston Villa FC	5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	3
18	Coventry City FC	5	3
19	Fulham FC	5	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur FC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Luton Town FC 9 games · Avg 2.1 goals Nottingham Forest FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-16 Luton Town FC 1–1 Nottingham Forest FC 2023-10-21 Nottingham Forest FC 2–2 Luton Town FC 2022-04-15 Luton Town FC 1–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2021-11-23 Nottingham Forest FC 0–0 Luton Town FC 2021-03-02 Nottingham Forest FC 0–1 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	Nottingham Forest FC	H	1–1	D
13 Mar	AFC Bournemouth	A	3–4	L
09 Mar	Crystal Palace FC	A	1–1	D
02 Mar	Aston Villa FC	H	2–3	L
27 Feb	Manchester City FC	H	2–6	L
21 Feb	Liverpool FC	A	1–4	L

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Mar	Luton Town FC	A	1–1	D
10 Mar	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	0–1	L
02 Mar	Liverpool FC	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Manchester United FC	H	0–1	L
24 Feb	Aston Villa FC	A	2–4	L
17 Feb	West Ham United FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

1/1

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

Morgan Gibbs-White	1 G	2 A
Dan Ndoye	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Nottingham Forest FC get us underway at Kenilworth Road.
5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
15' Nottingham Forest FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
25' Alfie Doughty needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 27 Yellow cards this season.
30' A moment of madness from Issa Kabore on 30 minutes earns him a card. Luton Town FC will be frustrated.
34' What a moment for Chris Wood! That strike on 34 puts his side firmly in control.
39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Harry Toffolo made 326 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
46' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Alfie Doughty is replaced by Cauley Woodrow on 46 minute.
51' Divock Origi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
60' The whistle greets Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu as he departs to be replaced by Andros Townsend.
65' Luton Town FC have won 477 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
70' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
75' The crowd applauds Divock Origi as he leaves the pitch. Callum Hudson-Odoi steps in for Nottingham Forest FC.
76' Nottingham Forest FC ring the changes. Chris Wood has done his job and it is now time for Luis Felipe Monteiro to step up.
81' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
82' Nicolas Dominguez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Morgan Gibbs-White on 82 minute.
84' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Harry Toffolo on 84 minutes.
85' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 85 minute. Jordan Clark leaves to be changed by Luke Berry.
89' What a moment for Luke Berry! That strike on 89 puts his side firmly in control.
90' A moment of madness from Matz Sels on 90 minutes earns him a card. Nottingham Forest FC will be frustrated.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

6
Ross Barkley
16
Reece Burke
45
Alfie Doughty ↓ Cauley Woodrow 46'
9
Carlton Morris
18
Jordan Clark ↓ Luke Berry 85'
7
Chiedozie Ogbene
24
Thomas Kaminski
14
Tahith Chong
12
Issa Kabore
15
Teden Mengi
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↓ Andros Townsend 60'

Bench

Coach Rob Edwards

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

27
Divock Origi ↓ Callum Hudson-Odoi 75'
11
Chris Wood ↓ Luis Felipe Monteiro 76'
22
Ryan Yates
30
Willy Boly
10
Morgan Gibbs-White ↓ Nicolas Dominguez 82'
15
Harry Toffolo
6
Ibrahim Sangare
26
Matz Sels
7
Neco Williams
21
Anthony Elanga
40
Murillo

Bench

Coach Nuno Espírito Santo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Wood	3
Ramon Sosa	2
Joe Lolley	2
Ryan Yates	2
Glen Rea	2
Kal Naismith	2
Lewis Grabban	2
Chiedozie Ogbene	1

Head to Head

Luton Town FC Form

2024-03-16 Luton Town FC 1–1 Nottingham Forest FC D 2024-03-13 AFC Bournemouth 4–3 Luton Town FC L 2024-03-09 Crystal Palace FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2024-03-02 Luton Town FC 2–3 Aston Villa FC L 2024-02-27 Luton Town FC 2–6 Manchester City FC L 2024-02-21 Liverpool FC 4–1 Luton Town FC L

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2024-03-16 Luton Town FC 1–1 Nottingham Forest FC D 2024-03-10 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 1–0 Nottingham Forest FC L 2024-03-02 Nottingham Forest FC 0–1 Liverpool FC L 2024-02-28 Nottingham Forest FC 0–1 Manchester United FC L 2024-02-24 Aston Villa FC 4–2 Nottingham Forest FC L 2024-02-17 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 West Ham United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.36 Luton Town FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 Nottingham Forest FC xG

I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Nottingham Forest FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Luton Town FC42% Draw28% Nottingham Forest FC30%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.6

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw

70%

Draw or Nottingham Forest FC

58%

Luton Town FC or Nottingham Forest FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Luton Town FC28% Draw48% Nottingham Forest FC24%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

9.4%

1 – 0

2 – 1

8.2%

0 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

7.5%

2 – 0

6.7%

0 – 2

5.6%

2 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

3.8%

1 – 3

3.1%

3 – 0

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap	Luton Town FC covers	Push	Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	20%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	18%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.