Saturday , 14 November 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Luton Town FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham 29,445 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ramon Sosa 40' 1–0
Ryan Yates 40' 1–0
Jota Silva 68' 2–0
Ramon Sosa 68' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Luton Town FC — FA Cup at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 7.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
06 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–0 W
29 Dec Everton FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–0 W
21 Dec Brentford FC A 2–0 W
14 Dec Aston Villa FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
06 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Norwich City FC H 0–1 L
29 Dec Swansea City AFC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec Derby County FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Luton Town FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC
Jordan Clark 1 G 1 A
Emilio Lawrence 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Luton Town FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Jacob Brown has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Luton Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Liam Walsh is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Luton Town FC.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' The 27-year-old Jota Silva has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 40' The Paraguay Ramon Sosa breaks the deadlock on 40 minutes. 1-0!
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 49' Lamine Dabo makes way for Jordan Clark at the 49 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 54' Ryan Yates has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 57' Jacob Brown is ready to make an impact after coming on for Zack Nelson at the 57 minute mark.
  • 62' Nottingham Forest FC is showing some good football. However, Nottingham Forest FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 67' Reuell Walters needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 68' GOAL! Jota Silva scores on 68.
  • 69' Isaiah Jones makes way for Elijah Adebayo at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 74' Another substitution for Nottingham Forest FC to replace Taiwo Awoniyi by Nicolas Dominguez on 74 minute.
  • 79' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Carlton Morris made 329 appearances and scored 68 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 84' Nottingham Forest FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 84.
  • 85' Nottingham Forest FC ring the changes. James Ward-Prowse has done his job and it is now time for Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira to step up.
  • 90' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 90 minutes.
  • Another three points for Nottingham Forest FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC54% Draw27% Luton Town FC19%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Luton Town FC
46%
Nottingham Forest FC or Luton Town FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC34% Draw51% Luton Town FC15%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
13.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 25% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.