Watford FC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2023-24

Watford FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Cardiff City FC

Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Vicarage Road HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 43' Josh Bowler

Giorgi Chakvetadze 44' Y

Matthew Pollock 47' Y

Jake Livermore 50' Y

Y 51' Rubin Colwill

Y 69' Josh Bowler

Y 90' Dimitrios Goutas

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Cardiff City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.

Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Cardiff City FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee James Linington
Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
Assistant 2

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Watford FC 11 games · Avg 3.3 goals Cardiff City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-03 Watford FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC 2023-10-07 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Watford FC 2023-04-19 Watford FC 1–3 Cardiff City FC 2022-11-02 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Watford FC 2021-03-13 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Watford FC

Recent Form

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Feb	Cardiff City FC	H	0–1	L
31 Jan	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	0–0	D
28 Jan	Southampton FC	H	1–1	D
20 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	1–1	D
14 Jan	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	2–1	W
06 Jan	Chesterfield FC	H	2–1	W

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Feb	Watford FC	A	1–0	W
20 Jan	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	1–3	L
13 Jan	Leeds United FC	H	0–3	L
06 Jan	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	0–4	L
01 Jan	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	2–1	W
29 Dec	Leicester City FC	H	0–2	L

Season Stats

Watford FC		Cardiff City FC
#20	Position	#14
15	Points	18
15	Played	15
4 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	4 / 6 / 5
13	Scored	27
23	Conceded	27
-10	GD	+0
1.00	PPG	1.20
27%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

7% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Cardiff City FC are 14th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

–/6

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Cardiff City FC

0-15

4/6

16-30

3/5

31-45

9/3

46-60

1/7

61-75

5/2

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	3 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Cardiff City FC

Jack Moylan	10 G	3 A
Yousef Salech	5 G	1 A
Cian Ashford	2 G	2 A
Rubin Colwill	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Vicarage Road. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Watford FC and Cardiff City FC.
5' Cardiff City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Erol Bulut might look to freshen things up shortly.
15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Watford FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
20' Jak Alnwick is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Watford FC so far.
25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Watford FC and Cardiff City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
40' Watford FC are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Cardiff City FC's 4-4-2 shape.
43' Magnificent from Josh Bowler! That is 21 goals in 390 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
44' Giorgi Chakvetadze catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 44.
47' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Matthew Pollock.
50' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. Jake Livermore gets a Yellow card.
51' The referee has no hesitation. Rubin Colwill is booked for Cardiff City FC — Yellow card on 51.
56' Yaser Asprilla is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cardiff City FC tonight.
60' Ken Sema is replacing Giorgi Chakvetadze for the Watford FC side.
62' Cardiff City FC make a change. Rubin Colwill trudges off to be replaced by David Turnbull on 62 minutes.
67' It looks surprising Cardiff City FC does not make any changes. Giorgi Chakvetadze has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
69' Josh Bowler has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 69.
74' Cardiff City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Wilson-Esbrand is hanging Josh Bowler on the field on 74 minute.
78' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Jake Livermore exits the field as Tom Dele-Bashiru enters on 78.
82' Cardiff City FC make a change. Kion Etete trudges off to be replaced by Famara Diedhiou on 82 minutes.
87' Cardiff City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
90' Poor challenge from Dimitrios Goutas. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
Another three points for Cardiff City FC.

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

26
Ben Hamer
8
Jake Livermore ↓ Tom Dele-Bashiru 78'
4
Wesley Hoedt
6
Jamal Lewis
16
Giorgi Chakvetadze ↓ Ken Sema 60'
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↓ Mileta Rajovic 60'
15
Matthew Pollock
37
Matheus Martins ↓ Emmanuel Dennis 60'
11
Ismael Kone
18
Yaser Asprilla
45
Ryan Andrews

Bench

Coach Valerien Ismael

Cardiff City FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

21
Jak Alnwick
38
Perry Ng ↓ Mahlon Romeo 74'
6
Ryan Wintle
17
Jamilu Collins ↓ Nathaniel Phillips 82'
4
Dimitrios Goutas
9
Kion Etete ↓ Famara Diedhiou 82'
14
Josh Bowler ↓ Josh Wilson-Esbrand 74'
23
Manolis Siopis
5
Mark McGuinness
27
Rubin Colwill ↓ David Turnbull 62'
16
Karlan Grant

Bench

–
Famara Diedhiou ↑ 82'
22
Yakou Meite
10
Aaron Ramsey
2
Mahlon Romeo ↑ 74'
–
David Turnbull ↑ 62'
–
Nathaniel Phillips ↑ 82'
–
Josh Wilson-Esbrand ↑ 74'
32
Ollie Tanner
41
Matthew Turner

Coach Erol Bulut

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gerard Deulofeu	4
Ismaila Sarr	3
Cedric Kipre	3
Callum Robinson	3
Jack Moylan	2
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	2
Troy Deeney	2
Francisco Sierralta	2

Head to Head

Watford FC Form

2024-02-03 Watford FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC L 2024-01-31 Sheffield Wednesday FC 0–0 Watford FC D 2024-01-28 Watford FC 1–1 Southampton FC D 2024-01-20 Bristol City FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2024-01-14 Queens Park Rangers FC 1–2 Watford FC W 2024-01-06 Watford FC 2–1 Chesterfield FC W

Cardiff City FC Form

2024-02-03 Watford FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC W 2024-01-20 Plymouth Argyle FC 3–1 Cardiff City FC L 2024-01-13 Cardiff City FC 0–3 Leeds United FC L 2024-01-06 Sheffield Wednesday FC 4–0 Cardiff City FC L 2024-01-01 Queens Park Rangers FC 1–2 Cardiff City FC W 2023-12-29 Cardiff City FC 0–2 Leicester City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.27 Watford FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.49 Cardiff City FC xG

I would bet for: Watford FC or Cardiff City FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Watford FC35% Draw28% Cardiff City FC37%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.76

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Cardiff City FC

65%

Watford FC or Cardiff City FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Watford FC24% Draw46% Cardiff City FC30%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

1 – 2

8.6%

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.2%

2 – 1

7.3%

1 – 0

7.1%

0 – 2

6.9%

2 – 2

5.5%

2 – 0

1 – 3

4.3%

0 – 3

3.4%

3 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap	Watford FC covers	Push	Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	17%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	20%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.