Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Watford FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 6 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Saint Mary's 17,844 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sekou Mara 52' 1–0
Sekou Mara 58' 2–0
Che Adams 76' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Watford FC — FA Cup at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Tim Wood
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb Watford FC H 3–0 W
03 Feb Rotherham United FC A 2–0 W
28 Jan Watford FC A 1–1 D
20 Jan Swansea City AFC A 3–1 W
13 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
06 Jan Walsall FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb Southampton FC A 0–3 L
03 Feb Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
31 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–0 D
28 Jan Southampton FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
14 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

77% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Saint Mary's!
  • 5' Flynn Downes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sekou Mara, as he is very good at scoring at Saint Mary's with 6 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 21' The referee has no hesitation. William Smallbone is booked for Southampton FC — card on 21.
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. Southampton FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 36' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 41' It is a cagey affair so far. Southampton FC in their trying to find a way past Watford FC's compact .
  • 46' The referee has no hesitation. James Morris is booked for Watford FC — card on 46.
  • 49' Giorgi Chakvetadze is having his name booked by the referee on 49.
  • 51' The referee calls foul for Tyler Dibling. He receives a card.
  • 52' The France forward Sekou Mara breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 1-0!
  • 54' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Ryan Andrews comes on to replace Giorgi Chakvetadze.
  • 58' Brilliant from the forward! Sekou Mara makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 58.
  • 60' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Daniel Bachmann is withdrawn and Ben Hamer gets his opportunity.
  • 65' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Samuel Edozie is hanging Tyler Dibling on the field on 65 minute.
  • 69' Poor challenge from Ryan Porteous. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 69' Time for substitution for Watford FC. Mileta Rajovic is replaced by Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
  • 74' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 75' It’s a booking for Watford FC player. Francisco Sierralta gets a card.
  • 76' A goal from the Scotland international Che Adams! He fires home on 76 to make it 3-0!
  • 77' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Joe Rothwell by Adam Armstrong on 77 minute.
  • 78' Samuel Amo-Ameyaw is ready to make an impact after coming on for Che Adams at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 86' Poor challenge from Samuel Edozie. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 87' Adam Armstrong is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
  • 87' Cameron Bragg is ready to make an impact after coming on for William Smallbone at the 87 minute mark.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Ismael Kone as he leaves the pitch. Tom Ince steps in for Watford FC.
  • Another three points for Southampton FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC60% Draw24% Watford FC16%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Watford FC
40%
Southampton FC or Watford FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC40% Draw47% Watford FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
2.9%
0 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 25% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.