Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Watford FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 6 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Saint Mary's 17,844 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sekou Mara 52' 1–0
Sekou Mara 58' 2–0
Che Adams 76' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Watford FCFA Cup at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Tim Wood
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb Watford FC H 3–0 W
03 Feb Rotherham United FC A 2–0 W
28 Jan Watford FC A 1–1 D
20 Jan Swansea City AFC A 3–1 W
13 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
06 Jan Walsall FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Feb Southampton FC A 0–3 L
03 Feb Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
31 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–0 D
28 Jan Southampton FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
14 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Saint Mary's that hosts another battle between Southampton FC and Watford FC.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Southampton FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 21' It’s gonna be a card for William Smallbone.
  • 26' Southampton FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
  • 41' It looks surprising Southampton FC does not make any changes. Mileta Rajovic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' The referee has no hesitation. James Morris is booked for Watford FC — card on 46.
  • 49' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Giorgi Chakvetadze on 49 minutes.
  • 51' Tyler Dibling picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 52' Sekou Mara is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 54' Ryan Andrews has so much to prove this time. He replaces Giorgi Chakvetadze on 54 minute.
  • 58' Against the run of play, Sekou Mara has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 60' Another change for Watford FC made on 60 minute. Daniel Bachmann leaves to be changed by Ben Hamer.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Tyler Dibling is replaced by Samuel Edozie on 65 minute.
  • 69' Ryan Porteous catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 69.
  • 69' Vakoun Issouf Bayo is replacing Mileta Rajovic for the Watford FC side.
  • 74' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 75' Poor challenge from Francisco Sierralta. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 76' The deadlock is broken! Che Adams gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Joe Rothwell is replaced by Adam Armstrong.
  • 78' Southampton FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Samuel Amo-Ameyaw is hanging Che Adams on the field on 78 minute.
  • 83' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 86' Southampton FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Adam Armstrong on 87 minutes.
  • 87' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. William Smallbone is replaced by Cameron Bragg on 87 minute.
  • 90' Ismael Kone makes way for Tom Ince at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
  • With this win, Southampton FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC60% Draw24% Watford FC16%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Watford FC
40%
Southampton FC or Watford FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC40% Draw47% Watford FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
2.9%
0 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 25% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
47%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.