Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Watford FC vs Southampton FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sun 28 Jan 2024 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 16,688 HT 45' · FT 45'
Matheus Martins 5' 1–0
1–1 89' Stuart Armstrong

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Southampton FC — FA Cup at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
  • Assistant 2 Derek Eaton
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Southampton FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
14 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W
06 Jan Chesterfield FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–3 D
29 Dec Stoke City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Watford FC A 1–1 D
20 Jan Swansea City AFC A 3–1 W
13 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
06 Jan Walsall FC H 4–0 W
01 Jan Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

77% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Watford FC host Southampton FC — let the battle begin!
  • 4' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mason Holgate on 4 minutes.
  • 5' What composure from Matheus Martins! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jack Stephens made 353 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Stuart Armstrong, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Watford FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' Southampton FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Carlos Alcaraz is having his name booked by the referee on 40.
  • 45' Giorgi Chakvetadze was booked on 45.
  • 50' The travelling Southampton FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 55' The 20-year-old Samuel Amo-Ameyaw has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 60' Jamal Lewis has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 62' The crowd applauds Jamal Lewis as he leaves the pitch. James Morris steps in for Watford FC.
  • 63' A tactical swap from Southampton FC — Adam Armstrong on, Tyler Dibling off on 63 minutes.
  • 68' The energy levels are beginning to show. Russell Martin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 73' Watford FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 76' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Tom Ince comes on to replace Ismael Kone.
  • 78' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Jayden Meghoma exits the field as Samuel Amo-Ameyaw enters on 78.
  • 83' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Southampton FC backline.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Porteous. He replaces Giorgi Chakvetadze on 86 minute.
  • 89' Magnificent from Stuart Armstrong! That is 29 goals in 353 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Watford FC 1-1 Southampton FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Southampton FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC36% Draw30% Southampton FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Southampton FC
64%
Watford FC or Southampton FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC25% Draw49% Southampton FC26%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.