Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Southampton FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sun 28 Jan 2024 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 16,688 HT 45' · FT 45'
Matheus Martins 5' 1–0
1–1 89' Stuart Armstrong

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Southampton FCFA Cup at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
  • Assistant 2 Derek Eaton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Southampton FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
14 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W
06 Jan Chesterfield FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–3 D
29 Dec Stoke City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Watford FC A 1–1 D
20 Jan Swansea City AFC A 3–1 W
13 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
06 Jan Walsall FC H 4–0 W
01 Jan Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Watford FC and Southampton FC is underway.
  • 4' A moment of madness from Mason Holgate on 4 minutes earns him a card. Southampton FC will be frustrated.
  • 5' Matheus Martins puts Watford FC on the lead.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Jack Stephens has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Taylor Harwood-Bellis has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Watford FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their trying to find a way past Southampton FC's compact .
  • 40' Carlos Alcaraz was booked on 40.
  • 45' That is a card for Watford FC. Giorgi Chakvetadze will be fuming at that decision.
  • 50' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 348 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 60' Southampton FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 62' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Jamal Lewis is withdrawn and James Morris gets his opportunity.
  • 63' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Tyler Dibling exits the field as Adam Armstrong enters on 63.
  • 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 76' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tom Ince is hanging Ismael Kone on the field on 76 minute.
  • 78' Samuel Amo-Ameyaw is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jayden Meghoma at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Ryan Porteous comes on to replace Giorgi Chakvetadze.
  • 89' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Stuart Armstrong makes it 1-1.
  • It finishes all square. Watford FC and Southampton FC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Southampton FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC36% Draw30% Southampton FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Southampton FC
64%
Watford FC or Southampton FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC25% Draw49% Southampton FC26%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.