Watford FC vs Southampton FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Southampton FC — FA Cup at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Southampton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Salisbury
- Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
- Assistant 2 Derek Eaton
5 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan | Southampton FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Jan | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Jan | Chesterfield FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 29 Dec | Stoke City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan | Watford FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jan | Swansea City AFC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 06 Jan | Walsall FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 01 Jan | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Dec | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
77%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Southampton FC kicks off things out of here…
- 4' The referee shows Southampton FC player a card on 4.
- 5' Brilliant from the ! Matheus Martins makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 5.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' Watford FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joe Lumley, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 373 games and scored 406 goals.
- 40' It’s a booking for Southampton FC player. Carlos Alcaraz gets a card.
- 45' Giorgi Chakvetadze catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 50' Sekou Mara, a France forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
- 60' Che Adams has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
- 62' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Jamal Lewis by James Morris on 62 minute.
- 63' Adam Armstrong is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tyler Dibling at the 63 minute mark.
- 68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 73' Stuart Armstrong needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 76' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Tom Ince comes on to replace Ismael Kone.
- 78' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Jayden Meghoma is replaced by Samuel Amo-Ameyaw.
- 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 86' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryan Porteous is hanging Giorgi Chakvetadze on the field on 86 minute.
- 89' The Scotland Stuart Armstrong breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 1-1!
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Watford FC 1-1 Southampton FC.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
6
Jamal Lewis ↓ James Morris 62'
- 3
- 1
- 16
- 19
- 15
- 37
-
11
Ismael Kone ↓ Tom Ince 76'
-
18
Yaser Asprilla ↓ Ken Sema 62'
- 45
Bench
-
–
Emmanuel Dennis ↑ 76'
-
12
Ken Sema ↑ 62'
- 8
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 76'
-
5
Ryan Porteous ↑ 86'
-
42
James Morris ↑ 62'
- 59
- 40
- 9
Coach
Valerien Ismael
Southampton FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 5
-
10
Che Adams ↓ Ryan Fraser 63'
- 13
-
19
Joe Rothwell ↓ Stuart Armstrong 63'
- 21
- 22
- 18
- 24
- 80
-
33
Tyler Dibling ↓ Adam Armstrong 63'
Bench
-
26
Ryan Fraser ↑ 63'
- 1
- 35
-
17
Stuart Armstrong ↑ 63'
- 2
-
9
Adam Armstrong ↑ 63'
- 3
-
16
William Smallbone ↑ 63'
-
27
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw ↑ 78'
Coach
Russell Martin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Che Adams | 5 |
| Danny Ings | 3 |
| James Ward-Prowse | 2 |
| Sekou Mara | 2 |
| Juan Hernandez | 2 |
| Mohamed Elyounoussi | 1 |
| Cyle Larin | 1 |
| Jose Holebas | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Southampton FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
Southampton FC xG
I would bet for:
Watford FC or Southampton FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Southampton FC
64%
Watford FC or Southampton FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Southampton FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

