Saturday , 14 November 2026

Watford FC vs Southampton FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sun 28 Jan 2024 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 16,688 HT 45' · FT 45'
Matheus Martins 5' 1–0
1–1 89' Stuart Armstrong

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Southampton FC — FA Cup at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
  • Assistant 2 Derek Eaton
5 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Southampton FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
14 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W
06 Jan Chesterfield FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–3 D
29 Dec Stoke City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Watford FC A 1–1 D
20 Jan Swansea City AFC A 3–1 W
13 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
06 Jan Walsall FC H 4–0 W
01 Jan Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

77% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Southampton FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 4' The referee shows Southampton FC player a card on 4.
  • 5' Brilliant from the ! Matheus Martins makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 5.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Watford FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' Watford FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joe Lumley, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 373 games and scored 406 goals.
  • 40' It’s a booking for Southampton FC player. Carlos Alcaraz gets a card.
  • 45' Giorgi Chakvetadze catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 50' Sekou Mara, a France forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
  • 60' Che Adams has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 4 goals to his name this season.
  • 62' Another substitution for Watford FC to replace Jamal Lewis by James Morris on 62 minute.
  • 63' Adam Armstrong is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tyler Dibling at the 63 minute mark.
  • 68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 73' Stuart Armstrong needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 76' Fresh legs for Watford FC! Tom Ince comes on to replace Ismael Kone.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Jayden Meghoma is replaced by Samuel Amo-Ameyaw.
  • 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Watford FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 86' Watford FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryan Porteous is hanging Giorgi Chakvetadze on the field on 86 minute.
  • 89' The Scotland Stuart Armstrong breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 1-1!
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Watford FC 1-1 Southampton FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Southampton FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC36% Draw30% Southampton FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Southampton FC
64%
Watford FC or Southampton FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC25% Draw49% Southampton FC26%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.