Sunday , 16 August 2026

Watford FC vs Southampton FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sun 28 Jan 2024 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 16,688 HT 45' · FT 45'
Matheus Martins 5' 1–0
1–1 89' Stuart Armstrong

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Southampton FCFA Cup at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
  • Assistant 2 Derek Eaton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Southampton FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
14 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W
06 Jan Chesterfield FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–3 D
29 Dec Stoke City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Watford FC A 1–1 D
20 Jan Swansea City AFC A 3–1 W
13 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
06 Jan Walsall FC H 4–0 W
01 Jan Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Watford FC launch into their encounter with Southampton FC.
  • 4' That is a card for Southampton FC. Mason Holgate will be fuming at that decision.
  • 5' Goal! Matheus Martins scores his 15 goal in 389 matches.
  • 10' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Southampton FC backline.
  • 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' Carlos Alcaraz picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Giorgi Chakvetadze on 45 minutes.
  • 50' Ryan Andrews is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Watford FC tonight.
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Southampton FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 62' Fresh legs for Watford FC! James Morris comes on to replace Jamal Lewis.
  • 63' The Southampton FC manager makes a substitution. Tyler Dibling departs to be replaced by Adam Armstrong.
  • 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 73' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Ismael Kone as he leaves the pitch. Tom Ince steps in for Watford FC.
  • 78' Jayden Meghoma makes way for Samuel Amo-Ameyaw at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
  • 83' Southampton FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 86' Ryan Porteous is replacing Giorgi Chakvetadze for the Watford FC side.
  • 89' Stuart Armstrong makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Southampton FC are in front.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Southampton FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC36% Draw30% Southampton FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Southampton FC
64%
Watford FC or Southampton FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC25% Draw49% Southampton FC26%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.