New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

5 – 3

Full Time

New England Revolution

Wed 16 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Leonardo Campana

Wikelmann Carmona 54' Y

Y 60' Brayan Ceballos

Noah Eile 76' Y

Y 86' Keegan Hughes

Y 90' Luis Diaz

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
New England Revolution 14 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.9 goals New England Revolution

Last 5 meetings

2025-07-16 New York Red Bulls 5–3 New England Revolution 2025-03-29 New England Revolution 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2024-06-08 New England Revolution 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2024-05-11 New York Red Bulls 4–2 New England Revolution 2023-08-30 New England Revolution 1–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Jul	New England Revolution	H	5–3	W
12 Jul	Philadelphia Union	A	0–2	L
06 Jul	San Jose Earthquakes	A	1–1	D
28 Jun	Minnesota United FC	H	2–2	D
25 Jun	Toronto FC	A	1–1	D
15 Jun	Austin FC	A	1–2	L

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Jul	New York Red Bulls	A	3–5	L
13 Jul	Austin FC	A	0–0	D
09 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–2	L
06 Jul	Portland Timbers	A	1–2	L
28 Jun	Colorado Rapids SC	H	3–3	D
25 Jun	Nashville SC	H	2–3	L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		New England Revolution
#5	Position	#4
22	Points	25
15	Played	14
6 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	8 / 1 / 5
25	Scored	22
32	Conceded	18
-7	GD	+4
1.47	PPG	1.79
40%	Win %	57%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

36% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). New England Revolution are 4th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New England Revolution

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

3/–

61-75

1/–

76+

4/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Red Bull Arena. New York Red Bulls are looking to make home advantage count against New England Revolution.
5' The deadlock is broken! Leonardo Campana gets on the scoresheet on 5 minutes.
10' New England Revolution come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
15' Keegan Hughes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
30' Kyle Duncan doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
45' Controversy at the stadium! Leonardo Campana argues furiously but the card stands.
46' A change in the New England Revolution ranks — Peyton Miller exits the field as Will Sands enters on 46.
51' The travelling New England Revolution supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Wikelmann Carmona.
56' What composure from Daniel Edelman! The USA international strokes it home. 2-1.
60' That looks like a foul for a card for Brayan Ceballos.
62' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Daniel Edelman is replaced by Wiktor Bogacz on 62 minute.
63' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Wikelmann Carmona exits the field as Julian Hall enters on 63.
66' Wyatt Omsberg has so much to prove this time. He replaces Brayan Ceballos on 66 minute.
70' The deadlock is broken! Maxim Choupo-Moting gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
71' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Omar Valencia exits the field as Raheem Edwards enters on 71.
72' What a strike from Emil Forsberg! The score is 4-1.
73' New England Revolution ring the changes. Luca Langoni has done his job and it is now time for Tomas Chancalay to step up.
76' Noah Eile is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
80' It is a substitution in New England Revolution team. Tanner Beason is replaced by Luis Diaz on 80 minute.
83' Maxim Choupo-Moting doubles the advantage! 5-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
86' Keegan Hughes was booked on 86.
88' Emil Forsberg with the second goal in the match!
90' Luis Diaz picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
New York Red Bulls celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

42
Alexander Hack ↑ 62'
26
Tim Parker
44
Raheem Edwards ↑ 71'
12
Dylan Nealis
1
AJ Marcucci
8
Peter Stroud
16
Julian Hall ↑ 63'
22
Dennis Gjengaar ↑ 71'
7
Wiktor Bogacz ↑ 62'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

14
Jackson Yueill
88
Andrew Farrell
24
Alex Bono
16
Wyatt Omsberg ↑ 66'
7
Tomas Chancalay ↑ 73'
11
Luis Diaz ↑ 80'
23
Will Sands ↑ 46'
37
Maxi Urruti
12
Illay Feingold ↑ 73'

Coach Caleb Porter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gustavo Bou	6
Carles Gil	3
Emil Forsberg	3
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3
Tajon Buchanan	3
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
DeJuan Jones	2
Brandon Bye	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-07-16 New York Red Bulls 5–3 New England Revolution W 2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls L 2025-07-06 San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-06-28 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Minnesota United FC D 2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-06-15 Austin FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L

New England Revolution Form

2025-07-16 New York Red Bulls 5–3 New England Revolution L 2025-07-13 Austin FC 0–0 New England Revolution D 2025-07-09 New England Revolution 1–2 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-07-06 Portland Timbers 2–1 New England Revolution L 2025-06-28 New England Revolution 3–3 Colorado Rapids SC D 2025-06-25 New England Revolution 2–3 Nashville SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.16 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.99 New England Revolution xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls46% Draw22% New England Revolution32%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.15

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

68%

Draw or New England Revolution

54%

New York Red Bulls or New England Revolution

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls34% Draw37% New England Revolution29%

Actual: New England Revolution win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted

5 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

7.6%

2 – 1

7.2%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 2

2 – 3

4.6%

1 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

3.8%

3 – 3

3.3%

0 – 2

3.2%

1 – 0

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	New England Revolution covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	13%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	18%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	16%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.