New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New York Red Bulls

4 – 2

Full Time

New England Revolution

Sat 11 May 2024 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 42' Henry Kessler

Y 66' Dylan Borrero

Y 82' Tomas Chancalay

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs New England Revolution — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
New England Revolution 14 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.9 goals New England Revolution

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-11 New York Red Bulls 4–2 New England Revolution 2023-08-30 New England Revolution 1–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-07-08 New York Red Bulls 2–1 New England Revolution 2022-09-10 New York Red Bulls 2–1 New England Revolution 2022-04-02 New England Revolution 0–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	New England Revolution	H	4–2	W
04 May	Internacional CF Miami	A	2–6	L
27 Apr	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	1–1	D
21 Apr	Los Angeles FC	A	2–2	D
13 Apr	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–0	D
06 Apr	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	New York Red Bulls	A	2–4	L
05 May	Chicago Fire FC	A	1–0	W
27 Apr	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–4	L
20 Apr	Toronto FC	A	0–1	L
13 Apr	New York City FC	A	0–2	L
06 Apr	Charlotte FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		New England Revolution
#5	Position	#4
22	Points	25
15	Played	14
6 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	8 / 1 / 5
25	Scored	22
32	Conceded	18
-7	GD	+4
1.47	PPG	1.79
40%	Win %	57%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

36% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). New England Revolution are 4th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New England Revolution

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

3/–

61-75

1/–

76+

4/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. New England Revolution get us underway at Red Bull Arena.
5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
6' New York Red Bulls is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lewis Morgan on 6.
11' Esmir Bajraktarevic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
16' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
21' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
24' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Carles Gil makes it 1-1.
29' New York Red Bulls is showing some good football. However, New York Red Bulls are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
34' It looks surprising New York Red Bulls does not make any changes. Daniel Edelman has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
42' That is a card for New England Revolution. Henry Kessler will be fuming at that decision.
43' A stunning finish from Emil Forsberg — that came from absolutely nowhere!
48' With 0 assists to his name this season, John Tolkin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
53' The 33-year-old Matt Polster has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
58' New York Red Bulls are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New England Revolution backline.
63' New York Red Bulls have won 418 goals from 283 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
64' New England Revolution make a change. Esmir Bajraktarevic trudges off to be replaced by Dylan Borrero on 64 minutes.
66' The referee calls foul for Dylan Borrero. He receives a card.
69' Elias Manoel gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Dante Vanzeir and will look to change the dynamic.
74' New York Red Bulls are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
79' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
82' The referee calls foul for Tomas Chancalay. He receives a card.
83' The supporters are chanting for Cameron Harper. He replaces Emil Forsberg on 83 minute.
84' Elias Manoel adds to his 2 season tally! New York Red Bulls lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
86' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Noah Eile departs to be replaced by Andres Reyes.
88' The whistle greets Andrew Farrell as he departs to be replaced by Emmanuel Boateng.
90' New England Revolution ring the changes. Dylan Borrero has done his job and it is now time for Noel Buck to step up.
New England Revolution will have plenty to reflect on. New York Red Bulls were simply the better side today.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

10
Emil Forsberg ↓ Cameron Harper 83'
9
Lewis Morgan
8
Frankie Amaya
15
Sean Nealis
13
Dante Vanzeir ↓ Elias Manoel 69'
12
Dylan Nealis
47
John Tolkin
3
Noah Eile ↓ Andres Reyes 86'
31
Carlos Coronel
75
Daniel Edelman
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 86'

Bench

Coach Sandro Schwarz

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

9
Giacomo Vrioni
10
Carles Gil
12
Nick Lima
88
Andrew Farrell ↓ Emmanuel Boateng 88'
28
Mark-Anthony Kaye ↓ Ian Harkes 88'
8
Matt Polster
5
Tomas Chancalay
31
Aljaz Ivacic
3
Xavier Arreaga
4
Henry Kessler
47
Esmir Bajraktarevic ↓ Dylan Borrero 64'

Bench

Coach Caleb Porter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gustavo Bou	6
Tajon Buchanan	3
Carles Gil	3
Emil Forsberg	3
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3
Adam Buksa	2
Andres Reyes	2
Giacomo Vrioni	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-05-11 New York Red Bulls 4–2 New England Revolution W 2024-05-04 Internacional CF Miami 6–2 New York Red Bulls L 2024-04-27 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC D 2024-04-21 Los Angeles FC 2–2 New York Red Bulls D 2024-04-13 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Chicago Fire FC D 2024-04-06 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls W

New England Revolution Form

2024-05-11 New York Red Bulls 4–2 New England Revolution L 2024-05-05 Chicago Fire FC 0–1 New England Revolution W 2024-04-27 New England Revolution 1–4 Internacional CF Miami L 2024-04-20 Toronto FC 1–0 New England Revolution L 2024-04-13 New York City FC 2–0 New England Revolution L 2024-04-06 New England Revolution 1–0 Charlotte FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.74 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 New England Revolution xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls48% Draw24% New England Revolution28%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.26

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

72%

Draw or New England Revolution

52%

New York Red Bulls or New England Revolution

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls32% Draw42% New England Revolution26%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

11.1%

2 – 1

8.5%

1 – 2

7.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 0

2 – 0

5.8%

0 – 0

5.4%

0 – 1

5.1%

3 – 1

4.9%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 2

3.8%

1 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	New England Revolution covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	13%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	19%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	17%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.