Thursday , 2 July 2026

San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 6 Jul 2025 · 02:30 UTC PayPal Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jul New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
29 Jun Los Angeles Galaxy H 1–1 D
26 Jun FC Dallas A 4–2 W
14 Jun Portland Timbers A 1–1 D
31 May St. Louis City A 1–2 L
29 May Los Angeles Galaxy A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jul San Jose Earthquakes A 1–1 D
28 Jun Minnesota United FC H 2–2 D
25 Jun Toronto FC A 1–1 D
15 Jun Austin FC A 1–2 L
31 May Atlanta United FC H 2–0 W
28 May Charlotte FC H 4–2 W

Season Stats

San Jose Earthquakes New York Red Bulls
#17 Position #5
32 Points 22
15 Played 15
10 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 5
34 Scored 25
15 Conceded 32
+19 GD -7
2.13 PPG 1.47
67% Win % 40%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season
20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

San Jose Earthquakes are 17th (32 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
7/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.25 San Jose Earthquakes xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
San Jose Earthquakes52% Draw24% New York Red Bulls24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

San Jose Earthquakes or Draw
76%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
48%
San Jose Earthquakes or New York Red Bulls
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
San Jose Earthquakes43% Draw39% New York Red Bulls18%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
3.9%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — San Jose Earthquakes

Handicap San Jose Earthquakes covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 21% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
28%
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.