New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New York City FC

2 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 18 May 2024 · 23:30 UTC Citi Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 25' Cameron Harper

James Sands 32' Y

Y 66' Frankie Amaya

Y 67' Sean Nealis

Y 90' John Tolkin

YR 90' Sean Nealis

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Citi Field.

New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York City FC 19 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-05-13 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New York City FC 2022-09-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2022-07-17 New York Red Bulls 0–1 New York City FC

Recent Form

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	New York Red Bulls	H	2–1	W
15 May	Philadelphia Union	A	2–1	W
11 May	Toronto FC	A	3–2	W
05 May	Colorado Rapids SC	H	0–2	L
27 Apr	Charlotte FC	H	2–1	W
20 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	2–0	W

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	New York City FC	A	1–2	L
15 May	D.C. United SC	A	4–1	W
11 May	New England Revolution	H	4–2	W
04 May	Internacional CF Miami	A	2–6	L
27 Apr	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	1–1	D
21 Apr	Los Angeles FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

New York City FC		New York Red Bulls
#8	Position	#5
19	Points	22
15	Played	15
5 / 4 / 6	W / D / L	6 / 4 / 5
25	Scored	25
21	Conceded	32
+4	GD	-7
1.27	PPG	1.47
33%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

New York City FC are 8th (19 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

3/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against New York City FC and New York Red Bulls has kicked off!
3' Hannes Wolf does the damage! The net is bulging and New York City FC surge ahead!
8' Jovan Mijatovic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 245 appearances.
13' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
18' Over 18 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
23' Lewis Morgan has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
25' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cameron Harper on 25 minutes.
30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York City FC that had 286 games and scored 454 goals.
32' Poor challenge from James Sands. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
37' The 23-year-old Tayvon Gray has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
42' New York Red Bulls come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
46' The deadlock is broken! Cameron Harper gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
46' The whistle greets Cameron Harper as he departs to be replaced by Wikelmann Carmona.
51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
56' New York City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
58' Fresh legs for New York City FC! Monsef Bakrar comes on to replace Jovan Mijatovic.
63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andres Reyes suffering a number of foals already.
64' Monsef Bakrar puts New York City FC on the lead.
66' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Frankie Amaya.
67' Poor challenge from Sean Nealis. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
69' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Daniel Edelman has done his job and it is now time for Dennis Gjengaar to step up.
72' It is a substitution in New York City FC team. Santiago Rodriguez is replaced by Andres Perea on 72 minute.
73' Malachi Jones makes way for Agustin Ojeda at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York City FC.
78' Kyle Duncan makes way for Cory Burke at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
83' New York City FC is showing some good football. However, New York City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
88' Frankie Amaya makes way for Andres Reyes at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
90' That is a card for New York Red Bulls. John Tolkin will be fuming at that decision.
90' A tactical swap from New York City FC — Mitja Ilenic on, Hannes Wolf off on 90 minutes.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Mitja Ilenic 90'
13
Thiago Martins
6
James Sands
55
Keaton Parks
49
Matt Freese
24
Tayvon Gray
5
Birk Risa
10
Santiago Rodriguez ↓ Andres Perea 72'
22
Kevin O'Toole
7
Jovan Mijatovic ↓ Monsef Bakrar 58'
88
Malachi Jones ↓ Agustin Ojeda 73'

Bench

Coach Nick Cushing

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

6
Kyle Duncan ↓ Cory Burke 78'
9
Lewis Morgan
8
Frankie Amaya ↓ Andres Reyes 88'
15
Sean Nealis
13
Dante Vanzeir ↓ Emil Forsberg 69'
47
John Tolkin
3
Noah Eile
17
Cameron Harper ↓ Wikelmann Carmona 46'
11
Elias Manoel
31
Carlos Coronel
75
Daniel Edelman ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 69'

Bench

10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 69'
18
Ryan Meara
7
Cory Burke ↑ 78'
12
Dylan Nealis
4
Andres Reyes ↑ 88'
91
Bento Estrela
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↑ 46'
16
Julian Hall
2
Dennis Gjengaar ↑ 69'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Valentin Castellanos	5
Maxi Moralez	4
Omir Fernandez	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Andres Perea	3
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Heber	2
Daniel Royer	2

Head to Head

New York City FC Form

2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls W 2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC W 2024-05-11 Toronto FC 2–3 New York City FC W 2024-05-05 New York City FC 0–2 Colorado Rapids SC L 2024-04-27 New York City FC 2–1 Charlotte FC W 2024-04-20 New York City FC 2–0 D.C. United SC W

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2024-05-15 D.C. United SC 1–4 New York Red Bulls W 2024-05-11 New York Red Bulls 4–2 New England Revolution W 2024-05-04 Internacional CF Miami 6–2 New York Red Bulls L 2024-04-27 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC D 2024-04-21 Los Angeles FC 2–2 New York Red Bulls D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.09 New York City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.29 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC56% Draw22% New York Red Bulls22%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw

79%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

44%

New York City FC or New York Red Bulls

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC40% Draw40% New York Red Bulls20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

7.4%

1 – 0

6.6%

3 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 0

5.1%

0 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.2%

0 – 1

3.7%

4 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap	New York City FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	17%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	21%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.