New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New York City FC

2 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 18 May 2024 · 23:30 UTC Citi Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 25' Cameron Harper

James Sands 32' Y

Y 66' Frankie Amaya

Y 67' Sean Nealis

Y 90' John Tolkin

YR 90' Sean Nealis

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Citi Field.

New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

New York City FC 19 games · Avg 2.5 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2023-05-13 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New York City FC 2022-09-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2022-07-17 New York Red Bulls 0–1 New York City FC

Recent Form

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	New York Red Bulls	H	2–1	W
15 May	Philadelphia Union	A	2–1	W
11 May	Toronto FC	A	3–2	W
05 May	Colorado Rapids SC	H	0–2	L
27 Apr	Charlotte FC	H	2–1	W
20 Apr	D.C. United SC	H	2–0	W

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	New York City FC	A	1–2	L
15 May	D.C. United SC	A	4–1	W
11 May	New England Revolution	H	4–2	W
04 May	Internacional CF Miami	A	2–6	L
27 Apr	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	1–1	D
21 Apr	Los Angeles FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

New York City FC		New York Red Bulls
#5	Position	#8
26	Points	25
18	Played	18
7 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
31	Scored	29
24	Conceded	39
+7	GD	-10
1.44	PPG	1.39
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC

0-15

4/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/2

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	11 G	3 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A
Agustin Ojeda	4 G	3 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: New York Red Bulls gets underway.
3' Hannes Wolf doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
8' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
13' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
18' New York Red Bulls fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cameron Harper made 410 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
25' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Cameron Harper.
30' Kyle Duncan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
32' A moment of madness from James Sands on 32 minutes earns him a card. New York City FC will be frustrated.
37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
42' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
46' Cameron Harper is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
46' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Cameron Harper exits the field as Wikelmann Carmona enters on 46.
51' New York Red Bulls has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
56' It looks like no one’s ball. New York City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
58' Monsef Bakrar is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jovan Mijatovic at the 58 minute mark.
63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
64' GOAL! Monsef Bakrar scores on 64. Assisted by Tayvon Gray
66' Frankie Amaya catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 66.
67' Sean Nealis was booked on 67.
69' A tactical swap from New York Red Bulls — Dennis Gjengaar on, Daniel Edelman off on 69 minutes.
72' The whistle greets Santiago Rodriguez as he departs to be replaced by Andres Perea.
73' Agustin Ojeda gets the nod from New York City FC. He replaces Malachi Jones and will look to change the dynamic.
78' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Kyle Duncan exits the field as Cory Burke enters on 78.
83' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
88' The supporters are chanting for Andres Reyes. He replaces Frankie Amaya on 88 minute.
90' John Tolkin was booked on 90.
90' Hannes Wolf makes way for Mitja Ilenic at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York City FC.
2-1 the final result. New York Red Bulls will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Mitja Ilenic 90'
13
Thiago Martins
6
James Sands
55
Keaton Parks
49
Matt Freese
24
Tayvon Gray
5
Birk Risa
10
Santiago Rodriguez ↓ Andres Perea 72'
22
Kevin O'Toole
7
Jovan Mijatovic ↓ Monsef Bakrar 58'
88
Malachi Jones ↓ Agustin Ojeda 73'

Bench

Coach Nick Cushing

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

6
Kyle Duncan ↓ Cory Burke 78'
9
Lewis Morgan
8
Frankie Amaya ↓ Andres Reyes 88'
15
Sean Nealis
13
Dante Vanzeir ↓ Emil Forsberg 69'
47
John Tolkin
3
Noah Eile
17
Cameron Harper ↓ Wikelmann Carmona 46'
11
Elias Manoel
31
Carlos Coronel
75
Daniel Edelman ↓ Dennis Gjengaar 69'

Bench

10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 69'
18
Ryan Meara
7
Cory Burke ↑ 78'
12
Dylan Nealis
4
Andres Reyes ↑ 88'
91
Bento Estrela
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↑ 46'
16
Julian Hall
2
Dennis Gjengaar ↑ 69'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Valentin Castellanos	5
Maxi Moralez	4
Andres Perea	3
Omir Fernandez	3
Alonso Martinez	3
Kyle Duncan	2
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2

Head to Head

New York City FC Form

2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls W 2024-05-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC W 2024-05-11 Toronto FC 2–3 New York City FC W 2024-05-05 New York City FC 0–2 Colorado Rapids SC L 2024-04-27 New York City FC 2–1 Charlotte FC W 2024-04-20 New York City FC 2–0 D.C. United SC W

New York Red Bulls Form

2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2024-05-15 D.C. United SC 1–4 New York Red Bulls W 2024-05-11 New York Red Bulls 4–2 New England Revolution W 2024-05-04 Internacional CF Miami 6–2 New York Red Bulls L 2024-04-27 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC D 2024-04-21 Los Angeles FC 2–2 New York Red Bulls D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.19 New York City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.25 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC58% Draw22% New York Red Bulls20%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.44

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw

80%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

42%

New York City FC or New York Red Bulls

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York City FC42% Draw40% New York Red Bulls18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

7.7%

3 – 1

6.7%

1 – 0

6.5%

2 – 2

5.7%

3 – 0

5.5%

1 – 2

5.3%

0 – 0

4.6%

3 – 2

4.2%

4 – 1

3.7%

0 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap	New York City FC covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	17%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	21%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.