Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo Verdy, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 5 Jul 2025 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo VerdyJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Tokyo Verdy H 0–0 D
28 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–1 W
21 Jun Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–1 D
15 Jun Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
31 May Albirex Niigata H 3–0 W
24 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
29 Jun Kawasaki Frontale H 1–0 W
21 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
15 Jun Kashiwa Reysol H 0–3 L
31 May Avispa Fukuoka A 0–0 D
25 May Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Tokyo Verdy
#3 Position #15
31 Points 28
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
46 Scored 29
44 Conceded 32
+2 GD -3
1.72 PPG 1.56
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
22% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
/
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Nagoya Grampus is hosting Tokyo Verdy for another epic battle.
  • 5' It looks surprising Tokyo Verdy does not make any changes. Sho Inagaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Tokyo Verdy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' The travelling Tokyo Verdy supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Tokyo Verdy that had 95 games and scored 82 goals.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' Koki Morita has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 38' The referee calls foul for Yuto Tsunashima. He receives a card.
  • 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 48' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rei Hirakawa made 437 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 57' Mateus is replacing Kensuke Nagai for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 62' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Itsuki Someno. He replaces Yuta Arai on 71 minute.
  • 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hiroto Taniguchi, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 81' Kasper Junker is replacing Mateus for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 86' Shuhei Kawasaki is replacing Yuya Fukuda for the Tokyo Verdy side.
  • 89' Soichiro Mori has so much to prove this time. He replaces Katsuhiro Nakayama on 89 minute.
  • 90' Daiki Fukazawa is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.6 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Tokyo Verdy xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus46% Draw27% Tokyo Verdy27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Tokyo Verdy
54%
Nagoya Grampus or Tokyo Verdy
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus33% Draw46% Tokyo Verdy21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Tokyo Verdy covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
33%
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.