Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 1

Full Time

FC Tōkyō

Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 10:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 37' Keita Yamashita

Y 90' Marcos Guilherme

Y 90' Keita Endo

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 25 games · Avg 2.2 goals FC Tōkyō

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tōkyō 2025-02-26 FC Tōkyō 3–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-09-14 FC Tōkyō 4–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-05-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 FC Tōkyō 2023-06-24 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	FC Tōkyō	H	1–1	D
23 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	H	3–4	L
16 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L
10 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
20 Jul	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	0–3	L
05 Jul	Tokyo Verdy	H	0–0	D

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–1	D
24 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	0–4	L
16 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	A	2–2	D
10 Aug	Kashima Antlers	H	0–1	L
19 Jul	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	3–2	W
05 Jul	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		FC Tōkyō
#3	Position	#12
31	Points	37
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
46	Scored	55
44	Conceded	42
+2	GD	+13
1.72	PPG	2.06
56%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

71% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

4/1

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

FC Tōkyō

Motoki Nagakura	5 G	2 A
Marcelo Ryan	3 G	2 A
Soma Anzai	3 G

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Nagoya Grampus vs FC Tokyo — let the football do the talking.
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
10' The travelling FC Tokyo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
15' FC Tokyo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
25' Keita Endo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
30' Kein Sato has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 419 appearances.
35' Nagoya Grampus have won 403 goals from 446 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
37' The referee has no hesitation. Keita Yamashita is booked for FC Tokyo — card on 37.
42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
47' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
52' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
56' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Marcelo Ryan on, Keita Yamashita off on 56 minutes.
61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
64' The supporters are chanting for Yuya Asano. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 64 minute.
65' Brilliant from the ! Yota Sato makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 65.
70' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
73' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Kensuke Nagai exits the field as Yudai Kimura enters on 73.
74' Keita Endo is replacing Leon Nozawa for the FC Tokyo side.
77' Keigo Higashi makes way for Kanta Doi at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Tokyo.
82' Goal! Keita Endo scores his 28 goal in 309 matches.
87' Soma Anzai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
90' A moment of madness from Marcos Guilherme on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Tokyo will be frustrated.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

3
Masato Morishige
6
Kashif Bangunagande
10
Keigo Higashi ↓ Kanta Doi 77'
24
Alexander Scholz
14
Keita Yamashita ↓ Marcelo Ryan 56'
81
Seung-Gyu Kim
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↓ Marcos Guilherme 56'
7
Soma Anzai
28
Leon Nozawa ↓ Keita Endo 74'
26
Motoki Nagakura ↓ Kein Sato 74'
27
Kyota Tokiwa

Bench

22
Keita Endo ↑ 74'
40
Marcos Guilherme ↑ 56'
13
Go Hatano
30
Teppei Oka
44
Henrique Trevisan
19
Marcelo Ryan ↑ 56'
32
Kanta Doi ↑ 77'
16
Kein Sato ↑ 74'
77
Maki Kitahara

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	6
Kensuke Nagai	3
Kasper Junker	3
Diego Oliveira	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Yasuki Kimoto	1
Kein Sato	1
Willian Rocha	1

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2025-08-23 Nagoya Grampus 3–4 Kawasaki Frontale L 2025-08-16 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-08-10 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2025-07-20 Yokohama F·Marinos 3–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-07-05 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Tokyo Verdy D

FC Tokyo Form

2025-08-31 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FC Tōkyō D 2025-08-24 FC Tōkyō 0–4 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2025-08-16 Shonan Bellmare 2–2 FC Tōkyō D 2025-08-10 FC Tōkyō 0–1 Kashima Antlers W 2025-07-19 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2025-07-05 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 FC Tōkyō L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.26 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.57 FC Tokyo xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus36% Draw22% FC Tokyo42%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes82% 0% No18%

Avg goals/match: 4.83

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	85%	15%
± 3.5	70%	30%
± 4.5	52%	48%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

58%

Draw or FC Tokyo

64%

Nagoya Grampus or FC Tokyo

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus29% Draw34% FC Tokyo37%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.5%

1 – 2

2 – 3

5.5%

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

5.2%

1 – 3

3 – 2

4.8%

3 – 3

4.1%

3 – 1

3.9%

2 – 4

3.6%

1 – 4

3.2%

0 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	FC Tokyo covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	10%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	15%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	17%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	13%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.