FC Tōkyō vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tōkyō vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Yokohama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Júbilo Iwata | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tōkyō | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #13 |
| 37 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 55 | Scored | 42 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| +13 | GD | +9 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 72% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
85%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
| Motoki Nagakura | 8 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 5 G | |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Tokyo have kicked off against FC Machida Zelvia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' It looks surprising FC Tokyo does not make any changes. Teppei Oka has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 19' That is a card for FC Tokyo. Kanta Doi will be fuming at that decision.
- 24' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 29' FC Tokyo are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Machida Zelvia's shape.
- 34' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 39' Se-hun Oh picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 49' It’s high time Go Kuroda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 51' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Se-hun Oh is replaced by Shota Fujio on 51 minute.
- 56' FC Machida Zelvia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 60' Ibrahim Dresevic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
- 64' Kein Sato has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcelo Ryan on 64 minute.
- 67' That is a card for FC Tokyo. Yuto Nagatomo will be fuming at that decision.
- 72' A quiet spell here at Ajinomoto Stadium. FC Machida Zelvia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 73' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Yasuki Kimoto on, Kanta Doi off on 73 minutes.
- 75' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Ryohei Shirasaki has done his job and it is now time for Hokuto Shimoda to step up.
- 79' Hiroyuki Mae catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
- 82' Takuma Nishimura doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 83' The FC Tokyo manager makes a substitution. Kei Koizumi departs to be replaced by Kento Hashimoto.
- 86' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Kanji Kuwayama on, Takuma Nishimura off on 86 minutes.
- 0-1 the final result. FC Tokyo will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 99
- 39
- 8
- 37
- 30
- 41
- 19
- 33
- 32
Bench
- 18
- 4
- 13
- 44
- 98
- 7
- 28
- 16
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
- 23
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Sang-ho Na 75'
- 5
- 16
- 50
- 6
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Shota Fujio 51'
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 75'
- 13
- 8
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 51'
- 15
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 75'
- 26
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 86'
- 39
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Keita Endo | 1 |
| Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tōkyō Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.94
FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
FC Tōkyō or FC Machida Zelvia 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
FC Tōkyō or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
63%
FC Tōkyō or FC Machida Zelvia
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
7%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
1 – 0
3.7%
0 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō
| Handicap | FC Tōkyō covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 17% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 17% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.