FC Tōkyō vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tōkyō vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Yokohama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Dec | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Jubilo Iwata | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tōkyō | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #13 |
| 37 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 55 | Scored | 42 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| +13 | GD | +9 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 72% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FC Tōkyō kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The 32-year-old Kosuke Shirai has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Machida Zelvia that had 94 games and scored 116 goals.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 19' Kanta Doi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 19.
- 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 29' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 34' FC Machida Zelvia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Se-hun Oh.
- 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Machida Zelvia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 49' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 51' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Se-hun Oh has done his job and it is now time for Shota Fujio to step up.
- 56' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tōkyō is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 60' Ibrahim Dresevic was booked on 60.
- 64' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Kein Sato on, Marcelo Ryan off on 64 minutes.
- 67' Yuto Nagatomo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 72' FC Tōkyō are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Machida Zelvia's shape.
- 73' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Kanta Doi is replaced by Yasuki Kimoto.
- 75' The whistle greets Ryohei Shirasaki as he departs to be replaced by Hokuto Shimoda.
- 79' It’s a booking for FC Machida Zelvia player. Hiroyuki Mae gets a card.
- 82' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Takuma Nishimura makes it 0-1.
- 83' Kento Hashimoto gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Kei Koizumi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' The crowd applauds Takuma Nishimura as he leaves the pitch. Kanji Kuwayama steps in for FC Machida Zelvia.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Tōkyō 0-1 FC Machida Zelvia.
Lineups
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 99
- 39
- 8
- 37
- 30
- 41
- 19
- 33
- 32
Bench
- 18
- 4
- 13
- 44
- 98
- 7
- 28
- 16
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
- 23
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Sang-ho Na 75'
- 5
- 16
- 50
- 6
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Shota Fujio 51'
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 75'
- 13
- 8
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 51'
- 15
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 75'
- 26
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 86'
- 39
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kein Sato | 2 |
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Keita Endo | 1 |
| Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tōkyō Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.94
FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
FC Tōkyō or FC Machida Zelvia 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
FC Tōkyō or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
63%
FC Tōkyō or FC Machida Zelvia
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
7%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 2
4.5%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
1 – 0
3.7%
0 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō
| Handicap | FC Tōkyō covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 17% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 17% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

