Wednesday , 30 September 2026

NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2018-19
Sat 3 Nov 2018 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Mario Diks
  • Referee Hessel Steegstra
  • Referee Danny Makkelie
  • Referee J. van der Laan
  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof

Head-to-Head

3
1
2
NAC Breda 6 games · Avg 2.0 goals Heracles Almelo

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov Heracles Almelo H 2–1 W
27 Oct ADO Den Haag A 1–1 D
21 Oct Willem II Tilburg H 2–2 D
05 Oct FC Utrecht A 1–2 L
29 Sep PSV H 0–2 L
22 Sep VVV Venlo A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov NAC Breda A 1–2 L
27 Oct PEC Zwolle A 1–1 D
21 Oct FC Groningen H 4–1 W
07 Oct SBV Vitesse A 0–4 L
30 Sep FC Emmen H 2–1 W
21 Sep VBV De Graafschap H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between NAC Breda and Heracles Almelo.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heracles Almelo that had 233 games and scored 284 goals.
  • 7' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Dario Van den Buijs.
  • 12' The travelling Heracles Almelo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 17' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 21' What a strike from Luka Ilic! The score is 1-0.
  • 26' NAC Breda are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 28' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mohammed Osman.
  • 29' Anouar Kali is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
  • 34' NAC Breda have won 74 goals from 103 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 39' NAC Breda are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Heracles Almelo backline.
  • 41' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Maximilian Rossmann is withdrawn and Stephen Sama gets his opportunity.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Heracles Almelo. Jesper Drost is replaced by Adrian Dalmau.
  • 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frank Wormuth will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 58' Fresh legs for NAC Breda! Giovanni Korte comes on to replace Luka Ilic.
  • 60' What composure from Brandley Kuwas! The Curacao international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 65' Netherlands international Vincent Vermeij has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 69' Fresh legs for NAC Breda! Arno Verschueren comes on to replace Marwin Reuvers.
  • 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 79' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 84' Stephen Sama has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 233 appearances.
  • 88' Against the run of play, Mitchell te Vrede has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 89' Vincent Vermeij is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dario Van den Buijs at the 89 minute mark.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
NAC Breda49% Draw26% Heracles Almelo25%
Actual: NAC Breda win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

NAC Breda or Draw
75%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
51%
NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda35% Draw46% Heracles Almelo19%
Actual: NAC Breda win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — NAC Breda

Handicap NAC Breda covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.