Saturday , 14 November 2026

Heracles Almelo vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sat 2 Nov 2024 · 17:45 UTC Erve Asito 11,912 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Jochem Kamphuis
  • Assistant 1 Sjoerd Nanninga
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Krijt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov NAC Breda H 2–0 W
27 Oct FC Twente '65 A 0–5 L
20 Oct AFC Ajax H 3–4 L
06 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 1–4 L
27 Sep SC Heerenveen H 2–1 W
21 Sep NEC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Heracles Almelo A 0–2 L
26 Oct RKC Waalwijk H 4–1 W
20 Oct PEC Zwolle A 2–1 W
05 Oct NEC H 1–0 W
29 Sep FC Twente '65 A 0–1 L
22 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Erve Asito as Heracles Almelo face off against NAC Breda in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Heracles Almelo currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' Mimeirhel Benita has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erwin van de Looi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heracles Almelo and NAC Breda are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 39' GOAL! Brian De Keersmaecker fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 44' Fredrik Jensen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 49' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 54' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 62' Matthew Garbett has so much to prove this time. He replaces Raul Paula on 62 minute.
  • 63' GOAL! Brian De Keersmaecker fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 68' Another substitution for NAC Breda to replace Elias Mar Omarsson by Kacper Kostorz on 68 minute.
  • 71' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Luka Kulenovic has done his job and it is now time for Jizz Hornkamp to step up.
  • 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leo Greiml on 73.
  • 76' Ruben Roosken picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 81' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Shiloh 't Zand. He replaces Jordy Bruijn on 82 minute.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Heracles Almelo! Juho Talvitie comes on to replace Mario Engels.
  • 88' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Leo Sauer has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • Another three points for Heracles Almelo.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 NAC Breda xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo50% Draw27% NAC Breda23%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
77%
Draw or NAC Breda
50%
Heracles Almelo or NAC Breda
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo34% Draw48% NAC Breda18%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push NAC Breda covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.