Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heracles Almelo vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sat 2 Nov 2024 · 17:45 UTC Erve Asito 11,912 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs NAC BredaEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Jochem Kamphuis
  • Assistant 1 Sjoerd Nanninga
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Krijt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov NAC Breda H 2–0 W
27 Oct FC Twente '65 A 0–5 L
20 Oct AFC Ajax H 3–4 L
06 Oct Go Ahead Eagles A 1–4 L
27 Sep SC Heerenveen H 2–1 W
21 Sep NEC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Heracles Almelo A 0–2 L
26 Oct RKC Waalwijk H 4–1 W
20 Oct PEC Zwolle A 2–1 W
05 Oct NEC H 1–0 W
29 Sep FC Twente '65 A 0–1 L
22 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Erve Asito. Heracles Almelo are looking to make home advantage count against NAC Breda.
  • 5' Heracles Almelo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Matthew Garbett is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dominik Janosek is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heracles Almelo.
  • 20' NAC Breda come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined NAC Breda backline.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heracles Almelo that had 233 games and scored 284 goals.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 39' The deadlock is broken! Brian De Keersmaecker gets on the scoresheet on 39 minutes.
  • 44' A quiet spell here at Erve Asito. NAC Breda seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 49' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Mimeirhel Benita has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kacper Kostorz suffering a number of foals already.
  • 59' Heracles Almelo have won 284 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 62' The NAC Breda bench stirs into life. Raul Paula is withdrawn and Matthew Garbett gets his opportunity.
  • 63' Brian De Keersmaecker makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Heracles Almelo are in front.
  • 68' Kacper Kostorz is replacing Elias Mar Omarsson for the NAC Breda side.
  • 71' Jizz Hornkamp gets the nod from Heracles Almelo. He replaces Luka Kulenovic and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' The referee calls foul for Leo Greiml. He receives a card.
  • 76' Heracles Almelo player sees a card in front of him.
  • 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Shiloh 't Zand. He replaces Jordy Bruijn on 82 minute.
  • 83' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Mario Engels is withdrawn and Juho Talvitie gets his opportunity.
  • 88' Heracles Almelo currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Heracles Almelo take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 NAC Breda xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo50% Draw27% NAC Breda23%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
77%
Draw or NAC Breda
50%
Heracles Almelo or NAC Breda
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo34% Draw48% NAC Breda18%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push NAC Breda covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
38%
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.