Heracles Almelo vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heracles Almelo vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- NAC Breda 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jochem Kamphuis
- Assistant 1 Sjoerd Nanninga
- Assistant 2 Thomas Krijt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | NAC Breda | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | FC Twente '65 | A | 0–5 | L |
| 20 Oct | AFC Ajax | H | 3–4 | L |
| 06 Oct | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 1–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | SC Heerenveen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | NEC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | Heracles Almelo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | RKC Waalwijk | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | PEC Zwolle | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | NEC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | FC Twente '65 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Erve Asito. Heracles Almelo are looking to make home advantage count against NAC Breda.
- 5' Heracles Almelo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Matthew Garbett is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dominik Janosek is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heracles Almelo.
- 20' NAC Breda come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined NAC Breda backline.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heracles Almelo that had 233 games and scored 284 goals.
- 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 39' The deadlock is broken! Brian De Keersmaecker gets on the scoresheet on 39 minutes.
- 44' A quiet spell here at Erve Asito. NAC Breda seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 49' It looks surprising Heracles Almelo does not make any changes. Mimeirhel Benita has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kacper Kostorz suffering a number of foals already.
- 59' Heracles Almelo have won 284 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 62' The NAC Breda bench stirs into life. Raul Paula is withdrawn and Matthew Garbett gets his opportunity.
- 63' Brian De Keersmaecker makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Heracles Almelo are in front.
- 68' Kacper Kostorz is replacing Elias Mar Omarsson for the NAC Breda side.
- 71' Jizz Hornkamp gets the nod from Heracles Almelo. He replaces Luka Kulenovic and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' The referee calls foul for Leo Greiml. He receives a card.
- 76' Heracles Almelo player sees a card in front of him.
- 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Shiloh 't Zand. He replaces Jordy Bruijn on 82 minute.
- 83' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Mario Engels is withdrawn and Juho Talvitie gets his opportunity.
- 88' Heracles Almelo currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Heracles Almelo take all three points.
Lineups
Heracles Almelo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
8
Mario Engels ↓ Juho Talvitie 83'
-
5
Jordy Bruijn ↓ Shiloh 't Zand 82'
-
13
Jan Zamburek ↓ Daniel van Kaam 82'
- 14
- 24
- 4
- 12
- 1
- 29
- 2
-
19
Luka Kulenovic ↓ Jizz Hornkamp 71'
Bench
- 17
-
26
Daniel van Kaam ↑ 82'
-
9
Jizz Hornkamp ↑ 71'
- 21
- 30
- 18
- 3
- 16
- 22
-
23
Juho Talvitie ↑ 83'
-
10
Shiloh 't Zand ↑ 82'
Coach
Erwin van de Looi
NAC Breda Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 10
- 23
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Dominik Janosek 68'
- 20
- 99
- 12
- 4
-
77
Leo Sauer ↓ Sana Fernandes 68'
-
14
Adam Kaied ↓ Boyd Lucassen 62'
- 16
-
11
Raul Paula ↓ Matthew Garbett 62'
Bench
- 15
-
2
Boyd Lucassen ↑ 62'
-
9
Kacper Kostorz ↑ 68'
- 1
-
39
Dominik Janosek ↑ 68'
- 6
- 17
-
7
Matthew Garbett ↑ 62'
- 21
- 28
-
19
Sana Fernandes ↑ 68'
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brian De Keersmaecker | 2 |
| Mitchell te Vrede | 1 |
| Luka Ilic | 1 |
| Kristoffer Peterson | 1 |
| Juho Talvitie | 1 |
| Elias Mar Omarsson | 1 |
| Brandley Kuwas | 1 |
Head to Head
Heracles Almelo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53
Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heracles Almelo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Heracles Almelo or Draw
77%
Draw or NAC Breda
50%
Heracles Almelo or NAC Breda
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Heracles Almelo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo
| Handicap | Heracles Almelo covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

