Heracles Almelo vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heracles Almelo vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- NAC Breda 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jochem Kamphuis
- Assistant 1 Sjoerd Nanninga
- Assistant 2 Thomas Krijt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | NAC Breda | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | FC Twente '65 | A | 0–5 | L |
| 20 Oct | AFC Ajax | H | 3–4 | L |
| 06 Oct | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 1–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | SC Heerenveen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | NEC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | Heracles Almelo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | RKC Waalwijk | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | PEC Zwolle | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | NEC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | FC Twente '65 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Heracles Almelo welcome NAC Breda for this crunch clash at Erve Asito.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dominik Janosek suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' NAC Breda seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Heracles Almelo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' NAC Breda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' Kacper Kostorz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 117 appearances.
- 30' The 25-year-old Max Balard has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' Luka Kulenovic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for NAC Breda tonight.
- 39' Brian De Keersmaecker puts Heracles Almelo on the lead.
- 44' It is a cagey affair so far. Heracles Almelo in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past NAC Breda's compact 3-5-2.
- 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 54' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 59' Clint Leemans needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 7 Yellow cards this season.
- 62' Matthew Garbett is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raul Paula at the 62 minute mark.
- 63' Against the run of play, Brian De Keersmaecker has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 68' NAC Breda make a change. Elias Mar Omarsson trudges off to be replaced by Kacper Kostorz on 68 minutes.
- 71' Jizz Hornkamp has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luka Kulenovic on 71 minute.
- 73' Leo Greiml picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 76' That looks like a foul for a card for Ruben Roosken.
- 81' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Damon Mirani made 69 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 82' Shiloh 't Zand has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jordy Bruijn on 82 minute.
- 83' Mario Engels makes way for Juho Talvitie at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heracles Almelo.
- 88' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
Heracles Almelo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
8
Mario Engels ↓ Juho Talvitie 83'
-
5
Jordy Bruijn ↓ Shiloh 't Zand 82'
-
13
Jan Zamburek ↓ Daniel van Kaam 82'
- 14
- 24
- 4
- 12
- 1
- 29
- 2
-
19
Luka Kulenovic ↓ Jizz Hornkamp 71'
Bench
- 17
-
26
Daniel van Kaam ↑ 82'
-
9
Jizz Hornkamp ↑ 71'
- 21
- 30
- 18
- 3
- 16
- 22
-
23
Juho Talvitie ↑ 83'
-
10
Shiloh 't Zand ↑ 82'
Coach
Erwin van de Looi
NAC Breda Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 10
- 23
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Dominik Janosek 68'
- 20
- 99
- 12
- 4
-
77
Leo Sauer ↓ Sana Fernandes 68'
-
14
Adam Kaied ↓ Boyd Lucassen 62'
- 16
-
11
Raul Paula ↓ Matthew Garbett 62'
Bench
- 15
-
2
Boyd Lucassen ↑ 62'
-
9
Kacper Kostorz ↑ 68'
- 1
-
39
Dominik Janosek ↑ 68'
- 6
- 17
-
7
Matthew Garbett ↑ 62'
- 21
- 28
-
19
Sana Fernandes ↑ 68'
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brian De Keersmaecker | 2 |
| Juho Talvitie | 1 |
| Elias Mar Omarsson | 1 |
| Brandley Kuwas | 1 |
| Mitchell te Vrede | 1 |
| Luka Ilic | 1 |
| Kristoffer Peterson | 1 |
Head to Head
Heracles Almelo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53
Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heracles Almelo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Heracles Almelo or Draw
77%
Draw or NAC Breda
50%
Heracles Almelo or NAC Breda
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Heracles Almelo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo
| Handicap | Heracles Almelo covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.