Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs Sparta Rotterdam, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:30 UTC Erve Asito 12,010 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Shunsuke Mito
Justin Hoogma 90+1' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs Sparta RotterdamEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Assistant 1 Rogier Honig
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
7 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Sparta Rotterdam H 1–1 D
14 Dec Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–5 L
07 Dec Fortuna Sittard H 2–2 D
01 Dec AZ A 0–1 L
23 Nov RKC Waalwijk H 2–2 D
08 Nov FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Heracles Almelo A 1–1 D
22 Dec AFC Ajax H 0–2 L
15 Dec NEC A 1–1 D
07 Dec NAC Breda H 0–2 L
30 Nov PEC Zwolle A 0–1 L
24 Nov AZ H 1–2 L

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
27% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Sparta Rotterdam xG
I would bet for: Heracles Almelo or Sparta Rotterdam 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo39% Draw30% Sparta Rotterdam31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
69%
Draw or Sparta Rotterdam
61%
Heracles Almelo or Sparta Rotterdam
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo26% Draw50% Sparta Rotterdam24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push Sparta Rotterdam covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
33%
Sparta Rotterdam keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.