NAC Breda vs AZ, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs AZ — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Edwin van de Graaf
- Assistant 1 Cristian Dobre
- Assistant 2 Kevin Weever (Netherlands)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | AZ | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Almere City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Willem II Tilburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Nov | PSV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | Heracles Almelo | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | NAC Breda | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Dec | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Dec | AFC Ajax | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Dec | Heracles Almelo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Nov | Galatasaray SK | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Nov | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
AZ this season
AZ this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AZ
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AZ
| Ro-Zangelo Daal | 4 G | |
| Mexx Meerdink | 3 G | 2 A |
| Jizz Hornkamp | 2 G | |
| Ayoub Oufkir | 2 G | |
| Calvin Stengs | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for NAC Breda to score. At the same time, AZ does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Jan Van den Bergh has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bruno Martins Indi, as he is very good at scoring at Rat Verlegh Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 12' Against the run of play, Elias Mar Omarsson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 17' Troy Parrott has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 22' AZ seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' That is a card for NAC Breda. Leo Greiml will be fuming at that decision.
- 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Denso Kasius is clearly more than just a goal scorer for NAC Breda.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' It looks like no one’s ball. NAC Breda is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' Wouter Goes gets the nod from AZ. He replaces Bruno Martins Indi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Sven Mijnans is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for NAC Breda tonight.
- 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 61' The 20-year-old Kees Smit has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Max Balard.
- 67' NAC Breda manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Casper Staring is hanging Raul Paula on the field on 67 minute.
- 70' AZ make a change. Sven Mijnans trudges off to be replaced by Mexx Meerdink on 70 minutes.
- 71' That is a card for AZ. Peer Koopmeiners will be fuming at that decision.
- 72' The crowd applauds Fredrik Jensen as he leaves the pitch. Matthew Garbett steps in for NAC Breda.
- 76' What a strike from Troy Parrott! The score is 1-1.
- 78' AZ ring the changes. Seiya Maikuma has done his job and it is now time for Denso Kasius to step up.
- 83' Fresh legs for NAC Breda! Terence Kongolo comes on to replace Elias Mar Omarsson.
- 85' Leo Greiml was booked on 85.
- 90' Poor challenge from Jan Van den Bergh. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AZ players.
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 2
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Dominik Janosek 72'
- 20
- 99
- 12
- 5
- 4
- 77
- 16
-
11
Raul Paula ↓ Casper Staring 67'
Bench
-
23
Terence Kongolo ↑ 83'
- 15
- 1
-
39
Dominik Janosek ↑ 72'
-
6
Casper Staring ↑ 67'
- 49
- 17
-
7
Matthew Garbett ↑ 72'
- 21
- 19
- 14
- 31
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
AZ Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4
-
10
Sven Mijnans ↓ Mexx Meerdink 70'
- 9
-
16
Seiya Maikuma ↓ Denso Kasius 78'
- 6
- 28
- 34
- 5
- 1
- 7
-
26
Kees Smit ↓ Mayckel Lahdo 46'
Bench
- 41
-
8
Jordy Clasie ↑ 46'
- 12
- 11
-
23
Mayckel Lahdo ↑ 46'
- 21
-
30
Denso Kasius ↑ 78'
-
35
Mexx Meerdink ↑ 70'
- 22
-
3
Wouter Goes ↑ 46'
- 18
- 33
Coach
Maarten Martens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mexx Meerdink | 2 |
| Moussa Soumano | 2 |
| Guus Til | 2 |
| Jonas Svensson | 1 |
| Mees De Wit | 1 |
| Teun Koopmeiners | 1 |
| Elias Mar Omarsson | 1 |
| Myron Boadu | 1 |
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
AZ xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AZ win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
50%
Draw or AZ
76%
NAC Breda or AZ
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: NAC Breda win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5.6%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | AZ covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
AZ keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

