NAC Breda vs AZ, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs AZ — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Edwin van de Graaf
- Assistant 1 Cristian Dobre
- Assistant 2 Kevin Weever (Netherlands)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | AZ | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Almere City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Willem II Tilburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Nov | PSV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | Heracles Almelo | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec | NAC Breda | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Dec | PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Dec | AFC Ajax | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Dec | Heracles Almelo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Nov | Galatasaray SK | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Nov | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
AZ this season
AZ this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AZ
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Rat Verlegh Stadion will turn into a battlefield for NAC Breda and AZ.
- 5' NAC Breda is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 12' Assisted by Boy Kemper with the perfectly-timed delivery and Elias Mar Omarsson makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 17' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 22' AZ are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 27' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' It’s a booking for NAC Breda player. Leo Greiml gets a card.
- 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 40' The 28-year-old Mees De Wit has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 45' Bruno Martins Indi, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' The AZ manager makes a substitution. Bruno Martins Indi departs to be replaced by Wouter Goes.
- 51' NAC Breda are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Max Balard on 62.
- 67' NAC Breda manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Casper Staring is hanging Raul Paula on the field on 67 minute.
- 70' Sven Mijnans makes way for Mexx Meerdink at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from AZ.
- 71' The referee has no hesitation. Peer Koopmeiners is booked for AZ — card on 71.
- 72' Matthew Garbett has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fredrik Jensen on 72 minute.
- 76' A goal from the Ireland international Troy Parrott! He fires home on 76 to make it 1-1!
- 78' Another change for AZ made on 78 minute. Seiya Maikuma leaves to be changed by Denso Kasius.
- 83' Elias Mar Omarsson makes way for Terence Kongolo at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from NAC Breda.
- 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leo Greiml on 85.
- 90' Jan Van den Bergh was booked on 90.
- The points are shared — NAC Breda 1-2 AZ. Honours even.
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 2
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Dominik Janosek 72'
- 20
- 99
- 12
- 5
- 4
- 77
- 16
-
11
Raul Paula ↓ Casper Staring 67'
Bench
-
23
Terence Kongolo ↑ 83'
- 15
- 1
-
39
Dominik Janosek ↑ 72'
-
6
Casper Staring ↑ 67'
- 49
- 17
-
7
Matthew Garbett ↑ 72'
- 21
- 19
- 14
- 31
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
AZ Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4
-
10
Sven Mijnans ↓ Mexx Meerdink 70'
- 9
-
16
Seiya Maikuma ↓ Denso Kasius 78'
- 6
- 28
- 34
- 5
- 1
- 7
-
26
Kees Smit ↓ Mayckel Lahdo 46'
Bench
- 41
-
8
Jordy Clasie ↑ 46'
- 12
- 11
-
23
Mayckel Lahdo ↑ 46'
- 21
-
30
Denso Kasius ↑ 78'
-
35
Mexx Meerdink ↑ 70'
- 22
-
3
Wouter Goes ↑ 46'
- 18
- 33
Coach
Maarten Martens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mexx Meerdink | 2 |
| Moussa Soumano | 2 |
| Guus Til | 2 |
| Mees De Wit | 1 |
| Teun Koopmeiners | 1 |
| Elias Mar Omarsson | 1 |
| Myron Boadu | 1 |
| Sven Mijnans | 1 |
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
AZ xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AZ win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
50%
Draw or AZ
76%
NAC Breda or AZ
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: NAC Breda win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5.6%
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | AZ covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
AZ keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

