NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh.
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
7 games this season
🟨 0.1/game
⚽ 3.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Groningen | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | AFC Ajax | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fortuna Sittard | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 0–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | NAC Breda | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Heracles Almelo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 4–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | FC Groningen | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for NAC Breda to score. At the same time, AFC Ajax does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Rat Verlegh. AFC Ajax seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' What composure from Oscar Gloukh! The Israel international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both NAC Breda and AFC Ajax are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' AFC Ajax have won 817 goals from 480 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' Ghana international Kamal Sowah has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 41' GOAL! Mika Godts scores on 41. Assisted by Wout Weghorst
- 46' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
- 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 56' A change in the NAC Breda ranks — Raul Paula exits the field as Pepijn Reulen enters on 56.
- 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Moussa Soumano is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
- 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 71' A tactical swap from NAC Breda — Lewis Holtby on, Max Balard off on 71 minutes.
- 72' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Ko Itakura on, Steven Berghuis off on 72 minutes.
- 77' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ko Itakura.
- 82' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Mika Godts exits the field as Oliver Edvardsen enters on 82.
- 85' It’s gonna be a card for Wout Weghorst.
- 90' AFC Ajax is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Juho Talvitie 82'
- 20
- 99
- 7
- 4
- 14
-
9
Moussa Soumano ↓ Andre Ayew 56'
- 10
-
16
Max Balard ↓ Lewis Holtby 71'
-
11
Raul Paula ↓ Pepijn Reulen 56'
Bench
-
24
Andre Ayew ↑ 56'
- 15
- 31
-
90
Lewis Holtby ↑ 71'
- 1
- 19
-
55
Brahim Ghalidi ↑ 56'
- 22
- 25
-
32
Juho Talvitie ↑ 82'
- 21
-
26
Pepijn Reulen ↑ 56'
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Ko Itakura 72'
- 25
- 37
-
6
Youri Regeer ↓ Rayane Bounida 72'
- 15
- 2
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 82'
-
10
Oscar Gloukh ↓ Sean Steur 56'
- 3
- 24
Bench
- 5
- 9
-
4
Ko Itakura ↑ 72'
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 82'
- 7
- 19
- 52
- 30
-
43
Rayane Bounida ↑ 72'
-
48
Sean Steur ↑ 56'
- 62
- 45
Coach
Óscar García
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Jethro Mashart | 1 |
| Steven Berghuis | 1 |
| Kenneth Taylor | 1 |
| Hakim Ziyech | 1 |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 1 |
| Leo Sauer | 1 |
Head to Head
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
53%
Draw or AFC Ajax
75%
NAC Breda or AFC Ajax
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
10.7%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.