NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh.
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
35 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game 🟥 2 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 PSV 34 84 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 34 65 3 NEC 34 59 4 FC Twente '65 34 58 5 AFC Ajax 34 56 6 FC Utrecht 34 53 7 AZ 34 52 8 SC Heerenveen 34 51 9 FC Groningen 34 48 10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 43 11 Fortuna Sittard 34 39 12 Go Ahead Eagles 34 38 13 SBV Excelsior 34 38 14 Telstar 1963 34 37 15 PEC Zwolle 34 37 16 FC Volendam 34 32 17 NAC Breda 34 29 18 Heracles Almelo 34 19 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 25 Apr AFC Ajax H 0–2 L 12 Apr Fortuna Sittard A 1–1 D 05 Apr Sparta Rotterdam H 0–0 D 21 Mar PEC Zwolle A 1–2 L 15 Mar Go Ahead Eagles A 0–6 L 08 Mar Feyenoord Rotterdam H 3–3 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 25 Apr NAC Breda A 2–0 W 11 Apr Heracles Almelo A 3–0 W 04 Apr FC Twente '65 H 1–2 L 22 Mar Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–1 D 14 Mar Sparta Rotterdam H 4–0 W 07 Mar FC Groningen A 1–3 L Season Stats
NAC Breda AFC Ajax #17 Position #5 29 Points 56 34 Played 34 6 / 11 / 17 W / D / L 14 / 14 / 6 35 Scored 62 58 Conceded 41 -23 GD +21 0.85 PPG 1.65 18% Win % 41% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history18% Clean Sheets
NAC Breda this season29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this seasonNAC Breda are 17th (29 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (56 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
NAC Breda0-15–/216-30–/131-451/146-60–/161-753/–76+2/3■ Scored ■ ConcededAFC Ajax0-151/116-303/131-452/–46-601/–61-75–/–76+2/4■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. NAC Breda kicks off things out of here…
- 5' NAC Breda seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Mohamed Nassoh needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 20' Goal! Oscar Gloukh scores his 4 goal in 222 matches.
- 25' NAC Breda is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering NAC Breda that had 101 games and scored 69 goals.
- 35' The travelling AFC Ajax supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Steven Berghuis made 320 appearances and scored 85 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 41' GOAL! Mika Godts scores on 41. Assisted by Wout Weghorst
- 46' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 51' AFC Ajax looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Mika Godts scoring 1 goals.
- 56' The whistle greets Raul Paula as he departs to be replaced by Pepijn Reulen.
- 61' It looks like no one’s ball. NAC Breda is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 71' It is a substitution in NAC Breda team. Max Balard is replaced by Lewis Holtby on 71 minute.
- 72' Ko Itakura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Steven Berghuis on 72 minute.
- 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 78' The referee calls foul for Ko Itakura. He receives a card.
- 82' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Mika Godts is replaced by Oliver Edvardsen.
- 85' It’s gonna be a card for Wout Weghorst.
- 90' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AFC Ajax players.
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Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
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8
Clint Leemans ↓ Juho Talvitie 82'
- 20
- 99
- 7
- 4
- 14
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9
Moussa Soumano ↓ Andre Ayew 56'
- 10
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16
Max Balard ↓ Lewis Holtby 71'
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11
Raul Paula ↓ Pepijn Reulen 56'
Bench
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24
Andre Ayew ↑ 56'
- 15
- 31
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90
Lewis Holtby ↑ 71'
- 1
- 19
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55
Brahim Ghalidi ↑ 56'
- 22
- 25
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32
Juho Talvitie ↑ 82'
- 21
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26
Pepijn Reulen ↑ 56'
Coach Carl HoefkensAFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
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23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Ko Itakura 72'
- 25
- 37
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6
Youri Regeer ↓ Rayane Bounida 72'
- 15
- 2
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11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 82'
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10
Oscar Gloukh ↓ Sean Steur 56'
- 3
- 24
Bench
- 5
- 9
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4
Ko Itakura ↑ 72'
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17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 82'
- 7
- 19
- 52
- 30
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43
Rayane Bounida ↑ 72'
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48
Sean Steur ↑ 56'
- 62
- 45
Coach Óscar García -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Dusan Tadic 2 Jorthy Mokio 1 Kasper Dolberg 1 Leo Sauer 1 Gervane Kastaneer 1 Erik Palmer-Brown 1 Jorrel Hato 1 Boy Kemper 1 Head to Head
NAC Breda Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 40.82 NAC Breda xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo2.01 AFC Ajax xGI would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 57%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.83Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 92% 8% ± 1.5 77% 23% ± 2.5 53% 47% ± 3.5 32% 68% ± 4.5 16% 84% Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw 43%Draw or AFC Ajax 82%NAC Breda or AFC Ajax 76%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 120 – 2 Actual0 – 1 11.2%1 – 1 10.5%1 – 2 9.4%0 – 3 7.7%0 – 0 7.6%1 – 3 6.4%1 – 0 4%2 – 2 3.9%0 – 4 3.9%2 – 1 3.8%1 – 4 3.3%Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
Handicap NAC Breda covers Push AFC Ajax covers -2.5 1% — 99% -2 1% 3% 96% -1.5 4% — 96% -1 4% 9% 87% -0.5 13% — 87% +0.5 36% — 64% +1 36% 24% 40% +1.5 60% — 40% +2 60% 20% 20% +2.5 80% — 20% Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet 14% ✓AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet 44% ✗Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

