NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh.
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
12 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 13.9 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | AFC Ajax | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fortuna Sittard | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 0–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | NAC Breda | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Heracles Almelo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 4–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | FC Groningen | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Rat Verlegh will turn into a battlefield for NAC Breda and AFC Ajax.
- 5' NAC Breda is showing some good football. However, NAC Breda are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' NAC Breda have won 74 goals from 103 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Ajax that had 490 games and scored 845 goals.
- 20' What a moment for Oscar Gloukh! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Steven Berghuis, as he is very good at scoring at Rat Verlegh with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' Boy Kemper has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 490 appearances.
- 35' Mohamed Nassoh, a Morocco , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 41' GOAL! Mika Godts fires home to make it 0-2!
- 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Raul Paula suffering a number of foals already.
- 51' NAC Breda are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's shape.
- 56' The crowd applauds Raul Paula as he leaves the pitch. Pepijn Reulen steps in for NAC Breda.
- 61' Anton Gaaei has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 66' Moussa Soumano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for NAC Breda tonight.
- 71' Fresh legs for NAC Breda! Lewis Holtby comes on to replace Max Balard.
- 72' Steven Berghuis makes way for Ko Itakura at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
- 77' Belgium international Jorthy Mokio has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 78' Ko Itakura has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
- 82' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Oliver Edvardsen comes on to replace Mika Godts.
- 85' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Wout Weghorst gets a card.
- 90' It is a cagey affair so far. NAC Breda in their trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact .
- The final score is 0-2.
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Juho Talvitie 82'
- 20
- 99
- 7
- 4
- 14
-
9
Moussa Soumano ↓ Andre Ayew 56'
- 10
-
16
Max Balard ↓ Lewis Holtby 71'
-
11
Raul Paula ↓ Pepijn Reulen 56'
Bench
-
24
Andre Ayew ↑ 56'
- 15
- 31
-
90
Lewis Holtby ↑ 71'
- 1
- 19
-
55
Brahim Ghalidi ↑ 56'
- 22
- 25
-
32
Juho Talvitie ↑ 82'
- 21
-
26
Pepijn Reulen ↑ 56'
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Ko Itakura 72'
- 25
- 37
-
6
Youri Regeer ↓ Rayane Bounida 72'
- 15
- 2
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 82'
-
10
Oscar Gloukh ↓ Sean Steur 56'
- 3
- 24
Bench
- 5
- 9
-
4
Ko Itakura ↑ 72'
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 82'
- 7
- 19
- 52
- 30
-
43
Rayane Bounida ↑ 72'
-
48
Sean Steur ↑ 56'
- 62
- 45
Coach
Óscar García
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Jorrel Hato | 1 |
| Boy Kemper | 1 |
| Matthew Garbett | 1 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 1 |
| Mika Godts | 1 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 1 |
| Oscar Gloukh | 1 |
Head to Head
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
53%
Draw or AFC Ajax
75%
NAC Breda or AFC Ajax
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
10.7%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.