Thursday , 2 July 2026

Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sun 18 Sep 2022 · 14:00 UTC Fir Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League at Fir Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–3 L
03 Sep Dundee United FC H 0–0 D
27 Aug Kilmarnock FC A 1–2 L
20 Aug Livingston FC H 1–0 W
13 Aug Aberdeen FC A 3–2 W
06 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Sep Motherwell FC A 3–0 W
03 Sep Livingston FC A 0–1 L
28 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 3–2 W
25 Aug FC Zurich H 0–1 L
21 Aug Celtic FC A 0–2 L
18 Aug FC Zurich A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#4 Position #1
54 Points 70
33 Played 33
14 / 12 / 7 W / D / L 21 / 7 / 5
52 Scored 58
29 Conceded 28
+23 GD +30
1.64 PPG 2.12
42% Win % 64%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.94 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC29% Draw31% Heart of Midlothian FC40%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
71%
Motherwell FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC19% Draw52% Heart of Midlothian FC29%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.1%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 17% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 23% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.