Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Corey Rockwell
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee Jeff Hosking
- Referee Ismir Pekmic
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Sep | FC Dallas | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #25 | Position | #6 |
| 24 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 6 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 20 | Scored | 45 |
| 25 | Conceded | 44 |
| -5 | GD | +1 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 33% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 8 G |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Minnesota United FC host FC Cincinnati — let the battle begin!
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Mathieu Deplagne is having his name booked by the referee on 15.
- 16' Kei Kamara adds to his 0 season tally! Minnesota United FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 21' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joe Gyau is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 26' Minnesota United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 31' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Minnesota United FC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 36' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Minnesota United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 41' Yuya Kubo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 46' Jan Gregus, a Slovakia , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 47' Allan Cruz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 47.
- 50' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Chase Gasper.
- 55' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 61' It is a substitution in Minnesota United FC team. Jacori Hayes is replaced by Kevin Molino on 61 minute.
- 66' It is a cagey affair so far. Minnesota United FC in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
- 69' Against the run of play, Kevin Molino has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 70' Brandon Vazquez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Allan Cruz on 70 minute.
- 72' Aaron Schoenfeld gets the nod from Minnesota United FC. He replaces Kei Kamara and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Robin Lod.
- 79' The whistle greets Yuya Kubo as he departs to be replaced by Caleb Stanko.
- 84' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jaap Stam will be considering his options from the bench.
- 89' Kamohelo Mokotjo gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Mathieu Deplagne and will look to change the dynamic.
- Minnesota United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 19
- 17
-
5
Jacori Hayes ↓ Kevin Molino 61'
- 15
-
16
Kei Kamara ↓ Aaron Schoenfeld 72'
- 10
- 8
- 31
- 77
- 97
Bench
- 30
- 44
- 94
- 14
-
7
Kevin Molino ↑ 61'
- 4
-
12
Aaron Schoenfeld ↑ 72'
- 99
- 41
Coach
Adrian Heath
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 17
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Caleb Stanko 79'
- 36
- 22
- 6
- 2
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Brandon Vazquez 70'
- 4
- 24
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 89'
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 79'
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 70'
- 12
- 18
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ike Opara | 2 |
| Kevin Molino | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Kelvin Yeboah | 1 |
| Yuya Kubo | 1 |
| Angelo Rodriguez | 1 |
| Luca Orellano | 1 |
| Ethan Finlay | 1 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2020-10-04
Minnesota United FC
2–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-09-28
Minnesota United FC
0–0
Real Salt Lake
D
2020-09-23
Columbus Crew SC
2–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2020-09-20
Houston Dynamo
2–2
Minnesota United FC
D
2020-09-14
Sporting Kansas City
1–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2020-09-10
Minnesota United FC
3–2
FC Dallas
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.47
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
82%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
39%
Minnesota United FC or FC Cincinnati
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3.6%
0 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 21% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.