Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Corey Rockwell
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee Jeff Hosking
- Referee Ismir Pekmic
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Sep | FC Dallas | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #29 | Position | #9 |
| 29 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 7 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 40 | Scored | 55 |
| 49 | Conceded | 64 |
| -9 | GD | -9 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 26% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Minnesota United FC are 29th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/7
16-30
4/9
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/5
61-75
7/4
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 14 G | 2 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 8 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Allianz Field. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Minnesota United FC and FC Cincinnati.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Adrian Heath will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' Romain Metanire is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 15' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Mathieu Deplagne.
- 16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kei Kamara makes it 1-0.
- 21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Minnesota United FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Minnesota United FC that had 289 games and scored 425 goals.
- 41' Mathieu Deplagne needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 46' Minnesota United FC have won 425 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 47' FC Cincinnati player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 50' The referee calls foul for Chase Gasper. He receives a Yellow card.
- 55' Joe Gyau has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 60' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' Fresh legs for Minnesota United FC! Kevin Molino comes on to replace Jacori Hayes.
- 66' The energy levels are beginning to show. Adrian Heath might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 69' Kevin Molino adds to his 0 season tally! Minnesota United FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 70' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Brandon Vazquez is hanging Allan Cruz on the field on 70 minute.
- 72' The crowd applauds Kei Kamara as he leaves the pitch. Aaron Schoenfeld steps in for Minnesota United FC.
- 76' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Robin Lod.
- 79' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 79 minute. Yuya Kubo leaves to be changed by Caleb Stanko.
- 84' Kendall Waston, a Costa Rica , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 89' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 89 minute. Mathieu Deplagne leaves to be changed by Kamohelo Mokotjo.
- The points are shared — Minnesota United FC 2-0 FC Cincinnati. Honours even.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 19
- 17
-
5
Jacori Hayes ↓ Kevin Molino 61'
- 15
-
16
Kei Kamara ↓ Aaron Schoenfeld 72'
- 10
- 8
- 31
- 77
- 97
Bench
- 30
- 44
- 94
- 14
-
7
Kevin Molino ↑ 61'
- 4
-
12
Aaron Schoenfeld ↑ 72'
- 99
- 41
Coach
Adrian Heath
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 17
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Caleb Stanko 79'
- 36
- 22
- 6
- 2
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Brandon Vazquez 70'
- 4
- 24
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 89'
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 79'
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 70'
- 12
- 18
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ike Opara | 2 |
| Kevin Molino | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 1 |
| Kei Kamara | 1 |
| Aaron Schoenfeld | 1 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Kelvin Yeboah | 1 |
| Yuya Kubo | 1 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2020-10-04
Minnesota United FC
2–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-09-28
Minnesota United FC
0–0
Real Salt Lake
D
2020-09-23
Columbus Crew SC
2–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2020-09-20
Houston Dynamo
2–2
Minnesota United FC
D
2020-09-14
Sporting Kansas City
1–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2020-09-10
Minnesota United FC
3–2
FC Dallas
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.8
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.16
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
83%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
36%
Minnesota United FC or FC Cincinnati
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
4 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -2 | 28% | 19% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 20% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

