Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Corey Rockwell
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee Jeff Hosking
- Referee Ismir Pekmic
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Sep | FC Dallas | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #7 |
| 22 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 6 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 18 | Scored | 36 |
| 22 | Conceded | 37 |
| -4 | GD | -1 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 40% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Allianz Field. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Minnesota United FC and FC Cincinnati.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Adrian Heath might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' FC Cincinnati player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kei Kamara makes it 1-0.
- 21' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 26' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 31' Emanuel Reynoso has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 36' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Allan Cruz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Adrian Heath will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 47' Allan Cruz was booked on 47.
- 50' The referee has no hesitation. Chase Gasper is booked for Minnesota United FC — Yellow card on 50.
- 55' Minnesota United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
- 60' Bakaye Dibassy is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 61' Jacori Hayes makes way for Kevin Molino at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Minnesota United FC.
- 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 69' Kevin Molino has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 69 minutes.
- 70' Brandon Vazquez gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Allan Cruz and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' The Minnesota United FC bench stirs into life. Kei Kamara is withdrawn and Aaron Schoenfeld gets his opportunity.
- 76' Robin Lod has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 76.
- 79' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Yuya Kubo by Caleb Stanko on 79 minute.
- 84' Supporters expect more eagerness from Romain Metanire, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 89' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Mathieu Deplagne is withdrawn and Kamohelo Mokotjo gets his opportunity.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 19
- 17
-
5
Jacori Hayes ↓ Kevin Molino 61'
- 15
-
16
Kei Kamara ↓ Aaron Schoenfeld 72'
- 10
- 8
- 31
- 77
- 97
Bench
- 30
- 44
- 94
- 14
-
7
Kevin Molino ↑ 61'
- 4
-
12
Aaron Schoenfeld ↑ 72'
- 99
- 41
Coach
Adrian Heath
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 17
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Caleb Stanko 79'
- 36
- 22
- 6
- 2
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Brandon Vazquez 70'
- 4
- 24
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 89'
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 79'
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 70'
- 12
- 18
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ike Opara | 2 |
| Kevin Molino | 2 |
| Kei Kamara | 1 |
| Aaron Schoenfeld | 1 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Kelvin Yeboah | 1 |
| Yuya Kubo | 1 |
| Angelo Rodriguez | 1 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2020-10-04
Minnesota United FC
2–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-09-28
Minnesota United FC
0–0
Real Salt Lake
D
2020-09-23
Columbus Crew SC
2–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2020-09-20
Houston Dynamo
2–2
Minnesota United FC
D
2020-09-14
Sporting Kansas City
1–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2020-09-10
Minnesota United FC
3–2
FC Dallas
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.53
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
82%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
38%
Minnesota United FC or FC Cincinnati
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.5%
4 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
3.8%
0 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 19% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 21% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.