Millwall FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Bristol City FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Bristol City FC 46 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Keith Stroud
- Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
- Assistant 2 Richard Wild
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Bristol City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 May | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 28 Apr | Blackpool FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Apr | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Birmingham City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | Preston North End FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 May | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Apr | Rotherham United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Bristol City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 83 | Points | 62 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 17 / 11 / 18 |
| 64 | Scored | 59 |
| 49 | Conceded | 59 |
| +15 | GD | +0 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 52% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Millwall FC and Bristol City FC is underway.
- 5' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Joe Williams has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Poor challenge from Joe Williams. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Nigel Pearson will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' Bristol City FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 50' Casper De Norre has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 60' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Tom Bradshaw. He replaces Duncan Watmore on 62 minute.
- 63' The whistle greets Nahki Wells as he departs to be replaced by Anis Mehmeti.
- 64' Harry Cornick is replacing Mark Sykes for the Bristol City FC side.
- 67' Millwall FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 67.
- 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cameron Pring on 69.
- 74' Millwall FC have won 401 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Haydon Roberts. He replaces Cameron Pring on 76 minute.
- 80' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Romain Esse comes on to replace Casper De Norre.
- 85' Ephraim Yeboah is replacing Sam Bell for the Bristol City FC side.
- 88' The referee calls foul for Zak Vyner. He receives a Yellow card.
- 90' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Dan McNamara is replaced by Ryan Leonard on 90 minute.
- With this win, Bristol City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 4
- 5
- 3
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↓ Tom Bradshaw 62'
- 15
- 20
-
10
Zian Flemming ↓ Romain Esse 80'
- 24
-
2
Dan McNamara ↓ Ryan Leonard 90'
- 8
-
7
Kevin Nisbet ↓ Aidomo Emakhu 80'
Bench
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↑ 90'
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 62'
- 6
- 33
- 45
-
23
George Saville ↑ 80'
- 21
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 80'
-
25
Romain Esse ↑ 80'
Coach
Gary Rowett
Bristol City FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
3
Cameron Pring ↓ Haydon Roberts 76'
- 6
-
21
Nahki Wells ↓ Anis Mehmeti 63'
-
8
Joe Williams ↓ Kal Naismith 63'
- 26
- 16
-
17
Mark Sykes ↓ Harry Cornick 63'
- 12
- 19
-
20
Sam Bell ↓ Ephraim Yeboah 85'
- 1
Bench
- 10
-
4
Kal Naismith ↑ 63'
-
9
Harry Cornick ↑ 63'
-
24
Haydon Roberts ↑ 76'
- 23
-
11
Anis Mehmeti ↑ 63'
- 13
- 27
- 28
-
29
Ephraim Yeboah ↑ 85'
Coach
Nigel Pearson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Bradshaw | 5 |
| Andreas Weimann | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 3 |
| Jake Cooper | 2 |
| Famara Diedhiou | 2 |
| Callum O'Dowda | 1 |
| Romain Esse | 1 |
| Benik Afobe | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Bristol City FC Form
2023-08-12
Millwall FC
0–1
Bristol City FC
W
2023-08-05
Bristol City FC
1–1
Preston North End FC
D
2023-05-08
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–2
Bristol City FC
W
2023-04-29
Bristol City FC
1–2
Burnley FC
L
2023-04-22
Bristol City FC
2–1
Rotherham United FC
W
2023-04-18
Sheffield United FC
1–0
Bristol City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.18
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Bristol City FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bristol City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Bristol City FC
66%
Millwall FC or Bristol City FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Bristol City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

