Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2019-20
Sat 14 Dec 2019 · 15:00 UTC iPro Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at iPro Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Leigh Doughty
  • Referee Marc Perry
  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
  • Referee
3 games this season 🟨 6.3/game ⚽ 24.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Millwall FC H 0–1 L
11 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–1 D
07 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
30 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Fulham FC A 0–3 L
23 Nov Preston North End FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Derby County FC A 1–0 W
10 Dec Bristol City FC A 2–1 W
06 Dec Nottingham Forest FC H 2–2 D
30 Nov Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
26 Nov Wigan Athletic FC H 2–2 D
23 Nov Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Millwall FC
#23 Position #16
10 Points 18
15 Played 15
2 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 5 / 3 / 7
14 Scored 23
30 Conceded 27
-16 GD -4
0.67 PPG 1.20
13% Win % 33%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 5 G 2 A
Camiel Neghli 3 G 3 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' The 32-year-old Jed Wallace has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Phillip Cocu might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 25' GOAL! Tom Bradshaw fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Millwall FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 35' Ben Thompson, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 40' The travelling Millwall FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' Millwall FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from George Evans, as he is very good at scoring at iPro Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Martyn Waghorn made 400 appearances and scored 40 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Martyn Waghorn on 57.
  • 62' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Ben Thompson. He replaces Jon Dadi Bodvarsson on 67 minute.
  • 72' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 74' Jason Knight makes way for Kieran Dowell at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 79' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 81' Florian Jozefzoon has so much to prove this time. He replaces Craig Forsyth on 81 minute.
  • 86' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 88' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Duane Holmes by Morgan Whittaker on 88 minute.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Millwall FC player. Mahlon Romeo gets a Yellow card.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.91 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC22% Draw27% Millwall FC51%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Millwall FC
78%
Derby County FC or Millwall FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC16% Draw48% Millwall FC36%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
10.1%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.3%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
5.1%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 24% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.