Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at iPro Stadium.
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Leigh Doughty
- Referee Marc Perry
- Referee Chris Kavanagh
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Nov | Fulham FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | Preston North End FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Bristol City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Nov | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Nov | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Nov | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #11 |
| 5 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 1 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 15 |
| 14 | Conceded | 15 |
| -7 | GD | +0 |
| 0.63 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 13% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at iPro Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Millwall FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' Magnificent from Tom Bradshaw! That is 50 goals in 387 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 30' Murray Wallace has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 40' Millwall FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 50' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 57' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 57.
- 62' It’s high time Phillip Cocu made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 67' Millwall FC make a change. Jon Dadi Bodvarsson trudges off to be replaced by Ben Thompson on 67 minutes.
- 72' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 74' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Jason Knight is withdrawn and Kieran Dowell gets his opportunity.
- 79' The 41-year-old Curtis Davies has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 81' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Craig Forsyth is withdrawn and Florian Jozefzoon gets his opportunity.
- 86' Millwall FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
- 88' Derby County FC ring the changes. Duane Holmes has done his job and it is now time for Morgan Whittaker to step up.
- 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Mahlon Romeo.
- 0-1 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 3
- 33
- 37
- 10
- 9
- 17
- 19
-
23
Duane Holmes ↓ Morgan Whittaker 88'
- 25
-
38
Jason Knight ↓ Kieran Dowell 74'
Bench
-
8
Kieran Dowell ↑ 74'
- 21
- 2
-
11
Florian Jozefzoon ↑ 81'
- 46
- 5
-
49
Morgan Whittaker ↑ 88'
Coach
Phillip Cocu
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Aiden O'Brien 81'
- 12
- 4
- 5
- 6
- 7
- 3
- 15
- 33
- 16
Bench
-
8
Ben Thompson ↑ 67'
- 14
- 11
-
22
Aiden O'Brien ↑ 81'
- 26
- 21
- 10
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Jerry Yates | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Connor Mahoney | 1 |
| Matt Smith | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2019-12-14
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2019-12-11
Derby County FC
1–1
Sheffield Wednesday FC
D
2019-12-07
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2019-11-30
Derby County FC
1–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
D
2019-11-26
Fulham FC
3–0
Derby County FC
L
2019-11-23
Derby County FC
1–0
Preston North End FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.9
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Millwall FC
79%
Derby County FC or Millwall FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
10.4%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 17% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.