Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Steve Martin
- Referee Andrew Davies
- Referee Graham Kane
- Referee Darren Blunden
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | Leeds United FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Aug | Reading FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 83 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 64 | Scored | 67 |
| 49 | Conceded | 59 |
| +15 | GD | +8 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 52% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Millwall FC and Derby County FC.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 7' What a moment for Lee Gregory! That strike on 7 puts his side firmly in control.
- 12' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 17' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' What composure from Shaun Williams! The Ireland international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
- 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 35' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 40' Millwall FC have won 401 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 46' The whistle greets Scott Malone as he departs to be replaced by Craig Forsyth.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 61' That is a Yellow card for Millwall FC. Jake Cooper will be fuming at that decision.
- 66' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
- 67' Martyn Waghorn makes way for David Nugent at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
- 72' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. David Nugent gets a Yellow card.
- 73' GOAL! David Nugent scores on 73. Assisted by Craig Forsyth
- 78' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 84' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Lee Gregory departs to be replaced by Ryan Tunnicliffe.
- 85' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shane Ferguson is hanging Jed Wallace on the field on 85 minute.
- 90' Millwall FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
- 2-1 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 1
- 12
- 4
- 5
- 6
-
7
Jed Wallace ↓ Shane Ferguson 85'
-
9
Lee Gregory ↓ Ryan Tunnicliffe 84'
- 22
- 20
- 23
Bench
-
11
Shane Ferguson ↑ 85'
- 2
-
18
Ryan Tunnicliffe ↑ 84'
- 19
- 25
- 13
- 26
Coach
Neil Harris
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 37
- 15
- 10
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↓ David Nugent 67'
- 11
- 4
- 8
-
46
Scott Malone ↓ Craig Forsyth 46'
- 5
Bench
- 21
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 46'
- 2
-
28
David Nugent ↑ 67'
- 17
- 14
-
20
Mason Bennett ↑ 67'
Coach
Frank Lampard
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Scott Malone | 1 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| David Nugent | 1 |
| Tyler Burey | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.76
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
49%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 21% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

