Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Sat 18 Aug 2018 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Derby County FCChampionship .

Match Details

  • Referee Steve Martin
  • Referee Andrew Davies
  • Referee Graham Kane
  • Referee Darren Blunden

Head-to-Head

7
3
2
Millwall FC 12 games · Avg 1.9 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug Derby County FC H 2–1 W
11 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–0 D
04 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug Millwall FC A 1–2 L
11 Aug Leeds United FC H 1–4 L
03 Aug Reading FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Millwall FC Derby County FC
#3 Position #8
83 Points 69
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
64 Scored 67
49 Conceded 59
+15 GD +8
1.80 PPG 1.50
52% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Millwall FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 7' What a moment for Lee Gregory! That strike on 7 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 12' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 17' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' What composure from Shaun Williams! The Ireland international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 35' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 40' Millwall FC have won 401 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' The whistle greets Scott Malone as he departs to be replaced by Craig Forsyth.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' That is a Yellow card for Millwall FC. Jake Cooper will be fuming at that decision.
  • 66' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
  • 67' Martyn Waghorn makes way for David Nugent at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 72' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. David Nugent gets a Yellow card.
  • 73' GOAL! David Nugent scores on 73. Assisted by Craig Forsyth
  • 78' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 84' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Lee Gregory departs to be replaced by Ryan Tunnicliffe.
  • 85' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shane Ferguson is hanging Jed Wallace on the field on 85 minute.
  • 90' Millwall FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 2-1 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.76 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC51% Draw25% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
49%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC35% Draw44% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.