Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Steve Martin
- Referee Andrew Davies
- Referee Graham Kane
- Referee Darren Blunden
3 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | Leeds United FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Aug | Reading FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #22 |
| 11 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 15 | Scored | 7 |
| 15 | Conceded | 14 |
| +0 | GD | -7 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 38% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Millwall FC and Derby County FC has kicked off!
- 5' Millwall FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 7' Lee Gregory adds to his 0 season tally! Millwall FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 12' Over 12 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 17' Florian Jozefzoon has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 390 appearances.
- 20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Shaun Williams makes it 2-0.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 46' Craig Forsyth has so much to prove this time. He replaces Scott Malone on 46 minute.
- 51' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 61' The referee calls foul for Jake Cooper. He receives a Yellow card.
- 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bradley Johnson, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 67' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Martyn Waghorn departs to be replaced by David Nugent.
- 72' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. David Nugent gets a Yellow card.
- 73' The deadlock is broken! David Nugent gets on the scoresheet on 73 minutes.
- 78' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 83' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 84' Ryan Tunnicliffe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lee Gregory at the 84 minute mark.
- 85' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Jed Wallace is replaced by Shane Ferguson on 85 minute.
- 90' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- Full Time. Millwall FC beats Derby County FC
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 1
- 12
- 4
- 5
- 6
-
7
Jed Wallace ↓ Shane Ferguson 85'
-
9
Lee Gregory ↓ Ryan Tunnicliffe 84'
- 22
- 20
- 23
Bench
-
11
Shane Ferguson ↑ 85'
- 2
-
18
Ryan Tunnicliffe ↑ 84'
- 19
- 25
- 13
- 26
Coach
Neil Harris
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 37
- 15
- 10
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↓ David Nugent 67'
- 11
- 4
- 8
-
46
Scott Malone ↓ Craig Forsyth 46'
- 5
Bench
- 21
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 46'
- 2
-
28
David Nugent ↑ 67'
- 17
- 14
-
20
Mason Bennett ↑ 67'
Coach
Frank Lampard
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Jason Knight | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Shaun Hutchinson | 1 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
| Festy Ebosele | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.27
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
41%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.6%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
4.9%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 18% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 21% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.