Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Steve Martin
- Referee Andrew Davies
- Referee Graham Kane
- Referee Darren Blunden
4 games this season
🟨 4.8/game
⚽ 10.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | Millwall FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | Leeds United FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Aug | Reading FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #23 |
| 18 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 9 |
| 23 | Scored | 14 |
| 27 | Conceded | 30 |
| -4 | GD | -16 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 33% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Millwall FC and Derby County FC get this one started.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Nugent made 400 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 7' GOAL! Lee Gregory scores on 7. Assisted by Shaun Williams
- 12' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 17' Shaun Williams, a Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' GOAL! Shaun Williams scores on 20.
- 25' Mahlon Romeo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' England international Mason Mount has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' Florian Jozefzoon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Millwall FC so far.
- 46' Derby County FC make a change. Scott Malone trudges off to be replaced by Craig Forsyth on 46 minutes.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' The 36-year-old Martyn Waghorn has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 61' That is a Yellow card for Millwall FC. Jake Cooper will be fuming at that decision.
- 66' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Scott Carson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 67' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Martyn Waghorn is replaced by David Nugent.
- 72' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. David Nugent gets a Yellow card.
- 73' The England David Nugent breaks the deadlock on 73 minutes. 2-1!
- 78' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 83' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 84' Ryan Tunnicliffe is replacing Lee Gregory for the Millwall FC side.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Shane Ferguson. He replaces Jed Wallace on 85 minute.
- 90' The energy levels are beginning to show. Frank Lampard might look to freshen things up shortly.
- The points are shared — Millwall FC 2-1 Derby County FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 1
- 12
- 4
- 5
- 6
-
7
Jed Wallace ↓ Shane Ferguson 85'
-
9
Lee Gregory ↓ Ryan Tunnicliffe 84'
- 22
- 20
- 23
Bench
-
11
Shane Ferguson ↑ 85'
- 2
-
18
Ryan Tunnicliffe ↑ 84'
- 19
- 25
- 13
- 26
Coach
Neil Harris
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 37
- 15
- 10
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↓ David Nugent 67'
- 11
- 4
- 8
-
46
Scott Malone ↓ Craig Forsyth 46'
- 5
Bench
- 21
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 46'
- 2
-
28
David Nugent ↑ 67'
- 17
- 14
-
20
Mason Bennett ↑ 67'
Coach
Frank Lampard
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Kyrell Lisbie | 2 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Jerry Yates | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Connor Mahoney | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.17
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Derby County FC
43%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 22% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.