Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at iPro Stadium.
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Jones
- Referee Steve Meredith
- Referee James Linington
- Referee Rob Merchant
6 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 9.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jan | Accrington Stanley FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | AFC Wimbledon | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Feb | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Feb | Rotherham United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jan | Everton FC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #16 |
| 10 | Points | 18 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 2 / 4 / 9 | W / D / L | 5 / 3 / 7 |
| 14 | Scored | 23 |
| 30 | Conceded | 27 |
| -16 | GD | -4 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 13% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Millwall FC have won 425 goals from 397 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Millwall FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 397 games and scored 425 goals.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' The 41-year-old David Nugent has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 42' Tom Huddlestone picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 44' The referee calls foul for Ben Marshall. He receives a Yellow card.
- 49' The energy levels are beginning to show. Neil Harris might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 54' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Neil Harris will be considering his options from the bench.
- 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
- 63' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Richard Keogh on 63 minutes.
- 68' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 72' GOAL! Jed Wallace fires home to make it 0-1!
- 73' Another change for Derby County FC made on 73 minute. Tom Huddlestone leaves to be changed by Andy King.
- 75' Tom Elliott gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Lee Gregory and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Millwall FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 85' Ryan Tunnicliffe has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 86' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Harry Wilson is replaced by David Nugent on 86 minute.
- 87' Ryan Leonard is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
- 89' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Jed Wallace is withdrawn and Ryan Tunnicliffe gets his opportunity.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Tom Elliott argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 6
- 37
-
44
Tom Huddlestone ↓ Andy King 73'
- 9
- 4
- 14
- 23
- 5
-
7
Harry Wilson ↓ David Nugent 86'
-
26
Ashley Cole ↓ Florian Jozefzoon 73'
Bench
-
24
Andy King ↑ 73'
- 2
- 15
-
28
David Nugent ↑ 86'
-
11
Florian Jozefzoon ↑ 73'
- 46
- 47
Coach
Frank Lampard
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 1
- 11
- 12
- 4
- 5
- 6
-
7
Jed Wallace ↓ Ryan Tunnicliffe 89'
-
9
Lee Gregory ↓ Tom Elliott 75'
- 25
- 44
Bench
- 8
- 16
-
18
Ryan Tunnicliffe ↑ 89'
- 22
- 20
-
19
Tom Elliott ↑ 75'
- 10
Coach
Neil Harris
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Kyrell Lisbie | 2 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Matt Smith | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| David Nugent | 1 |
| Jason Knight | 1 |
| Luke Cundle | 1 |
Derby County FC Form
2019-02-20
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2019-02-16
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2019-02-13
Ipswich Town FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2019-02-09
Derby County FC
2–0
Hull City AFC
W
2019-02-01
Preston North End FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2019-01-26
Accrington Stanley FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.92
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Millwall FC
75%
Derby County FC or Millwall FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.9%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

