Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at iPro Stadium.
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Jones
- Referee Steve Meredith
- Referee James Linington
- Referee Rob Merchant
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jan | Accrington Stanley FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | AFC Wimbledon | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Feb | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Feb | Rotherham United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jan | Everton FC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #3 |
| 69 | Points | 83 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 20 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 24 / 11 / 11 |
| 67 | Scored | 64 |
| 59 | Conceded | 49 |
| +8 | GD | +15 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.80 |
| 43% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Millwall FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Millwall FC's shape.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shaun Williams, as he is very good at scoring at iPro Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Neil Harris will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 35' Richard Keogh has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 42' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Tom Huddlestone.
- 44' Poor challenge from Ben Marshall. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 49' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jordan Archer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
- 54' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 59' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their trying to find a way past Millwall FC's compact .
- 63' That is a Yellow card for Derby County FC. Richard Keogh will be fuming at that decision.
- 68' Jake Cooper, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 72' Jed Wallace doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 73' Derby County FC ring the changes. Tom Huddlestone has done his job and it is now time for Andy King to step up.
- 75' Millwall FC make a change. Lee Gregory trudges off to be replaced by Tom Elliott on 75 minutes.
- 80' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 85' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 86' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Harry Wilson is withdrawn and David Nugent gets his opportunity.
- 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Leonard on 87.
- 89' Ryan Tunnicliffe is replacing Jed Wallace for the Millwall FC side.
- 90' Tom Elliott catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
- The points are shared — Derby County FC 0-1 Millwall FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 6
- 37
-
44
Tom Huddlestone ↓ Andy King 73'
- 9
- 4
- 14
- 23
- 5
-
7
Harry Wilson ↓ David Nugent 86'
-
26
Ashley Cole ↓ Florian Jozefzoon 73'
Bench
-
24
Andy King ↑ 73'
- 2
- 15
-
28
David Nugent ↑ 86'
-
11
Florian Jozefzoon ↑ 73'
- 46
- 47
Coach
Frank Lampard
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 1
- 11
- 12
- 4
- 5
- 6
-
7
Jed Wallace ↓ Ryan Tunnicliffe 89'
-
9
Lee Gregory ↓ Tom Elliott 75'
- 25
- 44
Bench
- 8
- 16
-
18
Ryan Tunnicliffe ↑ 89'
- 22
- 20
-
19
Tom Elliott ↑ 75'
- 10
Coach
Neil Harris
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Connor Mahoney | 1 |
| Matt Smith | 1 |
| David Nugent | 1 |
Derby County FC Form
2019-02-20
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2019-02-16
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2019-02-13
Ipswich Town FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2019-02-09
Derby County FC
2–0
Hull City AFC
W
2019-02-01
Preston North End FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2019-01-26
Accrington Stanley FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.95
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Millwall FC
70%
Derby County FC or Millwall FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 3
3%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.