Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at iPro Stadium.
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Jones
- Referee Steve Meredith
- Referee James Linington
- Referee Rob Merchant
3 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 11.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jan | Accrington Stanley FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | AFC Wimbledon | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Feb | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Feb | Rotherham United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jan | Everton FC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #11 |
| 5 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 1 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 15 |
| 14 | Conceded | 15 |
| -7 | GD | +0 |
| 0.63 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 13% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at iPro Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Millwall FC.
- 5' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Murray Wallace has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' David Nugent is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
- 20' The 36-year-old Martyn Waghorn has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shaun Hutchinson made 386 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 40' Millwall FC have won 408 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 42' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 42.
- 44' Ben Marshall was booked on 44.
- 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 54' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frank Lampard will be considering his options from the bench.
- 59' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 63' Richard Keogh has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 63.
- 68' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 72' Assisted by Shane Ferguson with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jed Wallace makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 73' The whistle greets Tom Huddlestone as he departs to be replaced by Andy King.
- 75' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Lee Gregory departs to be replaced by Tom Elliott.
- 80' Shaun Williams has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 85' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 86' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Harry Wilson departs to be replaced by David Nugent.
- 87' Ryan Leonard picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 89' Ryan Tunnicliffe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jed Wallace at the 89 minute mark.
- 90' Tom Elliott catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
- 0-1 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 6
- 37
-
44
Tom Huddlestone ↓ Andy King 73'
- 9
- 4
- 14
- 23
- 5
-
7
Harry Wilson ↓ David Nugent 86'
-
26
Ashley Cole ↓ Florian Jozefzoon 73'
Bench
-
24
Andy King ↑ 73'
- 2
- 15
-
28
David Nugent ↑ 86'
-
11
Florian Jozefzoon ↑ 73'
- 46
- 47
Coach
Frank Lampard
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
- 1
- 11
- 12
- 4
- 5
- 6
-
7
Jed Wallace ↓ Ryan Tunnicliffe 89'
-
9
Lee Gregory ↓ Tom Elliott 75'
- 25
- 44
Bench
- 8
- 16
-
18
Ryan Tunnicliffe ↑ 89'
- 22
- 20
-
19
Tom Elliott ↑ 75'
- 10
Coach
Neil Harris
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Jason Knight | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Shaun Hutchinson | 1 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
| Festy Ebosele | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
Derby County FC Form
2019-02-20
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2019-02-16
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2019-02-13
Ipswich Town FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2019-02-09
Derby County FC
2–0
Hull City AFC
W
2019-02-01
Preston North End FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2019-01-26
Accrington Stanley FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.91
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Millwall FC
76%
Derby County FC or Millwall FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.4%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

