Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Neil Hair
- Referee Steve Martin
- Referee Ian Cooper
- Referee Graham Kane
4 games this season
🟨 1.8/game
⚽ 8.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun | Derby County FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Mar | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Feb | Bristol City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Birmingham City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Feb | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Manchester United FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Feb | Fulham FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #22 |
| 11 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 15 | Scored | 7 |
| 15 | Conceded | 14 |
| +0 | GD | -7 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 38% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Millwall FC gets underway.
- 5' A quiet spell here at The Den. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Matt Smith adds to his 0 season tally! Millwall FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 20' Craig Forsyth needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 26' GOAL! Louie Sibley scores on 26. Assisted by Jayden Bogle
- 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. Millwall FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 36' Mahlon Romeo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 38' The referee calls foul for Martyn Waghorn. He receives a Yellow card.
- 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Curtis Davies, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 62' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Duane Holmes departs to be replaced by Jason Knight.
- 67' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 71' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Louie Sibley on 71.
- 74' The whistle greets Ryan Leonard as he departs to be replaced by Tom Bradshaw.
- 76' Another change for Derby County FC made on 76 minute. Martyn Waghorn leaves to be changed by Graeme Shinnie.
- 81' The whistle greets Jed Wallace as he departs to be replaced by Jiri Skalak.
- 85' Chris Martin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wayne Rooney at the 85 minute mark.
- 86' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Ryan Woods is withdrawn and Shaun Williams gets his opportunity.
- 89' Louie Sibley has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 89.
- 90' Louie Sibley makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Derby County FC are in front.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Ryan Woods ↓ Shaun Williams 86'
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↓ Tom Bradshaw 74'
- 11
- 12
- 4
- 5
-
7
Jed Wallace ↓ Jiri Skalak 81'
-
3
Murray Wallace ↓ Connor Mahoney 81'
- 33
- 10
- 16
Bench
-
23
Jon Daði Boðvarsson ↑ 74'
- 14
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 74'
-
6
Shaun Williams ↑ 86'
-
26
Jiri Skalak ↑ 81'
-
21
Connor Mahoney ↑ 81'
- 17
- 42
- 45
Coach
Gary Rowett
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 12
- 3
- 2
-
37
Jayden Bogle ↓ Curtis Davies 76'
-
41
Max Bird ↓ George Evans 85'
- 10
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↓ Graeme Shinnie 76'
-
23
Duane Holmes ↓ Jason Knight 62'
-
32
Wayne Rooney C ↓ Chris Martin 85'
- 40
Bench
- 21
-
33
Curtis Davies ↑ 76'
-
17
George Evans ↑ 85'
-
19
Chris Martin ↑ 85'
- 11
- 25
-
4
Graeme Shinnie ↑ 76'
-
38
Jason Knight ↑ 62'
- 49
Coach
Phillip Cocu
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Connor Mahoney | 1 |
| Matt Smith | 1 |
| David Nugent | 1 |
| Jason Knight | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Shaun Hutchinson | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2020-06-20
Millwall FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2020-03-08
Derby County FC
3–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2020-03-05
Derby County FC
0–3
Manchester United FC
L
2020-02-29
Sheffield Wednesday FC
1–3
Derby County FC
W
2020-02-25
Queens Park Rangers FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2020-02-21
Derby County FC
1–1
Fulham FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.05
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 21% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

