Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Neil Hair
- Referee Steve Martin
- Referee Ian Cooper
- Referee Graham Kane
4 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 8.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun | Derby County FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Mar | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Feb | Bristol City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Birmingham City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Feb | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Manchester United FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Feb | Fulham FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #23 |
| 18 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 9 |
| 23 | Scored | 14 |
| 27 | Conceded | 30 |
| -4 | GD | -16 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 33% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Millwall FC and Derby County FC get this one started.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Millwall FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Matt Smith is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Phillip Cocu might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 26' What a strike from Louie Sibley! The score is 1-1.
- 31' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Shaun Hutchinson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 38' The referee has no hesitation. Martyn Waghorn is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 38.
- 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 393 games and scored 420 goals.
- 53' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 58' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 62' Derby County FC make a change. Duane Holmes trudges off to be replaced by Jason Knight on 62 minutes.
- 67' With 1 assists to his name this season, Jed Wallace is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
- 71' Louie Sibley with the second goal in the match!
- 74' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tom Bradshaw is hanging Ryan Leonard on the field on 74 minute.
- 76' Derby County FC ring the changes. Martyn Waghorn has done his job and it is now time for Graeme Shinnie to step up.
- 81' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Jiri Skalak comes on to replace Jed Wallace.
- 85' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Chris Martin comes on to replace Wayne Rooney.
- 86' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Ryan Woods by Shaun Williams on 86 minute.
- 89' Louie Sibley is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
- 90' Louie Sibley is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the midfielder.
- 2-3 the final result. Millwall FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Ryan Woods ↓ Shaun Williams 86'
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↓ Tom Bradshaw 74'
- 11
- 12
- 4
- 5
-
7
Jed Wallace ↓ Jiri Skalak 81'
-
3
Murray Wallace ↓ Connor Mahoney 81'
- 33
- 10
- 16
Bench
-
23
Jon Daði Boðvarsson ↑ 74'
- 14
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 74'
-
6
Shaun Williams ↑ 86'
-
26
Jiri Skalak ↑ 81'
-
21
Connor Mahoney ↑ 81'
- 17
- 42
- 45
Coach
Gary Rowett
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 12
- 3
- 2
-
37
Jayden Bogle ↓ Curtis Davies 76'
-
41
Max Bird ↓ George Evans 85'
- 10
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↓ Graeme Shinnie 76'
-
23
Duane Holmes ↓ Jason Knight 62'
-
32
Wayne Rooney C ↓ Chris Martin 85'
- 40
Bench
- 21
-
33
Curtis Davies ↑ 76'
-
17
George Evans ↑ 85'
-
19
Chris Martin ↑ 85'
- 11
- 25
-
4
Graeme Shinnie ↑ 76'
-
38
Jason Knight ↑ 62'
- 49
Coach
Phillip Cocu
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Kyrell Lisbie | 2 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Connor Mahoney | 1 |
| Filip Bilbija | 1 |
| Matt Smith | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2020-06-20
Millwall FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2020-03-08
Derby County FC
3–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2020-03-05
Derby County FC
0–3
Manchester United FC
L
2020-02-29
Sheffield Wednesday FC
1–3
Derby County FC
W
2020-02-25
Queens Park Rangers FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2020-02-21
Derby County FC
1–1
Fulham FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
52%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 21% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

