Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2019-20
Sat 20 Jun 2020 · 12:00 UTC The Den HT 45+2' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Neil Hair
  • Referee Steve Martin
  • Referee Ian Cooper
  • Referee Graham Kane
4 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jun Derby County FC H 2–3 L
06 Mar Nottingham Forest FC A 3–0 W
29 Feb Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
26 Feb Birmingham City FC H 0–0 D
22 Feb Wigan Athletic FC A 0–1 L
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jun Millwall FC A 3–2 W
08 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
05 Mar Manchester United FC H 0–3 L
29 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–1 W
25 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–2 L
21 Feb Fulham FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Millwall FC Derby County FC
#11 Position #22
11 Points 5
8 Played 8
3 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
15 Scored 7
15 Conceded 14
+0 GD -7
1.38 PPG 0.63
38% Win % 13%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Millwall FC gets underway.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at The Den. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Matt Smith adds to his 0 season tally! Millwall FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 20' Craig Forsyth needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 26' GOAL! Louie Sibley scores on 26. Assisted by Jayden Bogle
  • 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. Millwall FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 36' Mahlon Romeo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 38' The referee calls foul for Martyn Waghorn. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Curtis Davies, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 62' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Duane Holmes departs to be replaced by Jason Knight.
  • 67' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 71' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Louie Sibley on 71.
  • 74' The whistle greets Ryan Leonard as he departs to be replaced by Tom Bradshaw.
  • 76' Another change for Derby County FC made on 76 minute. Martyn Waghorn leaves to be changed by Graeme Shinnie.
  • 81' The whistle greets Jed Wallace as he departs to be replaced by Jiri Skalak.
  • 85' Chris Martin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wayne Rooney at the 85 minute mark.
  • 86' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Ryan Woods is withdrawn and Shaun Williams gets his opportunity.
  • 89' Louie Sibley has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 89.
  • 90' Louie Sibley makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Derby County FC are in front.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.05 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC49% Draw24% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC38% Draw40% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.