Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Neil Hair
- Referee Steve Martin
- Referee Ian Cooper
- Referee Graham Kane
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun | Derby County FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Mar | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Feb | Bristol City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Feb | Birmingham City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Feb | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun | Millwall FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 08 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Mar | Manchester United FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Feb | Fulham FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 83 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 64 | Scored | 67 |
| 49 | Conceded | 59 |
| +15 | GD | +8 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 52% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Millwall FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at The Den.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Chris Martin made 385 appearances and scored 54 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Matt Smith has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 15 minutes.
- 20' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 26' What a strike from Louie Sibley! The score is 1-1.
- 31' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 38' Controversy at the stadium! Martyn Waghorn argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 48' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 53' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Millwall FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 58' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 62' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Duane Holmes is withdrawn and Jason Knight gets his opportunity.
- 67' Wales international Tom Lawrence has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 71' Goal! Louie Sibley scores his 17 goal in 385 matches.
- 74' Millwall FC ring the changes. Ryan Leonard has done his job and it is now time for Tom Bradshaw to step up.
- 76' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Graeme Shinnie on, Martyn Waghorn off on 76 minutes.
- 81' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Jed Wallace is replaced by Jiri Skalak on 81 minute.
- 85' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Wayne Rooney is replaced by Chris Martin on 85 minute.
- 86' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Ryan Woods is withdrawn and Shaun Williams gets his opportunity.
- 89' Louie Sibley is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
- 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Louie Sibley makes it 1-3.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Ryan Woods ↓ Shaun Williams 86'
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↓ Tom Bradshaw 74'
- 11
- 12
- 4
- 5
-
7
Jed Wallace ↓ Jiri Skalak 81'
-
3
Murray Wallace ↓ Connor Mahoney 81'
- 33
- 10
- 16
Bench
-
23
Jon Daði Boðvarsson ↑ 74'
- 14
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 74'
-
6
Shaun Williams ↑ 86'
-
26
Jiri Skalak ↑ 81'
-
21
Connor Mahoney ↑ 81'
- 17
- 42
- 45
Coach
Gary Rowett
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 12
- 3
- 2
-
37
Jayden Bogle ↓ Curtis Davies 76'
-
41
Max Bird ↓ George Evans 85'
- 10
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↓ Graeme Shinnie 76'
-
23
Duane Holmes ↓ Jason Knight 62'
-
32
Wayne Rooney C ↓ Chris Martin 85'
- 40
Bench
- 21
-
33
Curtis Davies ↑ 76'
-
17
George Evans ↑ 85'
-
19
Chris Martin ↑ 85'
- 11
- 25
-
4
Graeme Shinnie ↑ 76'
-
38
Jason Knight ↑ 62'
- 49
Coach
Phillip Cocu
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Matt Smith | 1 |
| David Nugent | 1 |
| Jason Knight | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Shaun Hutchinson | 1 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2020-06-20
Millwall FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2020-03-08
Derby County FC
3–0
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2020-03-05
Derby County FC
0–3
Manchester United FC
L
2020-02-29
Sheffield Wednesday FC
1–3
Derby County FC
W
2020-02-25
Queens Park Rangers FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2020-02-21
Derby County FC
1–1
Fulham FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Derby County FC
60%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.