Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sat 7 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Riverside Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCFA Cup at Riverside Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
Middlesbrough FC 1 games · Avg 6.0 goals Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–5 L
02 Jan Birmingham City FC A 3–1 W
29 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC H 4–1 W
17 Dec Burnley FC A 1–3 L
10 Dec Luton Town FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 5–1 W
03 Jan Everton FC A 4–1 W
31 Dec Arsenal FC H 2–4 L
26 Dec Southampton FC A 3–1 W
13 Nov Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
05 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.37 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.63 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC24% Draw22% Brighton & Hove Albion FC54%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
76%
Middlesbrough FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC17% Draw36% Brighton & Hove Albion FC47%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 3
5%
1 – 4
4.8%
0 – 1
4.5%
2 – 1
4.5%
0 – 4
3.6%
2 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 10% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 37% 63%
+1 37% 20% 43%
+1.5 57% 43%
+2 57% 18% 25%
+2.5 75% 25%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
8%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.