Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 12:00 UTC Riverside Stadium 16,794 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 70' Andreas Weimann
Law McCabe 47' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC — FA Cup at Riverside Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
  • Assistant 2 Jacob Graham (England)
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
04 Jan Cardiff City FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
29 Dec Burnley FC H 0–0 D
26 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–3 D
21 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
04 Jan Burnley FC H 0–1 L
01 Jan Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Hull City AFC H 0–1 L
26 Dec Sunderland AFC H 2–2 D
21 Dec Millwall FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Blackburn Rovers FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Middlesbrough FC to score. At the same time, Blackburn Rovers FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Australia international Riley McGree has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Middlesbrough FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Blackburn Rovers FC backline.
  • 25' Blackburn Rovers FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' Middlesbrough FC have won 474 goals from 387 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' Harry Leonard has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 47' Law McCabe was booked on 47.
  • 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Blackburn Rovers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 62' With 0 assists to his name this season, Matt Clarke is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Middlesbrough FC.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Marcus Forss. He replaces Micah Hamilton on 65 minute.
  • 70' The deadlock is broken! Andreas Weimann gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Blackburn Rovers FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Todd Cantwell scoring 1 goals.
  • 80' The 29-year-old George Edmundson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 81' Blackburn Rovers FC make a change. Todd Cantwell trudges off to be replaced by Tyrhys Dolan on 81 minutes.
  • 86' A quiet spell here at Riverside Stadium. Middlesbrough FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' Harley O'Grady Macken is replacing Andreas Weimann for the Blackburn Rovers FC side.
  • It finishes all square. Middlesbrough FC and Blackburn Rovers FC share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.99 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Blackburn Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC or Blackburn Rovers FC 67% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC33% Draw33% Blackburn Rovers FC34%
Actual: Blackburn Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Blackburn Rovers FC
67%
Middlesbrough FC or Blackburn Rovers FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC22% Draw54% Blackburn Rovers FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.6%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.7%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 3
2.4%
0 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Blackburn Rovers FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 20% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 21% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Blackburn Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.