Saturday , 14 November 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Aston Villa FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 17:30 UTC Riverside HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 88' Matty Cash

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Aston Villa FC — FA Cup at Riverside.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Aston Villa FC H 0–1 L
01 Jan Coventry City FC H 1–3 L
29 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–1 W
26 Dec Rotherham United FC A 0–1 L
23 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–0 W
16 Dec Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
30 Dec Burnley FC H 3–2 W
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
22 Dec Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Brentford FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Middlesbrough FC and Aston Villa FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Middlesbrough FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 23' Isaiah Jones has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 23.
  • 28' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 33' Middlesbrough FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ezri Konsa on 37.
  • 40' Leon Bailey picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 395 games and scored 495 goals.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' Sam Greenwood is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Middlesbrough FC so far.
  • 59' A tactical swap from Middlesbrough FC — Jonny Howson on, Hayden Hackney off on 59 minutes.
  • 64' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 69' Aston Villa FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ollie Watkins is hanging Jhon Duran on the field on 69 minute.
  • 70' Nicolo Zaniolo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leon Bailey at the 70 minute mark.
  • 74' Matty Cash has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 80' It’s a booking for Aston Villa FC player. Nicolo Zaniolo gets a card.
  • 82' Clement Lenglet was booked on 82.
  • 83' Middlesbrough FC ring the changes. Daniel Barlaser has done his job and it is now time for Alex Gilbert to step up.
  • 88' Assisted by Douglas Luiz with the perfectly-timed delivery and Matty Cash makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Middlesbrough FC and Aston Villa FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.94 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC25% Draw29% Aston Villa FC46%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
75%
Middlesbrough FC or Aston Villa FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC17% Draw49% Aston Villa FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 24% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.