Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Aston Villa FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 17:30 UTC Riverside HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 88' Matty Cash

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Aston Villa FC — FA Cup at Riverside.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Aston Villa FC H 0–1 L
01 Jan Coventry City FC H 1–3 L
29 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–1 W
26 Dec Rotherham United FC A 0–1 L
23 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–0 W
16 Dec Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
30 Dec Burnley FC H 3–2 W
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
22 Dec Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Brentford FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Riverside. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Middlesbrough FC and Aston Villa FC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alex Bangura, as he is very good at scoring at Riverside with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 10' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aston Villa FC backline.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Middlesbrough FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 23' Controversy at the stadium! Isaiah Jones argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 28' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 33' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Carrick will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 37' A moment of madness from Ezri Konsa on 37 minutes earns him a card. Aston Villa FC will be frustrated.
  • 40' Leon Bailey has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 55' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Middlesbrough FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 59' Middlesbrough FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jonny Howson is hanging Hayden Hackney on the field on 59 minute.
  • 64' Middlesbrough FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 69' Ollie Watkins is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jhon Duran at the 69 minute mark.
  • 70' Another change for Aston Villa FC made on 70 minute. Leon Bailey leaves to be changed by Nicolo Zaniolo.
  • 74' It’s a booking for Aston Villa FC player. Matty Cash gets a card.
  • 79' Emiliano Martinez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aston Villa FC so far.
  • 80' That looks like a foul for a card for Nicolo Zaniolo.
  • 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Clement Lenglet on 82 minutes.
  • 83' Alex Gilbert has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Barlaser on 83 minute.
  • 88' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Matty Cash makes it 0-1.
  • 0-1 the final result. Middlesbrough FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.94 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC25% Draw29% Aston Villa FC46%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
75%
Middlesbrough FC or Aston Villa FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC17% Draw49% Aston Villa FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 24% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.