Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester United FC vs Olympique Lyonnais, Europe 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
Thu 17 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Old Trafford HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Manchester United FC 2 games · Avg 6.5 goals Olympique Lyonnais

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Olympique Lyonnais H 5–4 W
13 Apr Newcastle United FC A 1–4 L
10 Apr Olympique Lyonnais A 2–2 D
06 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–0 D
01 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
16 Mar Leicester City FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Apr Manchester United FC A 4–5 L
13 Apr AJ Auxerre A 3–1 W
10 Apr Manchester United FC H 2–2 D
05 Apr Lille OSC H 2–1 W
28 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace A 2–4 L
16 Mar Le Havre AC H 4–2 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Olympique Lyonnais this season

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.37 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03 Olympique Lyonnais xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC48% Draw21% Olympique Lyonnais31%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Olympique Lyonnais
52%
Manchester United FC or Olympique Lyonnais
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC36% Draw36% Olympique Lyonnais28%
Actual: Manchester United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
4 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Olympique Lyonnais covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 14% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 18% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 15% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
14%
Olympique Lyonnais keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.