Thursday , 2 July 2026

Athletic Club vs Manchester United FC, Europe 2024-25 SEMI FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
Thu 1 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC San Mames HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Manchester United FCEurope at San Mames.

Match Details

  • Referee Espen Eskas (Norway)
11 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 4.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Athletic Club 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Manchester United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Manchester United FC H 0–3 L
23 Apr UD Las Palmas H 1–0 W
20 Apr Real Madrid CF A 0–1 L
17 Apr Rangers FC H 2–0 W
13 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–1 W
10 Apr Rangers FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Athletic Club A 3–0 W
27 Apr AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
20 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
17 Apr Olympique Lyonnais H 5–4 W
13 Apr Newcastle United FC A 1–4 L
10 Apr Olympique Lyonnais A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.07 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Manchester United FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club28% Draw28% Manchester United FC44%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
56%
Draw or Manchester United FC
72%
Athletic Club or Manchester United FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Athletic Club19% Draw46% Manchester United FC35%
Actual: Manchester United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 23% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
21%
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.