Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Athletic Club vs Manchester United FC, Europe 2024-25 SEMI FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2024-25
Thu 1 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC San Mames HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Manchester United FC — Europe at San Mames.

Match Details

  • Referee Espen Eskas (Norway)
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Athletic Club 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Manchester United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Manchester United FC H 0–3 L
23 Apr UD Las Palmas H 1–0 W
20 Apr Real Madrid CF A 0–1 L
17 Apr Rangers FC H 2–0 W
13 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–1 W
10 Apr Rangers FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Athletic Club A 3–0 W
27 Apr AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
20 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
17 Apr Olympique Lyonnais H 5–4 W
13 Apr Newcastle United FC A 1–4 L
10 Apr Olympique Lyonnais A 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Athletic Club launch into their encounter with Manchester United FC.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Athletic Club currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Manchester United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' It looks surprising Manchester United FC does not make any changes. Nico Williams has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Casemiro does the damage! The net is bulging and Manchester United FC surge ahead!
  • 35' Daniel Vivian has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 35.
  • 36' The referee has no hesitation. Yuri Berchiche is booked for Athletic Club — card on 36.
  • 37' Bruno Fernandes does the damage! The net is bulging and Manchester United FC surge ahead!
  • 42' Andoni Gorosabel is ready to make an impact after coming on for De Marcos at the 42 minute mark.
  • 45' Against the run of play, Bruno Fernandes has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' Benat Prados is replacing Ruiz de Galarreta for the Athletic Club side.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Unai Simon.
  • 60' Yeray Alvarez is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
  • 65' Matthijs de Ligt has so much to prove this time. He replaces Harry Maguire on 65 minute.
  • 70' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 74' Luke Shaw is ready to make an impact after coming on for Noussair Mazraoui at the 74 minute mark.
  • 77' Bruno Fernandes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
  • 79' Unai Gomez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nico Williams on 79 minute.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Manchester United FC — Amad Diallo on, Alejandro Garnacho off on 84 minutes.
  • 87' A tactical swap from Athletic Club — Alvaro Djalo on, Inaki Williams off on 87 minutes.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Leny Yoro. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • With this win, Manchester United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.07 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Manchester United FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club28% Draw28% Manchester United FC44%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
56%
Draw or Manchester United FC
72%
Athletic Club or Manchester United FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Athletic Club19% Draw46% Manchester United FC35%
Actual: Manchester United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 23% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.