Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Manchester City FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Leeds United FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Leeds United FC H 3–2 W
25 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L
22 Nov Newcastle United FC A 1–2 L
09 Nov Liverpool FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 4–1 W
02 Nov AFC Bournemouth H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Manchester City FC A 2–3 L
23 Nov Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
09 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 1–3 L
01 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–3 L
24 Oct West Ham United FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Burnley FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Leeds United FC
#1 Position #5
15 Points 9
5 Played 5
5 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 0
13 Scored 7
5 Conceded 3
+8 GD +4
3.00 PPG 1.80
100% Win % 40%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Manchester City FC are 1st (15 pts). Leeds United FC are 5th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 5 G
Rayan Cherki 3 G 2 A
Antoine Semenyo 2 G 3 A
Josko Gvardiol 1 G 2 A
Marc Guehi 1 G 1 A
Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.24 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Manchester City FC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC65% Draw20% Leeds United FC15%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Leeds United FC
35%
Manchester City FC or Leeds United FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC46% Draw40% Leeds United FC14%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.3%
3 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 22% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.