Saturday , 26 September 2026

Málaga CF vs Burgos CF, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2024-25
2 – 2
Full Time
Sat 31 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC Estadio La Rosaleda 19,337 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Eduardo Espiau
0–2 65' Fer Nino
Rodriguez Ruiz 82' 1–2
Julen Lobete 85' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Málaga CF vs Burgos CF — Segunda Division at Estadio La Rosaleda.

Match Details

  • Referee Andres Fuentes Molina (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Victor Jimenez Yustos (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Carlos Martinez Caballero (Spain)

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
Málaga CF 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Burgos CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 May Burgos CF H 2–2 D
25 May Elche CF A 0–2 L
17 May Real Sporting de Gijón H 2–1 W
11 May CD Eldense A 0–1 L
03 May Granada CF H 1–0 W
27 Apr CD Castellon H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 May Málaga CF A 2–2 D
25 May Levante UD H 2–3 L
17 May SD Eibar A 0–1 L
10 May Cordoba CF H 3–2 W
03 May Elche CF H 0–1 L
26 Apr CD Mirandés A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Burgos CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burgos CF
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burgos CF
Alex Fores 3 G
David Gonzalez 2 G 1 A
Javier Llabres 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Malaga CF host Burgos CF — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Malaga CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 9' The Eduardo Espiau breaks the deadlock on 9 minutes. 0-1!
  • 14' It looks surprising Burgos CF does not make any changes. Inigo Cordoba has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 19' Fer Nino needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 24' Burgos CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 34' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 39' Malaga CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 44' A quiet spell here at Estadio La Rosaleda. Burgos CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 46' The Burgos CF bench stirs into life. Florian Miguel is withdrawn and Pipa gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' Malaga CF ring the changes. Dioni has done his job and it is now time for Julen Lobete to step up.
  • 57' Malaga CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Juanpe is hanging Manu Molina on the field on 57 minute.
  • 61' A tactical swap from Burgos CF — Borja Sanchez Laborde on, Eduardo Espiau off on 61 minutes.
  • 65' Brilliant from the forward! Fer Nino makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 65.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Malaga CF. Kevin Villodres is replaced by Roko Baturina.
  • 71' The 22-year-old Chupete has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 76' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 80' Rodriguez Ruiz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Izan Merino on 80 minute.
  • 82' Rodriguez Ruiz makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Malaga CF are in front.
  • 83' The Burgos CF bench stirs into life. David Gonzalez is withdrawn and Elady Zorrilla gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Julen Lobete has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
  • 90' Marcelo Exposito is replacing Inigo Cordoba for the Burgos CF side.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.38 Málaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Burgos CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Málaga CF45% Draw28% Burgos CF27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Málaga CF or Draw
73%
Draw or Burgos CF
55%
Málaga CF or Burgos CF
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Málaga CF30% Draw49% Burgos CF21%
Actual: Burgos CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Málaga CF

Handicap Málaga CF covers Push Burgos CF covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.