Málaga CF vs Burgos CF, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Málaga CF vs Burgos CF — Segunda Division at Estadio La Rosaleda.
Match Details
- Referee Andres Fuentes Molina (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Victor Jimenez Yustos (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Carlos Martinez Caballero (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Almería | 13 | 29 |
| 2 | CD Castellón | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Burgos CF | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | SD Eibar | 12 | 23 |
| 5 | Granada CF | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | RCD Mallorca | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Real Sporting de Gijón | 13 | 22 |
| 8 | Girona FC | 13 | 21 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo | 13 | 21 |
| 10 | Cordoba CF | 13 | 19 |
| 11 | Real Valladolid CF | 13 | 18 |
| 12 | CE Sabadell FC | 13 | 18 |
| 13 | UD Las Palmas | 12 | 17 |
| 14 | CD Tenerife | 11 | 14 |
| 15 | CD Eldense | 12 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo B | 13 | 13 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | CD Leganés | 13 | 12 |
| 19 | Cádiz CF | 13 | 10 |
| 20 | Andorra CF | 11 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete Balompie | 13 | 10 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | Burgos CF | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 May | Elche CF | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | Real Sporting de Gijón | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CD Eldense | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Granada CF | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | CD Castellón | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | Málaga CF | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 May | Levante UD | H | 2–3 | L |
| 17 May | SD Eibar | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 May | Cordoba CF | H | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | Elche CF | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | CD Mirandés | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Burgos CF this season
Burgos CF this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burgos CF
0-15
2/6
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burgos CF
| Alex Fores | 4 G | 1 A |
| Curro | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jon Karrikaburu | 3 G | 2 A |
| David Gonzalez | 3 G | 1 A |
| Javier Llabres | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Málaga CF gets underway.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 9' Eduardo Espiau makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Burgos CF are in front.
- 14' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 19' has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 0 appearances.
- 24' Málaga CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 29' Málaga CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 39' It looks surprising Burgos CF does not make any changes. Diego Murillo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 44' Izan Merino, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' Pipa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Florian Miguel at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Málaga CF currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 56' Time for substitution for Malaga CF. Dioni is replaced by Julen Lobete.
- 57' The whistle greets Manu Molina as he departs to be replaced by Juanpe.
- 61' Burgos CF ring the changes. Eduardo Espiau has done his job and it is now time for Borja Sanchez Laborde to step up.
- 65' A goal from the Spain international Fer Nino! He fires home on 65 to make it 0-2!
- 66' Another change for Malaga CF made on 66 minute. Kevin Villodres leaves to be changed by Roko Baturina.
- 71' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Málaga CF that had 95 games and scored 73 goals.
- 80' A tactical swap from Malaga CF — Rodriguez Ruiz on, Izan Merino off on 80 minutes.
- 82' The deadlock is broken! Rodriguez Ruiz gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
- 83' Burgos CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Elady Zorrilla is hanging David Gonzalez on the field on 83 minute.
- 85' Julen Lobete adds to his 0 season tally! Malaga CF lead 0-4 — and this changes everything.
- 90' Marcelo Exposito is replacing Inigo Cordoba for the Burgos CF side.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Málaga CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
- 17
- 11
- 5
- 14
- 10
- 13
- 16
- 3
- 29
- 27
Bench
- 23
- 19
- 1
- 9
- 24
- 26
- 2
- 8
- 4
- 18
- 22
- 37
Coach
Sergio Pellicer Garcia
Burgos CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
3
Florian Miguel ↓ Pipa 46'
- 21
- 8
- 13
- 4
- 5
- 23
-
9
Fer Nino ↓ Fernando Mimbacas 83'
- 18
- 19
-
14
David Gonzalez ↓ Elady Zorrilla 83'
Bench
-
22
Elady Zorrilla ↑ 83'
-
10
Borja Sanchez Laborde ↑ 61'
- 1
-
20
Pipa ↑ 46'
- 15
- 46
- 6
-
33
Marcelo Exposito ↑ 90'
- 40
-
17
Fernando Mimbacas ↑ 83'
- 24
Coach
Luis Miguel Ramis
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Fer Nino | 1 |
| Eduardo Espiau | 1 |
| Julen Lobete | 1 |
| Rodriguez Ruiz | 1 |
Málaga CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.38
Málaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
Burgos CF xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Málaga CF or Draw
73%
Draw or Burgos CF
55%
Málaga CF or Burgos CF
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burgos CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Málaga CF
| Handicap | Málaga CF covers | Push | Burgos CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

