Luton Town FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Watford FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Stephen Martin (England)
- Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
4 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 13.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Watford FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Sheffield United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Oxford United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Luton Town FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Preston North End FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Norwich City FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Sep | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Luton Town FC host Watford FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 6' Vakoun Issouf Bayo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 6.
- 11' GOAL! Jordan Clark scores on 11. Assisted by Tom Holmes
- 16' Jordan Clark was booked on 16.
- 21' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 26' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Alfie Doughty.
- 37' Watford FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 37.
- 42' Watford FC is showing some good football. However, Watford FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Tom Holmes by Daiki Hashioka on 46 minute.
- 47' What a moment for Carlton Morris! That strike on 47 puts his side firmly in control.
- 52' Watford FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 53' Daniel Jebbison is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vakoun Issouf Bayo at the 53 minute mark.
- 58' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 58 minute. Tahith Chong leaves to be changed by Marvelous Nakamba.
- 61' Daiki Hashioka is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
- 65' Another change for Watford FC made on 65 minute. Ken Sema leaves to be changed by Festy Ebosele.
- 66' Tom Krauss makes way for Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
- 67' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 67 minute. Carlton Morris leaves to be changed by Jacob Brown.
- 72' Both keepers have barely been tested. Luton Town FC and Watford FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 77' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 82' Tom Dele-Bashiru makes way for Tom Ince at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Watford FC.
- 83' A tactical swap from Watford FC — Rocco Vata on, Ryan Andrews off on 83 minutes.
- 88' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rob Edwards might look to freshen things up shortly.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Watford FC.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
29
Tom Holmes ↓ Daiki Hashioka 46'
- 7
-
16
Reece Burke ↓ Joseph Johnson 53'
- 45
-
9
Carlton Morris ↓ Jacob Brown 67'
- 18
- 11
- 24
- 14
- 8
- 6
Bench
- 25
-
13
Marvelous Nakamba ↑ 58'
- 10
-
19
Jacob Brown ↑ 67'
- 23
-
27
Daiki Hashioka ↑ 46'
-
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↑ 66'
-
38
Joseph Johnson ↑ 53'
- 37
Coach
Rob Edwards
Watford FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
-
12
Ken Sema ↓ Festy Ebosele 65'
- 17
- 21
- 1
- 5
-
39
Edo Kayembe ↓ Kwadwo Baah 53'
- 8
- 19
- 6
-
24
Tom Dele-Bashiru ↓ Tom Ince 82'
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↓ Rocco Vata 83'
Bench
- 23
-
7
Tom Ince ↑ 82'
- 3
-
34
Kwadwo Baah ↑ 53'
- 37
-
36
Festy Ebosele ↑ 65'
-
18
Daniel Jebbison ↑ 53'
- 22
-
11
Rocco Vata ↑ 83'
Coach
Tom Cleverley
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Gabriel Osho | 1 |
| Allan Campbell | 1 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Jordan Clark | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Tom Dele-Bashiru | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Watford FC xG
I would bet for:
Luton Town FC to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Watford FC
43%
Luton Town FC or Watford FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Luton Town FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Watford FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

