Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Watford FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 11:30 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,758 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jordan Clark 11' 1–0
Carlton Morris 47' 2–0
Jacob Brown 90+2' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Watford FCChampionship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Watford FC H 3–0 W
05 Oct Sheffield United FC A 0–2 L
01 Oct Oxford United FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–3 L
21 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Millwall FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Luton Town FC A 0–3 L
05 Oct Middlesbrough FC H 2–1 W
02 Oct Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
28 Sep Sunderland AFC H 2–1 W
21 Sep Norwich City FC A 1–4 L
14 Sep Coventry City FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Watford FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC57% Draw25% Watford FC18%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Watford FC
43%
Luton Town FC or Watford FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC40% Draw45% Watford FC15%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Watford FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 24% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.