Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Fri 7 Apr 2023 · 11:30 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–0 D
01 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
18 Mar Huddersfield Town AFC H 0–1 L
14 Mar Swansea City AFC H 2–1 W
11 Mar Reading FC A 1–0 W
04 Mar Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Millwall FC A 0–0 D
01 Apr Watford FC H 2–0 W
18 Mar Sunderland AFC A 1–1 D
15 Mar Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
11 Mar Sheffield United FC A 1–0 W
04 Mar Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds The Den will turn into a battlefield for Millwall FC and Luton Town FC.
  • 5' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Luton Town FC backline.
  • 10' Murray Wallace has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' That is a Yellow card for Millwall FC. George Saville will be fuming at that decision.
  • 41' George Saville was booked on 41.
  • 46' Millwall FC have won 401 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 58' Alfie Doughty has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 58.
  • 63' Luton Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from George Long, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 73' Both keepers have barely been tested. Millwall FC and Luton Town FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 77' Luton Town FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Andreas Voglsammer is replaced by Romain Esse.
  • 83' Scott Malone gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Shaun Hutchinson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 87 minute. Allan Campbell leaves to be changed by Cauley Woodrow.
  • 88' Jamie Shackleton is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryan Leonard at the 88 minute mark.
  • It finishes all square. Millwall FC and Luton Town FC share the spoils 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.02 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Luton Town FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC34% Draw32% Luton Town FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Luton Town FC
66%
Millwall FC or Luton Town FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC23% Draw54% Luton Town FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
11.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
2.3%
0 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 20% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.