Sunday , 15 November 2026

Luton Town FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 23 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,386 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark McGuinness 33' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Hull City AFC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Scott Ledger
7 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
09 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–5 L
06 Nov Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
01 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
26 Oct Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
23 Oct Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
10 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–2 L
05 Nov Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
26 Oct Derby County FC A 1–1 D
23 Oct Burnley FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Luton Town FC host Hull City AFC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Elijah Adebayo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 50 goals in his last 57 appearances.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 22' Reece Burke has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 22.
  • 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 32' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
  • 33' What a strike from Mark McGuinness! The score is 1-0.
  • 37' Hull City AFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 37.
  • 39' Marvelous Nakamba was booked on 39.
  • 44' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 49' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marvelous Nakamba is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hull City AFC.
  • 54' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 57' Liam Walsh gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Shandon Baptiste and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 58' Ryan Longman is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gustavo Puerta at the 58 minute mark.
  • 63' Luton Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 67' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jacob Brown is hanging Elijah Adebayo on the field on 67 minute.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Hull City AFC. Abdulkadir Omur is replaced by Kasey Palmer.
  • 77' Hull City AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 82' The home supporters are growing impatient. Luton Town FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 85' Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu is replacing Tom Krauss for the Luton Town FC side.
  • 88' The Hull City AFC bench stirs into life. Xavier Simons is withdrawn and Chris Bedia gets his opportunity.
  • With this win, Luton Town FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC52% Draw29% Hull City AFC19%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Hull City AFC
48%
Luton Town FC or Hull City AFC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC31% Draw55% Hull City AFC14%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.7%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Hull City AFC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
50% ✓
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.