Sunday , 16 August 2026

Liverpool FC vs Luton Town FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Wed 21 Feb 2024 · 19:30 UTC Anfield HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Chiedozie Ogbene
Virgil van Dijk 56' 1–1
Cody Gakpo 58' 2–1
Luis Diaz 71' 3–1
Harvey Elliott 90' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Liverpool FC vs Luton Town FCPremier League at Anfield.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Edward Smart (England)
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton

Head-to-Head

1
1
Liverpool FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Luton Town FC H 4–1 W
17 Feb Brentford FC A 4–1 W
10 Feb Burnley FC H 3–1 W
04 Feb Arsenal FC A 1–3 L
31 Jan Chelsea FC H 4–1 W
28 Jan Norwich City FC H 5–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Liverpool FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
10 Feb Sheffield United FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Newcastle United FC A 4–4 D
30 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 4–0 W
27 Jan Everton FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.3 Liverpool FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Liverpool FC60% Draw21% Luton Town FC19%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Liverpool FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Luton Town FC
40%
Liverpool FC or Luton Town FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Liverpool FC44% Draw39% Luton Town FC17%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
9%
2 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Liverpool FC

Handicap Liverpool FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 21% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.