Thursday , 2 July 2026

Leicester City FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 12:30 UTC King Power Stadium 31,968 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 81' Mikel Merino
0–2 87' Mikel Merino

Overview

Match Preview

Leicester City FC vs Arsenal FCPremier League at King Power Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Tim Wood
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Arsenal FC H 0–2 L
07 Feb Manchester United FC A 1–2 L
01 Feb Everton FC A 0–4 L
26 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
18 Jan Fulham FC H 0–2 L
15 Jan Crystal Palace FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Leicester City FC A 2–0 W
02 Feb Manchester City FC H 5–1 W
29 Jan Girona FC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
22 Jan GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 3–0 W
18 Jan Aston Villa FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Arsenal FC gets underway.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Wilfred Ndidi, as he is very good at scoring at King Power Stadium with 6 goals in the last 6 games.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' It looks surprising Leicester City FC does not make any changes. Raheem Sterling has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Leandro Trossard has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 42 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 30' Leicester City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jamie Vardy suffering a number of foals already.
  • 43' Leicester City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Woyo Coulibaly is hanging James Justin on the field on 43 minute.
  • 46' The referee shows Leicester City FC player a card on 46.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Leicester City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 56' The travelling Arsenal FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 57' Jordan Ayew was booked on 57.
  • 62' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Riccardo Calafiori made 527 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 69' Mikel Merino is replacing Raheem Sterling for the Arsenal FC side.
  • 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
  • 75' The whistle greets Jordan Ayew as he departs to be replaced by Stephy Mavididi.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Arsenal FC. Myles Lewis-Skelly is replaced by Riccardo Calafiori.
  • 81' GOAL! Mikel Merino scores on 81. Assisted by Ethan Nwaneri
  • 85' Patson Daka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wilfred Ndidi on 85 minute.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Jorginho. He receives a card.
  • 87' GOAL! Mikel Merino scores on 87. Assisted by Leandro Trossard
  • 89' Arsenal FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kieran Tierney is hanging Leandro Trossard on the field on 89 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Arsenal FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.86 Leicester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leicester City FC20% Draw26% Arsenal FC54%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Leicester City FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Arsenal FC
80%
Leicester City FC or Arsenal FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Leicester City FC15% Draw47% Arsenal FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.6%
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Leicester City FC

Handicap Leicester City FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 24% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.