Sunday , 16 August 2026

Leicester City FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 12:30 UTC King Power Stadium 31,968 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 81' Mikel Merino
0–2 87' Mikel Merino

Overview

Match Preview

Leicester City FC vs Arsenal FCPremier League at King Power Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Tim Wood
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Arsenal FC H 0–2 L
07 Feb Manchester United FC A 1–2 L
01 Feb Everton FC A 0–4 L
26 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
18 Jan Fulham FC H 0–2 L
15 Jan Crystal Palace FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Leicester City FC A 2–0 W
02 Feb Manchester City FC H 5–1 W
29 Jan Girona FC A 2–1 W
25 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
22 Jan GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 3–0 W
18 Jan Aston Villa FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at King Power Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Arsenal FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Leicester City FC is showing some good football. However, Leicester City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Leicester City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Arsenal FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 40' Raheem Sterling has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 43' Woyo Coulibaly is replacing James Justin for the Leicester City FC side.
  • 46' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bilal El Khannouss on 46.
  • 51' Arsenal FC come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 57' Jordan Ayew catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 57.
  • 62' Over 62 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 67' Arsenal FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 69' Mikel Merino is replacing Raheem Sterling for the Arsenal FC side.
  • 74' Mikel Merino is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Leicester City FC tonight.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Stephy Mavididi. He replaces Jordan Ayew on 75 minute.
  • 76' The Arsenal FC bench stirs into life. Myles Lewis-Skelly is withdrawn and Riccardo Calafiori gets his opportunity.
  • 81' What a moment for Mikel Merino! That strike on 81 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 85' Patson Daka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wilfred Ndidi on 85 minute.
  • 86' Poor challenge from Jorginho. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 87' The Spain Mikel Merino breaks the deadlock on 87 minutes. 0-2!
  • 89' A tactical swap from Arsenal FCKieran Tierney on, Leandro Trossard off on 89 minutes.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Arsenal FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.86 Leicester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leicester City FC20% Draw26% Arsenal FC54%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Leicester City FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Arsenal FC
80%
Leicester City FC or Arsenal FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Leicester City FC15% Draw47% Arsenal FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.6%
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Leicester City FC

Handicap Leicester City FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 24% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Leicester City FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.