Sunday , 16 August 2026

Leeds United FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Elland Road 35,574 HT 45' · FT 45'
Brenden Aaronson 1' 1–0
1–1 64' Harry Darling
Wilfried Gnonto 86' 2–1
2–2 90+6' Zan Vipotnik

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Swansea City AFC H 2–2 D
15 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–2 D
12 Mar Millwall FC H 2–0 W
09 Mar Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
01 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
24 Feb Sheffield United FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
15 Mar Burnley FC H 0–2 L
12 Mar Watford FC A 0–1 L
08 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
22 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC52% Draw25% Swansea City AFC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
48%
Leeds United FC or Swansea City AFC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC36% Draw46% Swansea City AFC18%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.